Language:English
Atlético San Luis v Pachuca
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Atlético San Luis (Local)
Prediction 29.58%3.38fair odd
EV +3.83%
Edge +1.09%
Kelly +1.52%
Growth +0.058%
assuming max odds 3.51
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.30%29.56%29.53%31.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.133.103.5134.72%31.97%32.26%28.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Pachuca (Visit)
Prediction 43.60%2.29fair odd
EV -3.20%
Edge -1.44%
Kelly -2.62%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.61%43.72%43.65%45.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.092.102.2251.81%47.80%47.62%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.82%3.73fair odd
EV -2.65%
Edge -0.731%
Kelly -1.01%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.63
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.22%26.72%26.82%27.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.443.433.6331.25%29.03%29.15%27.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlético San Luis (Local): 29.58%; Pachuca (Visit): 43.60%; Draw: 26.82%. For Atlético San Luis (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.38. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.51, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.83%.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.30%EV +3.83%E +1.09%K +1.52%G +0.058% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.63%EV -8.43%E -4.02%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.07%EV -5.07%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-23 22:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.24%EV -2.09%E -0.632%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.80%EV -3.64%E -1.65%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.96%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-23 22:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -2.39%E -0.723%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -9.31%E -4.47%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -4.80%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-23 23:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -2.39%E -0.723%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -10.61%E -5.18%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-23 22:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.72%EV -3.87%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.52%EV -3.20%E -1.44%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.76%EV -3.19%E -0.884%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-23 22:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.72%EV -3.87%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.52%EV -3.20%E -1.44%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.76%EV -3.19%E -0.884%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-23 22:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -3.87%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -8.43%E -4.02%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-23 22:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.17%EV -6.25%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.16%EV -2.65%E -0.731%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-23 22:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.25%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-23 22:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.25%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-23 22:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.33%EV -9.74%E -4.71%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-23 22:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.33%EV -9.74%E -4.71%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-23 22:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.33%EV -9.74%E -4.71%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-23 22:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.33%EV -9.74%E -4.71%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-23 22:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -10.61%E -5.18%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -7.48%E -2.17%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-23 23:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -10.61%E -5.18%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -7.48%E -2.17%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-23 23:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -10.61%E -5.18%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -7.48%E -2.17%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-23 23:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.16%EV -5.94%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.73%EV -7.56%E -3.57%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.11%EV -8.29%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-23 22:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.24%EV -6.82%E -2.17%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.07%E -1.85%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -3.46%E -0.961%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-23 13:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -6.82%E -2.17%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.70%EV -6.25%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -4.80%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-23 22:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.86%EV -7.12%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.81%EV -4.51%E -2.06%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.33%EV -8.02%E -2.34%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-23 22:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.25%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-23 22:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -8.43%E -4.02%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -3.46%E -0.961%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-23 22:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.25%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-23 22:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.43%E -4.02%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-23 22:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -10.61%E -5.18%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-23 22:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.35%EV -11.92%E -5.90%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -10.16%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-23 22:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -12.79%E -6.40%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -11.50%E -3.49%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-23 22:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -12.79%E -6.40%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -11.50%E -3.49%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-23 22:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.79%EV -14.10%E -7.16%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.74%EV -11.50%E -3.49%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-23 23:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.43%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.78%EV -7.56%E -3.57%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -3.46%E -0.961%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-23 22:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -6.25%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-23 22:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -6.25%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-23 22:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 29.59%EV -10.67%E -3.53%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.17%EV -9.74%E -4.71%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 27.24%EV -12.04%E -3.67%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-23 22:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.43%E -4.02%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-23 22:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -10.61%E -5.18%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-23 22:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -10.61%E -5.18%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-23 22:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.43%E -4.02%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.50%E -3.49%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-23 22:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.64%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 44.51%EV -15.85%E -8.21%K -17.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.85%EV -14.19%E -4.43%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-08-23 22:44 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.97I 33.67%NM 29.43%EV -12.15%E -4.09%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.26%EV -11.92%E -5.90%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.31%EV -14.19%E -4.43%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-23 22:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -14.22%E -4.90%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -10.61%E -5.18%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-23 22:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -14.81%E -5.14%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -8.43%E -4.02%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-23 22:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.65%EV -14.81%E -5.14%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.13%EV -12.79%E -6.40%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.22%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-23 22:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.81% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.59% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61% | 0.6% | 2026-08-23 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.40% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49% | 1.0% | 2026-08-23 22:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.40% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49% | 1.0% | 2026-08-23 22:54 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.02% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87% | 1.1% | 2026-08-23 23:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.00% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.62% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.38% | 1.4% | 2026-08-23 22:54 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.41% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47% | 2.1% | 2026-08-23 23:00 |