Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlético San Luis v Santos Laguna

Kickoff: 2026-04-23 01:00 UTC

Final: Atlético San Luis 2–0 Santos Laguna

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlético San Luis (Local)

Prediction 49.83%2.01fair odd
EV -3.32%
Edge -1.71%
Kelly -3.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.94

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.16%50.02%49.74%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.811.801.9459.52%55.22%55.56%51.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Santos Laguna (Visit)

Prediction 25.74%3.89fair odd
EV +2.94%
Edge +0.735%
Kelly +0.980%
Growth +0.029%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.64%25.48%25.76%27.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.683.664.0030.77%27.20%27.32%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.43%4.09fair odd
EV -0.562%
Edge -0.138%
Kelly -0.183%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.44%24.50%24.51%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.763.764.0730.30%26.63%26.60%24.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlético San Luis (Local): 49.83%; Santos Laguna (Visit): 25.74%; Draw: 24.43%. For Santos Laguna (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.89. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.94%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.16%EV -7.81%E -4.22%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.13%EV +2.94%E +0.735%K +0.980%G +0.029%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.71%EV -0.562%E -0.138%K -0.183%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-22 23:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.16%EV -7.81%E -4.22%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.13%EV +2.94%E +0.735%K +0.980%G +0.029%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.71%EV -0.562%E -0.138%K -0.183%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-22 23:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.20%EV -9.30%E -5.11%K -11.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.75%EV +2.94%E +0.735%K +0.980%G +0.029%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -3.49%E -0.885%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 00:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.20%EV -9.30%E -5.11%K -11.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.75%EV +2.94%E +0.735%K +0.980%G +0.029%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -3.49%E -0.885%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 00:30
Coolbet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -7.31%E -3.93%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV +0.368%E +0.094%K +0.127%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -4.72%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 00:44
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -10.30%E -5.72%K -12.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV +0.368%E +0.094%K +0.127%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -4.72%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 00:44
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -10.30%E -5.72%K -12.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV +0.368%E +0.094%K +0.127%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -4.72%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 00:43
Unibet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.12%EV -11.30%E -6.35%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV +0.368%E +0.094%K +0.127%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -5.94%E -1.54%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 00:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.12%EV -11.30%E -6.35%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV +0.368%E +0.094%K +0.127%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -5.94%E -1.54%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 00:30
Casumo🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.12%EV -11.30%E -6.35%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV +0.368%E +0.094%K +0.127%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -5.94%E -1.54%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 00:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.12%EV -11.30%E -6.35%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV +0.368%E +0.094%K +0.127%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -5.94%E -1.54%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 00:29
Grosvenor🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.12%EV -11.30%E -6.35%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV +0.368%E +0.094%K +0.127%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -5.94%E -1.54%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 00:29
betPARX🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.12%EV -11.30%E -6.35%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV +0.368%E +0.094%K +0.127%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -5.94%E -1.54%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 00:30
BetRivers🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.26%EV -11.80%E -6.66%K -15.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV +0.368%E +0.094%K +0.127%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -5.94%E -1.54%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 00:30
TABtouch🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.09%EV -11.80%E -6.66%K -15.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV +0.368%E +0.094%K +0.127%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -7.16%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 00:30
Bovada🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.79%EV -11.30%E -6.35%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -0.919%E -0.239%K -0.323%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -7.16%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 00:36
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.36%EV -13.29%E -7.64%K -17.96%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -0.919%E -0.239%K -0.323%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -7.16%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 00:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.36%EV -13.29%E -7.64%K -17.96%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -0.919%E -0.239%K -0.323%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -7.16%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 00:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.32%EV -14.29%E -8.31%K -19.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -2.21%E -0.581%K -0.788%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -8.38%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 00:30
Pinnacle🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.80%EV -3.32%E -1.71%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.56%EV -2.72%E -0.720%K -0.979%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.64%EV -4.23%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-23 00:50
1xBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.22%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.37%EV -2.72%E -0.720%K -0.979%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.41%EV -3.98%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 00:49
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.86%EV -6.81%E -3.64%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -2.27%E -0.568%K -0.757%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 23:34
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -12.79%E -7.31%K -17.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -8.38%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-23 00:44
LeoVegas🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.24%EV -16.28%E -9.69%K -23.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.72%EV -4.78%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.04%EV -10.82%E -2.97%K -4.08%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-23 00:29
