Language:English
Atlético San Luis v Puebla
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Atlético San Luis (Local)
Prediction 43.48%2.30fair odd
EV -4.35%
Edge -1.98%
Kelly -3.63%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.08%43.70%43.43%47.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.852.072.102.2054.05%48.20%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Puebla (Visit)
Prediction 28.77%3.48fair odd
EV +3.57%
Edge +0.993%
Kelly +1.37%
Growth +0.049%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.65%28.57%28.78%29.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.283.273.6034.72%30.50%30.53%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.75%3.60fair odd
EV -1.20%
Edge -0.337%
Kelly -0.469%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.76%27.73%27.79%28.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.333.353.5633.33%30.02%29.85%28.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlético San Luis (Local): 43.48%; Puebla (Visit): 28.77%; Draw: 27.75%. For Puebla (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.48. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.57%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.59%EV -15.65%E -8.07%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV +3.57%E +0.993%K +1.37%G +0.049% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -4.25%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-28 22:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.94%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.61%EV +0.697%E +0.199%K +0.279%G +0.002% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.45%EV -2.31%E -0.656%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-02-28 22:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.94%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.61%EV +0.697%E +0.199%K +0.279%G +0.002% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.45%EV -2.31%E -0.656%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-02-28 22:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -10.00%E -4.83%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.09%EV +0.697%E +0.199%K +0.279%G +0.002% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.09%EV -2.87%E -0.819%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-28 22:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -10.00%E -4.83%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.09%EV +0.697%E +0.199%K +0.279%G +0.002% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.09%EV -2.87%E -0.819%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-28 22:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.63%EV +0.121%E +0.035%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.01%EV -1.20%E -0.337%K -0.469%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-28 22:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.18%EV -9.13%E -4.37%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.13%EV +0.121%E +0.035%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.69%EV -5.36%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 22:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -12.18%E -6.03%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -0.742%E -0.215%K -0.303%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -4.25%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 22:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -12.18%E -6.03%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -0.742%E -0.215%K -0.303%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -4.25%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 22:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -12.18%E -6.03%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -0.742%E -0.215%K -0.303%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -4.25%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 22:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -12.18%E -6.03%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -0.742%E -0.215%K -0.303%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -4.25%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 22:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -12.18%E -6.03%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -0.742%E -0.215%K -0.303%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -4.25%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 22:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -12.18%E -6.03%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -0.742%E -0.215%K -0.303%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -4.25%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 22:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.20%EV -4.79%E -2.19%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.14%EV -1.03%E -0.299%K -0.422%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.66%EV -2.87%E -0.819%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-02-28 22:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.49%EV -6.96%E -3.25%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.68%EV -1.03%E -0.299%K -0.422%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.84%EV -5.09%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 22:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -13.05%E -6.52%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -2.18%E -0.641%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 22:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -10.87%E -5.30%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -3.62%E -1.08%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 22:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.83%EV -13.92%E -7.03%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -3.62%E -1.08%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -7.03%E -2.10%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 22:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.95%EV -14.35%E -7.28%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.02%EV -3.62%E -1.08%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.02%EV -7.03%E -2.10%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-02-28 22:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.08%EV -14.79%E -7.54%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -3.62%E -1.08%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -7.03%E -2.10%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-28 22:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.06%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-28 22:33 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -13.05%E -6.52%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -5.06%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-28 22:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 46.56%EV -19.57%E -10.58%K -23.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.10%EV -5.06%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.34%EV -12.58%E -3.99%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-02-28 22:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -6.50%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 22:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -6.50%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.03%E -2.10%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 22:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.50%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-28 22:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -6.50%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-28 22:43 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.84%EV -16.52%E -8.61%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.08%EV -6.50%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.08%EV -9.80%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-02-28 22:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -5.22%E -2.39%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -7.03%E -2.10%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 22:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -5.22%E -2.39%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -7.03%E -2.10%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 22:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.30%EV -6.96%E -3.25%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.74%EV -7.31%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-28 22:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -9.37%E -2.98%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 22:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 22:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 22:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -7.03%E -2.10%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-28 22:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -9.80%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-28 22:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -10.87%E -5.30%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -9.80%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-02-28 22:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.97%E -4.51%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-28 22:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.97%E -4.51%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-28 22:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.97%E -4.51%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-28 22:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.97%E -4.51%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-28 22:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.97%E -4.51%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-28 22:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.44%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.91%EV -12.25%E -4.02%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-28 22:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.41%EV -12.18%E -6.03%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.75%EV -12.25%E -4.02%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.84%EV -12.58%E -3.99%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-02-28 22:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.64%EV -13.05%E -6.52%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.09%EV -13.69%E -4.56%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-02-28 22:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -13.05%E -6.52%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -17.14%E -5.95%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -16.74%E -5.58%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-02-28 22:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.60% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00% | 0.6% | 2026-02-28 22:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.60% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00% | 0.6% | 2026-02-28 22:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.81% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89% | 1.0% | 2026-02-28 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.81% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89% | 1.0% | 2026-02-28 22:54 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.68% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.36% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.96% | 2.2% | 2026-02-28 22:54 |