مدرسة الاحتمالات

Cruz Azul v Necaxa

البداية: 2026-04-27 01:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Cruz Azul (المضيف)

التنبؤ 66.84%1.50السعر العادل
EV -3.75%
الأفضلية -2.60%
Kelly -8.52%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.44

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
63.83%66.84%66.73%68.29%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.291.371.381.4477.52%72.75%72.46%69.44%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Necaxa (الضيف)

التنبؤ 14.20%7.04السعر العادل
EV +5.06%
الأفضلية +0.684%
Kelly +0.791%
النمو +0.040%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 7.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
12.66%14.14%14.31%16.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.306.516.507.4018.87%15.36%15.38%13.51%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 18.96%5.27السعر العادل
EV -2.35%
الأفضلية -0.456%
Kelly -0.565%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.15

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
18.34%19.02%18.96%21.70%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.004.724.705.1525.00%21.21%21.28%19.42%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
NordicBet1.39I 71.94%NM 67.40%EV -7.09%E -5.10%K -18.18%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.66%EV +5.06%E +0.684%K +0.791%G +0.040%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -10.88%E -2.31%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 04:14
Betsson1.39I 71.94%NM 67.40%EV -7.09%E -5.10%K -18.18%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.66%EV +5.06%E +0.684%K +0.791%G +0.040%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -10.88%E -2.31%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 04:14
Coolbet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.88%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.11%EV +2.93%E +0.404%K +0.469%G +0.014%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -5.19%E -1.04%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 11:44
GTbets1.44I 69.44%NM 66.66%EV -3.75%E -2.60%K -8.52%G +0.000%7.06I 14.16%NM 13.60%EV +0.232%E +0.033%K +0.038%G +0.000%4.86I 20.58%NM 19.75%EV -7.85%E -1.61%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 11:30
ATG (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.57%EV -4.42%E -3.09%K -10.27%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.60%EV -0.619%E -0.088%K -0.103%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV -8.98%E -1.87%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 19:24
Svenska Spel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.57%EV -4.42%E -3.09%K -10.27%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.60%EV -0.619%E -0.088%K -0.103%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV -8.98%E -1.87%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 19:29
LowVig.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 67.94%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.59%EV -0.619%E -0.088%K -0.103%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.47%EV -2.35%E -0.456%K -0.565%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 14:14
BetOnline.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 67.94%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.59%EV -0.619%E -0.088%K -0.103%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.47%EV -2.35%E -0.456%K -0.565%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 14:14
FanDuel1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -8.43%E -6.15%K -22.78%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -0.619%E -0.088%K -0.103%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -3.29%E -0.646%K -0.803%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 11:49
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -9.10%E -6.69%K -25.27%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -0.619%E -0.088%K -0.103%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -5.19%E -1.04%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 11:45
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 66.79%EV -7.76%E -5.62%K -20.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -0.619%E -0.088%K -0.103%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -12.78%E -2.78%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 04:15
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -9.10%E -6.69%K -25.27%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -0.619%E -0.088%K -0.103%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -8.98%E -1.87%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 18:58
Pinnacle1.39I 71.94%NM 67.93%EV -7.09%E -5.10%K -18.18%G +0.000%6.89I 14.51%NM 13.70%EV -2.18%E -0.317%K -0.370%G +0.000%5.14I 19.46%NM 18.37%EV -2.54%E -0.493%K -0.612%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 04:30
Unibet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.43%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -4.17%E -0.618%K -0.725%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -10.88%E -2.31%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 17:45
Unibet (NL)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.43%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -4.17%E -0.618%K -0.725%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -10.88%E -2.31%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 17:44
BetRivers1.40I 71.43%NM 66.43%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -4.17%E -0.618%K -0.725%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -10.88%E -2.31%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 19:24
Unibet (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.43%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -4.17%E -0.618%K -0.725%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -10.88%E -2.31%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 17:44
Casumo1.40I 71.43%NM 66.43%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -4.17%E -0.618%K -0.725%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -10.88%E -2.31%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 17:45
Grosvenor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.43%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -4.17%E -0.618%K -0.725%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -10.88%E -2.31%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 17:44
betPARX1.40I 71.43%NM 66.43%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -4.17%E -0.618%K -0.725%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -10.88%E -2.31%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 17:45
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 66.47%EV -7.76%E -5.62%K -20.42%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.59%EV -4.17%E -0.618%K -0.725%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -12.78%E -2.78%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 19:24
LiveScore Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 66.63%EV -8.43%E -6.15%K -22.78%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.52%EV -4.17%E -0.618%K -0.725%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -12.78%E -2.78%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 19:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 66.79%EV -9.10%E -6.69%K -25.27%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -4.17%E -0.618%K -0.725%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -12.78%E -2.78%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 19:24
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -7.72%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -5.19%E -1.04%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-24 01:04
DraftKings1.39I 71.94%NM 67.03%EV -7.09%E -5.10%K -18.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -7.72%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -5.19%E -1.04%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-24 01:05
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 66.35%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -7.72%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -8.98%E -1.87%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 20:30
