La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Cruz Azul v Necaxa
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cruz Azul (Local)
Predicción 66.84%1.50momio equitativo
EV -3.75%
Ventaja -2.60%
Kelly -8.52%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.44
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.83%66.84%66.73%68.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.291.371.381.4477.52%72.75%72.46%69.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Necaxa (Visitante)
Predicción 14.20%7.04momio equitativo
EV +5.06%
Ventaja +0.684%
Kelly +0.791%
Crecimiento +0.040%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.66%14.14%14.31%16.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.306.516.507.4018.87%15.36%15.38%13.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 18.96%5.27momio equitativo
EV -2.35%
Ventaja -0.456%
Kelly -0.565%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.34%19.02%18.96%21.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.724.705.1525.00%21.21%21.28%19.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.40%EV -7.09%E -5.10%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.66%EV +5.06%E +0.684%K +0.791%G +0.040% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -10.88%E -2.31%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 04:14 |
| Betsson | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.40%EV -7.09%E -5.10%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.66%EV +5.06%E +0.684%K +0.791%G +0.040% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -10.88%E -2.31%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 04:14 |
| Coolbet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.88%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.11%EV +2.93%E +0.404%K +0.469%G +0.014% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -5.19%E -1.04%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 11:44 |
| GTbets | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.66%EV -3.75%E -2.60%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 7.06I 14.16%NM 13.60%EV +0.232%E +0.033%K +0.038%G +0.000% | 4.86I 20.58%NM 19.75%EV -7.85%E -1.61%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-23 11:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.57%EV -4.42%E -3.09%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.60%EV -0.619%E -0.088%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV -8.98%E -1.87%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.57%EV -4.42%E -3.09%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.60%EV -0.619%E -0.088%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV -8.98%E -1.87%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 19:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.94%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.59%EV -0.619%E -0.088%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.47%EV -2.35%E -0.456%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 14:14 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.94%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.59%EV -0.619%E -0.088%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.47%EV -2.35%E -0.456%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 14:14 |
| FanDuel | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -8.43%E -6.15%K -22.78%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -0.619%E -0.088%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -3.29%E -0.646%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 11:49 |
| SportsBet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -9.10%E -6.69%K -25.27%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -0.619%E -0.088%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -5.19%E -1.04%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| PlayUp | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.79%EV -7.76%E -5.62%K -20.42%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -0.619%E -0.088%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -12.78%E -2.78%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 04:15 |
| Bet Victor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -9.10%E -6.69%K -25.27%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -0.619%E -0.088%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -8.98%E -1.87%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 18:58 |
| Pinnacle | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.93%EV -7.09%E -5.10%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 6.89I 14.51%NM 13.70%EV -2.18%E -0.317%K -0.370%G +0.000% | 5.14I 19.46%NM 18.37%EV -2.54%E -0.493%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 04:30 |
| Unibet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.43%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -4.17%E -0.618%K -0.725%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -10.88%E -2.31%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 17:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.43%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -4.17%E -0.618%K -0.725%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -10.88%E -2.31%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 17:44 |
| BetRivers | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.43%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -4.17%E -0.618%K -0.725%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -10.88%E -2.31%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.43%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -4.17%E -0.618%K -0.725%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -10.88%E -2.31%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 17:44 |
| Casumo | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.43%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -4.17%E -0.618%K -0.725%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -10.88%E -2.31%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 17:45 |
| Grosvenor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.43%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -4.17%E -0.618%K -0.725%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -10.88%E -2.31%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 17:44 |
| betPARX | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.43%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -4.17%E -0.618%K -0.725%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -10.88%E -2.31%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 17:45 |
| TABtouch | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.47%EV -7.76%E -5.62%K -20.42%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.59%EV -4.17%E -0.618%K -0.725%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -12.78%E -2.78%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.63%EV -8.43%E -6.15%K -22.78%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.52%EV -4.17%E -0.618%K -0.725%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -12.78%E -2.78%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.79%EV -9.10%E -6.69%K -25.27%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -4.17%E -0.618%K -0.725%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -12.78%E -2.78%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -7.72%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -5.19%E -1.04%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-24 01:04 |
| DraftKings | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.03%EV -7.09%E -5.10%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -7.72%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -5.19%E -1.04%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-24 01:05 |
| BetMGM | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.35%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -7.72%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -8.98%E -1.87%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 20:30 |
| Bovada | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.23%EV -8.43%E -6.15%K -22.78%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -7.72%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.61%EV -6.14%E -1.24%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 07:59 |