PMU (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.24%EV -16.28%E -9.69%K -23.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.72%EV -4.78%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.04%EV -10.82%E -2.97%K -4.08%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-23 00:30
GTbets🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.46%EV -7.81%E -4.22%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.30%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -5.94%E -1.54%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 18:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.06%EV -7.81%E -4.22%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.31%EV -5.81%E -1.59%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.63%EV -8.14%E -2.16%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 00:49
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.52%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.91%EV -6.07%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.57%EV -5.94%E -1.54%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 00:53
Fliff🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -10.30%E -5.72%K -12.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -6.07%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.57%EV -9.60%E -2.60%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 00:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.89%EV -6.31%E -3.36%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -4.72%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 00:50
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -12.05%E -3.35%K -4.63%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 00:49
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.55%EV -6.81%E -3.64%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -8.38%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 00:54
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -12.79%E -7.31%K -17.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -12.05%E -3.35%K -4.63%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-23 00:45
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -4.32%E -2.25%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -8.64%E -2.43%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -9.60%E -2.60%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 00:50
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -4.32%E -2.25%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -8.64%E -2.43%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -9.60%E -2.60%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 00:50
Bet Right🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.07%EV -8.81%E -4.81%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -8.64%E -2.43%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -7.16%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 00:25
PlayUp🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.93%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -9.60%E -2.60%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 00:50
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.93%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -12.05%E -3.35%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 00:54
Everygame🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.40%EV -8.81%E -4.81%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.93%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -10.82%E -2.97%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-23 00:54
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -10.30%E -5.72%K -12.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -9.93%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -8.38%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 00:24
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -10.30%E -5.72%K -12.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -9.93%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -14.49%E -4.14%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-23 00:50
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -10.30%E -5.72%K -12.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -9.93%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -14.49%E -4.14%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-23 00:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -10.30%E -5.72%K -12.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -9.93%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -14.49%E -4.14%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-23 00:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -10.30%E -5.72%K -12.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -9.93%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -14.49%E -4.14%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-23 00:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 49.54%EV -13.79%E -7.97%K -18.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.49%EV -9.93%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.97%EV -19.37%E -5.87%K -8.42%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-23 00:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.68%EV -8.31%E -4.52%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -12.50%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.44%EV -4.72%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 00:49
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -8.81%E -4.81%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -12.50%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -12.05%E -3.35%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-23 00:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -8.81%E -4.81%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -12.50%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -12.05%E -3.35%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-23 00:54
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.47%EV -12.79%E -7.31%K -17.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -12.50%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.55%EV -8.38%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-23 00:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.15%EV -12.79%E -7.31%K -17.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.81%EV -12.50%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.04%EV -10.82%E -2.97%K -4.08%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-23 00:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 49.60%EV -11.80%E -6.66%K -15.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.21%EV -13.79%E -4.12%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 24.19%EV -11.31%E -3.12%K -4.30%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-23 00:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 49.56%EV -13.79%E -7.97%K -18.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.59%EV -13.79%E -4.12%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.85%EV -15.71%E -4.55%K -6.41%G +0.000%16.6%2026-04-23 00:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 49.29%EV -11.30%E -6.35%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.00%EV -16.36%E -5.03%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.71%EV -9.60%E -2.60%K -3.56%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-23 00:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.53%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.73%1.1%2026-04-23 00:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.22%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%1.1%2026-04-23 00:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.22%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%1.1%2026-04-23 00:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.22%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%1.1%2026-04-23 00:55
Matchbook1.97I 50.76%NM 50.22%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%1.1%2026-04-23 00:54
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 50.31%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.16%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.9%2026-04-23 00:50