A Escola das Odds

Cruz Azul v Necaxa

Início: 2026-04-27 01:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Cruz Azul (Local)

Previsão 66.84%1.50odd justa
EV -3.75%
Vantagem -2.60%
Kelly -8.52%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.44

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
63.83%66.84%66.73%68.29%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.291.371.381.4477.52%72.75%72.46%69.44%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Necaxa (Visitante)

Previsão 14.20%7.04odd justa
EV +5.06%
Vantagem +0.684%
Kelly +0.791%
Crescimento +0.040%

pressupondo odds máximas de 7.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
12.66%14.14%14.31%16.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.306.516.507.4018.87%15.36%15.38%13.51%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 18.96%5.27odd justa
EV -2.35%
Vantagem -0.456%
Kelly -0.565%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.34%19.02%18.96%21.70%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.004.724.705.1525.00%21.21%21.28%19.42%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
NordicBet1.39I 71.94%NM 67.40%EV -7.09%E -5.10%K -18.18%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.66%EV +5.06%E +0.684%K +0.791%G +0.040%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -10.88%E -2.31%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 04:14
Betsson1.39I 71.94%NM 67.40%EV -7.09%E -5.10%K -18.18%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.66%EV +5.06%E +0.684%K +0.791%G +0.040%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -10.88%E -2.31%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 04:14
Coolbet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.88%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.11%EV +2.93%E +0.404%K +0.469%G +0.014%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -5.19%E -1.04%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 11:44
GTbets1.44I 69.44%NM 66.66%EV -3.75%E -2.60%K -8.52%G +0.000%7.06I 14.16%NM 13.60%EV +0.232%E +0.033%K +0.038%G +0.000%4.86I 20.58%NM 19.75%EV -7.85%E -1.61%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 11:30
ATG (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.57%EV -4.42%E -3.09%K -10.27%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.60%EV -0.619%E -0.088%K -0.103%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV -8.98%E -1.87%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 19:24
Svenska Spel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.57%EV -4.42%E -3.09%K -10.27%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.60%EV -0.619%E -0.088%K -0.103%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV -8.98%E -1.87%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 19:29
LowVig.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 67.94%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.59%EV -0.619%E -0.088%K -0.103%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.47%EV -2.35%E -0.456%K -0.565%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 14:14
BetOnline.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 67.94%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.59%EV -0.619%E -0.088%K -0.103%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.47%EV -2.35%E -0.456%K -0.565%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 14:14
FanDuel1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -8.43%E -6.15%K -22.78%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -0.619%E -0.088%K -0.103%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -3.29%E -0.646%K -0.803%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 11:49
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -9.10%E -6.69%K -25.27%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -0.619%E -0.088%K -0.103%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -5.19%E -1.04%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 11:45
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 66.79%EV -7.76%E -5.62%K -20.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -0.619%E -0.088%K -0.103%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -12.78%E -2.78%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 04:15
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -9.10%E -6.69%K -25.27%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -0.619%E -0.088%K -0.103%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -8.98%E -1.87%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 18:58
Pinnacle1.39I 71.94%NM 67.93%EV -7.09%E -5.10%K -18.18%G +0.000%6.89I 14.51%NM 13.70%EV -2.18%E -0.317%K -0.370%G +0.000%5.14I 19.46%NM 18.37%EV -2.54%E -0.493%K -0.612%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 04:30
Unibet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.43%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -4.17%E -0.618%K -0.725%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -10.88%E -2.31%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 17:45
Unibet (NL)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.43%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -4.17%E -0.618%K -0.725%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -10.88%E -2.31%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 17:44
BetRivers1.40I 71.43%NM 66.43%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -4.17%E -0.618%K -0.725%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -10.88%E -2.31%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 19:24
Unibet (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.43%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -4.17%E -0.618%K -0.725%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -10.88%E -2.31%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 17:44
Casumo1.40I 71.43%NM 66.43%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -4.17%E -0.618%K -0.725%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -10.88%E -2.31%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 17:45
Grosvenor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.43%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -4.17%E -0.618%K -0.725%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -10.88%E -2.31%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 17:44
betPARX1.40I 71.43%NM 66.43%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -4.17%E -0.618%K -0.725%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -10.88%E -2.31%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 17:45
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 66.47%EV -7.76%E -5.62%K -20.42%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.59%EV -4.17%E -0.618%K -0.725%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -12.78%E -2.78%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 19:24
LiveScore Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 66.63%EV -8.43%E -6.15%K -22.78%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.52%EV -4.17%E -0.618%K -0.725%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -12.78%E -2.78%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 19:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 66.79%EV -9.10%E -6.69%K -25.27%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -4.17%E -0.618%K -0.725%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -12.78%E -2.78%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 19:24
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -7.72%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -5.19%E -1.04%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-24 01:04
DraftKings1.39I 71.94%NM 67.03%EV -7.09%E -5.10%K -18.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -7.72%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -5.19%E -1.04%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-24 01:05
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 66.35%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -7.72%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -8.98%E -1.87%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 20:30