Bovada1.37I 72.99%NM 67.23%EV -8.43%E -6.15%K -22.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -7.72%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.61%EV -6.14%E -1.24%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 07:59
BetUS1.37I 72.99%NM 67.23%EV -8.43%E -6.15%K -22.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -7.72%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.61%EV -6.14%E -1.24%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 13:05
Bet Right1.37I 72.99%NM 66.70%EV -8.43%E -6.15%K -22.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.06%EV -7.72%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -9.93%E -2.09%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 22:45
betfred_uk1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -9.10%E -6.69%K -25.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -7.72%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -12.78%E -2.78%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 22:39
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -11.10%E -8.35%K -33.64%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -7.72%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -9.93%E -2.09%K -2.65%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-23 11:45
Virgin Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 66.33%EV -9.76%E -7.23%K -27.90%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -7.72%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -14.67%E -3.26%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-23 19:25
PMU (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 66.53%EV -11.77%E -8.92%K -36.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.51%EV -7.72%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.96%EV -16.57%E -3.77%K -4.87%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-23 19:24
LeoVegas1.32I 75.76%NM 66.53%EV -11.77%E -8.92%K -36.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.51%EV -7.72%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.96%EV -16.57%E -3.77%K -4.87%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-23 19:24
1xBet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.52%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%6.27I 15.95%NM 14.85%EV -10.98%E -1.75%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -5.19%E -1.04%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 04:09
Marathon Bet1.39I 71.94%NM 66.65%EV -7.09%E -5.10%K -18.18%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV -11.27%E -1.80%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -5.19%E -1.04%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 04:00
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 66.08%EV -9.10%E -6.69%K -25.27%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.38%EV -11.27%E -1.80%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -12.78%E -2.78%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-24 01:04
Everygame1.33I 75.19%NM 66.58%EV -11.10%E -8.35%K -33.64%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.17%EV -11.27%E -1.80%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%EV -12.78%E -2.78%K -3.55%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-24 03:04
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -14.82%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -5.19%E -1.04%K -1.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 11:00
Fanatics1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -14.82%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -9.93%E -2.09%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 05:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -14.82%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -14.67%E -3.26%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-23 20:30
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -14.82%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -14.67%E -3.26%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-23 20:29
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 66.09%EV -9.10%E -6.69%K -25.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -14.82%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.92%EV -9.93%E -2.09%K -2.65%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-24 03:05
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -9.10%E -6.69%K -25.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -14.82%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -14.67%E -3.26%K -4.19%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-23 04:15
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -9.10%E -6.69%K -25.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -14.82%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -14.67%E -3.26%K -4.19%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-23 04:14
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -9.10%E -6.69%K -25.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -14.82%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -14.67%E -3.26%K -4.19%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-23 04:14
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -9.10%E -6.69%K -25.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -14.82%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -14.67%E -3.26%K -4.19%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-23 04:14
Betclic (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 65.91%EV -11.10%E -8.35%K -33.64%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.61%EV -14.82%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.48%EV -14.67%E -3.26%K -4.19%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-23 19:02
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 63.83%EV -9.10%E -6.69%K -25.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.47%EV -14.82%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.70%EV -24.15%E -6.04%K -8.05%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-24 01:04
NetBet (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 66.59%EV -13.78%E -10.68%K -47.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.32%EV -14.82%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.09%EV -14.67%E -3.26%K -4.19%G +0.000%16.4%2026-04-23 13:00
Unibet (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 66.26%EV -13.11%E -10.08%K -43.69%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.60%EV -16.24%E -2.75%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.14%EV -14.67%E -3.26%K -4.19%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-23 19:05
Winamax (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 65.79%EV -9.76%E -7.23%K -27.90%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.31%EV -17.66%E -3.04%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.90%EV -10.88%E -2.31%K -2.94%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-23 19:04
Winamax (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 64.73%EV -12.44%E -9.50%K -40.12%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.00%EV -24.75%E -4.67%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.27%EV -16.57%E -3.77%K -4.87%G +0.000%17.9%2026-04-23 19:04
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.39I 71.94%NM 67.18%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.15%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%7.1%2026-04-24 01:05
Kalshi1.41I 70.92%NM 65.73%6.67I 14.99%NM 13.90%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.37%7.9%2026-04-24 03:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 66.17%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.41%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%11.9%2026-04-24 01:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 66.17%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.41%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%11.9%2026-04-24 01:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.35I 74.07%NM 66.17%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.41%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%11.9%2026-04-24 01:05
Smarkets1.32I 75.76%NM 65.00%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.05%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.95%16.6%2026-04-23 19:05