La escuela de los momios

Atlético San Luis v Santos Laguna

Inicio: 2026-04-23 01:00 UTC

Final: Atlético San Luis 2–0 Santos Laguna

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Atlético San Luis (Local)

Predicción 49.83%2.01momio equitativo
EV -3.32%
Ventaja -1.71%
Kelly -3.54%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.94

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.16%50.02%49.74%52.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.681.811.801.9459.52%55.22%55.56%51.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Santos Laguna (Visitante)

Predicción 25.74%3.89momio equitativo
EV +2.94%
Ventaja +0.735%
Kelly +0.980%
Crecimiento +0.029%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.64%25.48%25.76%27.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.683.664.0030.77%27.20%27.32%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.43%4.09momio equitativo
EV -0.562%
Ventaja -0.138%
Kelly -0.183%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.07

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.44%24.50%24.51%25.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.763.764.0730.30%26.63%26.60%24.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.16%EV -7.81%E -4.22%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.13%EV +2.94%E +0.735%K +0.980%G +0.029%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.71%EV -0.562%E -0.138%K -0.183%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-22 23:54
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.16%EV -7.81%E -4.22%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.13%EV +2.94%E +0.735%K +0.980%G +0.029%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.71%EV -0.562%E -0.138%K -0.183%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-22 23:55
Svenska Spel1.82I 54.95%NM 52.20%EV -9.30%E -5.11%K -11.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.75%EV +2.94%E +0.735%K +0.980%G +0.029%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -3.49%E -0.885%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 00:29
ATG (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.20%EV -9.30%E -5.11%K -11.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.75%EV +2.94%E +0.735%K +0.980%G +0.029%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -3.49%E -0.885%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 00:30
Coolbet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -7.31%E -3.93%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV +0.368%E +0.094%K +0.127%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -4.72%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 00:44
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -10.30%E -5.72%K -12.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV +0.368%E +0.094%K +0.127%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -4.72%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 00:44
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -10.30%E -5.72%K -12.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV +0.368%E +0.094%K +0.127%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -4.72%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 00:43
Unibet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.12%EV -11.30%E -6.35%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV +0.368%E +0.094%K +0.127%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -5.94%E -1.54%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 00:29
Unibet (NL)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.12%EV -11.30%E -6.35%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV +0.368%E +0.094%K +0.127%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -5.94%E -1.54%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 00:30
Casumo1.78I 56.18%NM 52.12%EV -11.30%E -6.35%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV +0.368%E +0.094%K +0.127%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -5.94%E -1.54%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 00:30
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.12%EV -11.30%E -6.35%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV +0.368%E +0.094%K +0.127%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -5.94%E -1.54%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 00:29
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 52.12%EV -11.30%E -6.35%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV +0.368%E +0.094%K +0.127%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -5.94%E -1.54%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 00:29
betPARX1.78I 56.18%NM 52.12%EV -11.30%E -6.35%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV +0.368%E +0.094%K +0.127%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -5.94%E -1.54%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 00:30
BetRivers1.77I 56.50%NM 52.26%EV -11.80%E -6.66%K -15.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV +0.368%E +0.094%K +0.127%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -5.94%E -1.54%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 00:30
TABtouch1.77I 56.50%NM 52.09%EV -11.80%E -6.66%K -15.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV +0.368%E +0.094%K +0.127%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -7.16%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 00:30
Bovada1.78I 56.18%NM 51.79%EV -11.30%E -6.35%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -0.919%E -0.239%K -0.323%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -7.16%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 00:36
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 52.36%EV -13.29%E -7.64%K -17.96%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -0.919%E -0.239%K -0.323%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -7.16%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 00:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.36%EV -13.29%E -7.64%K -17.96%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -0.919%E -0.239%K -0.323%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -7.16%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 00:30
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 52.32%EV -14.29%E -8.31%K -19.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -2.21%E -0.581%K -0.788%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -8.38%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 00:30
Pinnacle1.94I 51.55%NM 49.80%EV -3.32%E -1.71%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.56%EV -2.72%E -0.720%K -0.979%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.64%EV -4.23%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-23 00:50
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.22%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.37%EV -2.72%E -0.720%K -0.979%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.41%EV -3.98%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 00:49
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 50.86%EV -6.81%E -3.64%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -2.27%E -0.568%K -0.757%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 23:34
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -12.79%E -7.31%K -17.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -8.38%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-23 00:44
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 52.24%EV -16.28%E -9.69%K -23.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.72%EV -4.78%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.04%EV -10.82%E -2.97%K -4.08%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-23 00:29
PMU (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.24%EV -16.28%E -9.69%K -23.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.72%EV -4.78%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.04%EV -10.82%E -2.97%K -4.08%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-23 00:30