Bovada1.37I 72.99%NM 67.23%EV -8.43%E -6.15%K -22.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -7.72%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.61%EV -6.14%E -1.24%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 07:59
BetUS1.37I 72.99%NM 67.23%EV -8.43%E -6.15%K -22.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -7.72%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.61%EV -6.14%E -1.24%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 13:05
Bet Right1.37I 72.99%NM 66.70%EV -8.43%E -6.15%K -22.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.06%EV -7.72%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -9.93%E -2.09%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 22:45
betfred_uk1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -9.10%E -6.69%K -25.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -7.72%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -12.78%E -2.78%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 22:39
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -11.10%E -8.35%K -33.64%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -7.72%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -9.93%E -2.09%K -2.65%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-23 11:45
Virgin Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 66.33%EV -9.76%E -7.23%K -27.90%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -7.72%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -14.67%E -3.26%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-23 19:25
PMU (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 66.53%EV -11.77%E -8.92%K -36.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.51%EV -7.72%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.96%EV -16.57%E -3.77%K -4.87%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-23 19:24
LeoVegas1.32I 75.76%NM 66.53%EV -11.77%E -8.92%K -36.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.51%EV -7.72%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.96%EV -16.57%E -3.77%K -4.87%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-23 19:24
1xBet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.52%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%6.27I 15.95%NM 14.85%EV -10.98%E -1.75%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -5.19%E -1.04%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 04:09
Marathon Bet1.39I 71.94%NM 66.65%EV -7.09%E -5.10%K -18.18%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV -11.27%E -1.80%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -5.19%E -1.04%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 04:00
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 66.08%EV -9.10%E -6.69%K -25.27%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.38%EV -11.27%E -1.80%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -12.78%E -2.78%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-24 01:04
Everygame1.33I 75.19%NM 66.58%EV -11.10%E -8.35%K -33.64%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.17%EV -11.27%E -1.80%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%EV -12.78%E -2.78%K -3.55%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-24 03:04
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -14.82%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -5.19%E -1.04%K -1.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 11:00
Fanatics1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -14.82%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -9.93%E -2.09%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 05:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -14.82%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -14.67%E -3.26%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-23 20:30
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -14.82%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -14.67%E -3.26%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-23 20:29
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 66.09%EV -9.10%E -6.69%K -25.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -14.82%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.92%EV -9.93%E -2.09%K -2.65%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-24 03:05
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -9.10%E -6.69%K -25.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -14.82%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -14.67%E -3.26%K -4.19%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-23 04:15
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -9.10%E -6.69%K -25.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -14.82%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -14.67%E -3.26%K -4.19%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-23 04:14
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -9.10%E -6.69%K -25.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -14.82%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -14.67%E -3.26%K -4.19%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-23 04:14
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -9.10%E -6.69%K -25.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -14.82%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -14.67%E -3.26%K -4.19%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-23 04:14
Betclic (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 65.91%EV -11.10%E -8.35%K -33.64%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.61%EV -14.82%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.48%EV -14.67%E -3.26%K -4.19%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-23 19:02
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 63.83%EV -9.10%E -6.69%K -25.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.47%EV -14.82%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.70%EV -24.15%E -6.04%K -8.05%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-24 01:04
NetBet (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 66.59%EV -13.78%E -10.68%K -47.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.32%EV -14.82%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.09%EV -14.67%E -3.26%K -4.19%G +0.000%16.4%2026-04-23 13:00
Unibet (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 66.26%EV -13.11%E -10.08%K -43.69%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.60%EV -16.24%E -2.75%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.14%EV -14.67%E -3.26%K -4.19%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-23 19:05
Winamax (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 65.79%EV -9.76%E -7.23%K -27.90%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.31%EV -17.66%E -3.04%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.90%EV -10.88%E -2.31%K -2.94%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-23 19:04
Winamax (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 64.73%EV -12.44%E -9.50%K -40.12%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.00%EV -24.75%E -4.67%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.27%EV -16.57%E -3.77%K -4.87%G +0.000%17.9%2026-04-23 19:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.39I 71.94%NM 67.18%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.15%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%7.1%2026-04-24 01:05
Kalshi1.41I 70.92%NM 65.73%6.67I 14.99%NM 13.90%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.37%7.9%2026-04-24 03:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 66.17%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.41%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%11.9%2026-04-24 01:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 66.17%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.41%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%11.9%2026-04-24 01:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.35I 74.07%NM 66.17%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.41%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%11.9%2026-04-24 01:05
Smarkets1.32I 75.76%NM 65.00%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.05%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.95%16.6%2026-04-23 19:05