| BetUS | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.23%EV -8.43%E -6.15%K -22.78%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -7.72%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.61%EV -6.14%E -1.24%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 13:05 |
| Bet Right | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.70%EV -8.43%E -6.15%K -22.78%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.06%EV -7.72%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -9.93%E -2.09%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 22:45 |
| betfred_uk | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -9.10%E -6.69%K -25.27%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -7.72%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -12.78%E -2.78%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-23 22:39 |
| Paddy Power | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -11.10%E -8.35%K -33.64%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -7.72%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -9.93%E -2.09%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.33%EV -9.76%E -7.23%K -27.90%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -7.72%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -14.67%E -3.26%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-23 19:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 66.53%EV -11.77%E -8.92%K -36.78%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.51%EV -7.72%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.96%EV -16.57%E -3.77%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| LeoVegas | 1.32I 75.76%NM 66.53%EV -11.77%E -8.92%K -36.78%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.51%EV -7.72%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.96%EV -16.57%E -3.77%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| 1xBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.52%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 6.27I 15.95%NM 14.85%EV -10.98%E -1.75%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -5.19%E -1.04%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 04:09 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.65%EV -7.09%E -5.10%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV -11.27%E -1.80%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -5.19%E -1.04%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 04:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.08%EV -9.10%E -6.69%K -25.27%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.38%EV -11.27%E -1.80%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -12.78%E -2.78%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-24 01:04 |
| Everygame | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.58%EV -11.10%E -8.35%K -33.64%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.17%EV -11.27%E -1.80%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%EV -12.78%E -2.78%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-24 03:04 |
| Betway | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -14.82%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -5.19%E -1.04%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 11:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -14.82%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -9.93%E -2.09%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 05:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -14.82%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -14.67%E -3.26%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-23 20:30 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -14.82%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -14.67%E -3.26%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-23 20:29 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.09%EV -9.10%E -6.69%K -25.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -14.82%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.92%EV -9.93%E -2.09%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-24 03:05 |
| 888sport | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -9.10%E -6.69%K -25.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -14.82%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -14.67%E -3.26%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-23 04:15 |
| William Hill | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -9.10%E -6.69%K -25.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -14.82%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -14.67%E -3.26%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-23 04:14 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -9.10%E -6.69%K -25.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -14.82%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -14.67%E -3.26%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-23 04:14 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -9.10%E -6.69%K -25.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -14.82%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -14.67%E -3.26%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-23 04:14 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.91%EV -11.10%E -8.35%K -33.64%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.61%EV -14.82%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.48%EV -14.67%E -3.26%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-23 19:02 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 63.83%EV -9.10%E -6.69%K -25.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.47%EV -14.82%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.70%EV -24.15%E -6.04%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-04-24 01:04 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 66.59%EV -13.78%E -10.68%K -47.50%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.32%EV -14.82%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.09%EV -14.67%E -3.26%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-04-23 13:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 66.26%EV -13.11%E -10.08%K -43.69%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 14.60%EV -16.24%E -2.75%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.14%EV -14.67%E -3.26%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-04-23 19:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 65.79%EV -9.76%E -7.23%K -27.90%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.31%EV -17.66%E -3.04%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.90%EV -10.88%E -2.31%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-23 19:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 64.73%EV -12.44%E -9.50%K -40.12%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.00%EV -24.75%E -4.67%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.27%EV -16.57%E -3.77%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-04-23 19:04 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.18% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.15% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68% | 7.1% | 2026-04-24 01:05 |
| Kalshi | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.73% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 13.90% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.37% | 7.9% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.17% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.41% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42% | 11.9% | 2026-04-24 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.17% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.41% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42% | 11.9% | 2026-04-24 01:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.17% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.41% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42% | 11.9% | 2026-04-24 01:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.32I 75.76%NM 65.00% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.05% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 19.95% | 16.6% | 2026-04-23 19:05 |