La escuela de los momios

FC Juárez v Monterrey

Inicio: 2026-03-14 03:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC Juárez (Local)

Predicción 36.29%2.76momio equitativo
EV -2.00%
Ventaja -0.742%
Kelly -1.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.21%36.39%36.35%38.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.382.522.502.7042.02%39.70%40.00%37.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Monterrey (Visitante)

Predicción 36.91%2.71momio equitativo
EV +3.71%
Ventaja +1.32%
Kelly +2.05%
Crecimiento +0.076%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.81

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.87%36.77%36.95%38.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.532.532.8143.48%39.59%39.53%35.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.80%3.73momio equitativo
EV -2.46%
Ventaja -0.676%
Kelly -0.932%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.64

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.01%26.84%26.71%28.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.153.383.403.6431.75%29.55%29.41%27.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet2.47I 40.49%NM 38.54%EV -10.35%E -4.19%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.87%EV +3.71%E +1.32%K +2.05%G +0.076%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.59%EV -7.55%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 02:09
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -5.63%E -2.17%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -0.346%E -0.128%K -0.204%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -8.89%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-13 15:35
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -5.63%E -2.17%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -0.346%E -0.128%K -0.204%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -8.89%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-13 15:34
Pinnacle2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -4.54%E -1.73%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.64%EV -2.56%E -0.970%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.58%EV -2.46%E -0.676%K -0.932%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-14 02:45
GTbets2.55I 39.22%NM 37.06%EV -7.45%E -2.92%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.79%EV -2.56%E -0.970%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.15%EV -6.75%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 02:14
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -9.26%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.25%EV -2.93%E -1.11%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -10.23%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-13 15:35
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -9.26%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.25%EV -2.93%E -1.11%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -10.23%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-13 15:35
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -9.26%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.25%EV -2.93%E -1.11%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -10.23%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-13 15:34
BetRivers2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -9.26%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.25%EV -2.93%E -1.11%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -10.23%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-13 15:35
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -9.26%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.25%EV -2.93%E -1.11%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -10.23%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-13 15:35
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -9.26%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.25%EV -2.93%E -1.11%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -10.23%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-13 15:35
betPARX2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -9.26%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.25%EV -2.93%E -1.11%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -10.23%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-13 15:35
LowVig.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.75%EV -2.00%E -0.742%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.13%EV -4.04%E -1.55%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.12%EV -4.60%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-14 02:30
BetOnline.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.75%EV -2.00%E -0.742%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.13%EV -4.04%E -1.55%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.12%EV -4.60%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-14 02:39
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -9.26%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -4.04%E -1.55%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -11.57%E -3.51%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 15:35
BetUS2.62I 38.17%NM 36.27%EV -4.91%E -1.87%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.26%EV -5.88%E -2.31%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.47%EV -3.80%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 02:19
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.34%EV -5.63%E -2.17%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.05%EV -5.88%E -2.31%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -4.87%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 02:20
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.45%E -2.92%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -5.88%E -2.31%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.21%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 02:15
SportsBet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -5.63%E -2.17%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -5.88%E -2.31%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.89%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 02:25
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -5.63%E -2.17%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -5.88%E -2.31%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.89%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 02:24
LeoVegas (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 36.55%EV -9.99%E -4.03%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.55%EV -5.88%E -2.31%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -12.91%E -3.97%K -5.74%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-13 15:34
LiveScore Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.55%EV -9.99%E -4.03%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.55%EV -5.88%E -2.31%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -12.91%E -3.97%K -5.74%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-13 15:35
Virgin Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.03%EV -11.80%E -4.86%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.29%EV -5.88%E -2.31%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -12.91%E -3.97%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-13 15:34
1xBet2.54I 39.37%NM 36.47%EV -7.81%E -3.08%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.61%EV -6.62%E -2.62%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.93%EV -7.82%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 02:50
Marathon Bet2.54I 39.37%NM 36.47%EV -7.81%E -3.08%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.61%EV -6.62%E -2.62%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.93%EV -7.82%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 02:44
Bovada2.52I 39.68%NM 36.68%EV -8.54%E -3.39%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.53%EV -6.62%E -2.62%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -7.55%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 02:43
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 36.08%EV -6.36%E -2.46%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.94%EV -6.99%E -2.77%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -7.55%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 02:20
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.08%EV -6.36%E -2.46%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.94%EV -6.99%E -2.77%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -7.55%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 02:15
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.63%E -2.17%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.73%E -3.09%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.21%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 02:29
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.63%E -2.17%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.73%E -3.09%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.21%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 02:24
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -5.63%E -2.17%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.73%E -3.09%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -8.89%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 02:20
Fliff2.50I 40.00%NM 36.41%EV -9.26%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.41%EV -7.73%E -3.09%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -10.23%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 02:25
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -11.08%E -4.52%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -7.73%E -3.09%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -8.89%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 02:15
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.26%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.73%E -3.09%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -11.57%E -3.51%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-14 02:25
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 36.93%EV -13.62%E -5.72%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.16%EV -7.73%E -3.09%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.91%EV -15.59%E -4.95%K -7.25%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-13 15:35
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -9.26%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -9.57%E -3.91%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.21%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-14 02:29
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -9.26%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -9.57%E -3.91%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.21%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-14 02:50
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.26%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -9.57%E -3.91%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -8.89%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 02:50
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -11.08%E -4.52%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -9.57%E -3.91%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -11.57%E -3.51%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-14 02:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -11.08%E -4.52%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -9.57%E -3.91%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -11.57%E -3.51%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-14 02:14
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -11.08%E -4.52%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -9.57%E -3.91%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -14.25%E -4.45%K -6.48%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-14 02:24
Betway2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -4.91%E -1.87%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -11.42%E -4.76%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -6.21%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 02:50
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 36.04%EV -11.08%E -4.52%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.79%EV -11.42%E -4.76%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -12.91%E -3.97%K -5.74%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-14 02:40
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.04%EV -11.08%E -4.52%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.79%EV -11.42%E -4.76%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -12.91%E -3.97%K -5.74%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-14 02:40
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.04%EV -11.08%E -4.52%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.79%EV -11.42%E -4.76%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -12.91%E -3.97%K -5.74%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-14 02:39
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 36.04%EV -11.08%E -4.52%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.79%EV -11.42%E -4.76%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -12.91%E -3.97%K -5.74%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-14 02:39
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 36.84%EV -12.89%E -5.37%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.15%EV -12.16%E -5.11%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.01%EV -8.89%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-14 02:19
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.53%EV -12.89%E -5.37%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.30%EV -13.26%E -5.64%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.17%EV -10.23%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-14 02:30
Betclic (FR)2.47I 40.49%NM 35.52%EV -10.35%E -4.19%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 37.65%EV -14.00%E -6.01%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 26.83%EV -12.38%E -3.78%K -5.45%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-14 02:30
NetBet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.80%EV -12.89%E -5.37%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.35%EV -15.11%E -6.57%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.85%EV -14.25%E -4.45%K -6.48%G +0.000%16.4%2026-03-14 02:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.39%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-03-14 02:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.39%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-03-14 02:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.39%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-03-14 02:45
Matchbook2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.39%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-03-14 02:45
Smarkets2.72I 36.76%NM 36.19%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.46%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.35%1.6%2026-03-14 02:50
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 35.91%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.88%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.21%3.1%2026-03-14 02:50