GTbets1.85I 54.05%NM 50.46%EV -7.81%E -4.22%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.30%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -5.94%E -1.54%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 18:15
Marathon Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.06%EV -7.81%E -4.22%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.31%EV -5.81%E -1.59%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.63%EV -8.14%E -2.16%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 00:49
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.52%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.91%EV -6.07%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.57%EV -5.94%E -1.54%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 00:53
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -10.30%E -5.72%K -12.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -6.07%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.57%EV -9.60%E -2.60%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 00:54
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.89%EV -6.31%E -3.36%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -4.72%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 00:50
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -12.05%E -3.35%K -4.63%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 00:49
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 49.55%EV -6.81%E -3.64%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -8.38%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 00:54
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -12.79%E -7.31%K -17.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -12.05%E -3.35%K -4.63%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-23 00:45
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -4.32%E -2.25%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -8.64%E -2.43%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -9.60%E -2.60%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 00:50
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -4.32%E -2.25%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -8.64%E -2.43%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -9.60%E -2.60%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 00:50
Bet Right1.83I 54.64%NM 50.07%EV -8.81%E -4.81%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -8.64%E -2.43%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -7.16%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 00:25
PlayUp1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.93%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -9.60%E -2.60%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 00:50
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -4.82%E -2.52%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.93%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -12.05%E -3.35%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 00:54
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 49.40%EV -8.81%E -4.81%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.93%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -10.82%E -2.97%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-23 00:54
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -10.30%E -5.72%K -12.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -9.93%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -8.38%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 00:24
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -10.30%E -5.72%K -12.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -9.93%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -14.49%E -4.14%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-23 00:50
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -10.30%E -5.72%K -12.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -9.93%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -14.49%E -4.14%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-23 00:49
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -10.30%E -5.72%K -12.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -9.93%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -14.49%E -4.14%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-23 00:45
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -10.30%E -5.72%K -12.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -9.93%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -14.49%E -4.14%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-23 00:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.54%EV -13.79%E -7.97%K -18.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.49%EV -9.93%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.97%EV -19.37%E -5.87%K -8.42%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-23 00:45
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.68%EV -8.31%E -4.52%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -12.50%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.44%EV -4.72%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 00:49
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -8.81%E -4.81%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -12.50%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -12.05%E -3.35%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-23 00:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -8.81%E -4.81%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -12.50%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -12.05%E -3.35%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-23 00:54
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 50.47%EV -12.79%E -7.31%K -17.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -12.50%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.55%EV -8.38%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-23 00:49
Unibet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.15%EV -12.79%E -7.31%K -17.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.81%EV -12.50%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.04%EV -10.82%E -2.97%K -4.08%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-23 00:50
Betclic (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 49.60%EV -11.80%E -6.66%K -15.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.21%EV -13.79%E -4.12%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 24.19%EV -11.31%E -3.12%K -4.30%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-23 00:50
NetBet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.56%EV -13.79%E -7.97%K -18.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.59%EV -13.79%E -4.12%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.85%EV -15.71%E -4.55%K -6.41%G +0.000%16.6%2026-04-23 00:54
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 49.29%EV -11.30%E -6.35%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.00%EV -16.36%E -5.03%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.71%EV -9.60%E -2.60%K -3.56%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-23 00:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.53%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.73%1.1%2026-04-23 00:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.22%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%1.1%2026-04-23 00:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.22%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%1.1%2026-04-23 00:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.22%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%1.1%2026-04-23 00:55
Matchbook1.97I 50.76%NM 50.22%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%1.1%2026-04-23 00:54
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 50.31%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.16%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.9%2026-04-23 00:50