Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Atlético San Luis v Pachuca

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-23 23:02 UTC

Score final : Atlético San Luis 1–1 Pachuca

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

43 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Atlético San Luis (Local)

Prévision 29.58%3.38cote équitable
EV +3.83%
Avantage +1.09%
Kelly +1.52%
Croissance +0.058%

avec la cote maximale 3.51

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.30%29.56%29.53%31.07%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.883.133.103.5134.72%31.97%32.26%28.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pachuca (Visiteur)

Prévision 43.60%2.29cote équitable
EV -3.20%
Avantage -1.44%
Kelly -2.62%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.61%43.72%43.65%45.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.932.092.102.2251.81%47.80%47.62%45.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.82%3.73cote équitable
EV -2.65%
Avantage -0.731%
Kelly -1.01%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.63

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.22%26.72%26.82%27.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.443.433.6331.25%29.03%29.15%27.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Atlético San Luis (Local) : 29.58% ; Pachuca (Visiteur) : 43.60% ; Match nul : 26.82%. Pour Atlético San Luis (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.38. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.51, soit une espérance positive de +3.83%.

Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯3.51I 28.49%NM 27.30%EV +3.83%E +1.09%K +1.52%G +0.058%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.63%EV -8.43%E -4.02%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.07%EV -5.07%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-23 22:59
Pinnacle🎯3.31I 30.21%NM 29.24%EV -2.09%E -0.632%K -0.905%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.80%EV -3.64%E -1.65%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.96%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-23 22:50
ATG (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -2.39%E -0.723%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -9.31%E -4.47%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -4.80%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 23:00
Tipico (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -2.39%E -0.723%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -10.61%E -5.18%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 22:49
LowVig.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.72%EV -3.87%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.52%EV -3.20%E -1.44%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.76%EV -3.19%E -0.884%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-23 22:05
BetOnline.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.72%EV -3.87%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.52%EV -3.20%E -1.44%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.76%EV -3.19%E -0.884%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-23 22:04
Svenska Spel🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -3.87%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -8.43%E -4.02%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-23 22:44
BetUS🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.17%EV -6.25%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.16%EV -2.65%E -0.731%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 22:29
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.25%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 22:04
Unibet (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.25%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 22:59
Unibet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.33%EV -9.74%E -4.71%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 22:44
BetRivers🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.33%EV -9.74%E -4.71%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 22:44
Grosvenor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.33%EV -9.74%E -4.71%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 22:44
Unibet (NL)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.33%EV -9.74%E -4.71%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 22:44
Unibet (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -10.61%E -5.18%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -7.48%E -2.17%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 23:00
Casumo🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -10.61%E -5.18%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -7.48%E -2.17%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 23:00
betPARX🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.34%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -10.61%E -5.18%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -7.48%E -2.17%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 23:00
Marathon Bet🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 29.16%EV -5.94%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.73%EV -7.56%E -3.57%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.11%EV -8.29%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 22:54
Coolbet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.24%EV -6.82%E -2.17%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.07%E -1.85%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -3.46%E -0.961%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-23 13:19
DraftKings🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -6.82%E -2.17%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.70%EV -6.25%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -4.80%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 22:34
GTbets🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 29.86%EV -7.12%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.81%EV -4.51%E -2.06%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.33%EV -8.02%E -2.34%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-23 22:15
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.25%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-23 22:14
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -8.43%E -4.02%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -3.46%E -0.961%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-23 22:24
PlayUp🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.25%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-23 22:49
LeoVegas🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.43%E -4.02%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-23 22:59
Fliff🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -10.61%E -5.18%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-23 22:24
TABtouch🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.35%EV -11.92%E -5.90%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -10.16%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-23 22:20
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -12.79%E -6.40%K -12.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -11.50%E -3.49%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-23 22:44
Virgin Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -12.79%E -6.40%K -12.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -11.50%E -3.49%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-23 22:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -8.30%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 44.79%EV -14.10%E -7.16%K -14.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.74%EV -11.50%E -3.49%K -5.00%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-23 23:00
SportsBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.43%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.78%EV -7.56%E -3.57%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -3.46%E -0.961%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-23 22:20
Betsson🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -6.25%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 22:49
NordicBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -9.78%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -6.25%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 22:49
Betclic (FR)🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 29.59%EV -10.67%E -3.53%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.17%EV -9.74%E -4.71%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 27.24%EV -12.04%E -3.67%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-23 22:34
Bet Right🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.43%E -4.02%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-23 22:54
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -10.61%E -5.18%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-23 22:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -10.61%E -5.18%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-23 22:49
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.43%E -4.02%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.50%E -3.49%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-23 22:04
PMU (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 28.64%EV -11.26%E -3.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 44.51%EV -15.85%E -8.21%K -17.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.85%EV -14.19%E -4.43%K -6.45%G +0.000%16.4%2026-08-23 22:44
NetBet (FR)🎯2.97I 33.67%NM 29.43%EV -12.15%E -4.09%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.26%EV -11.92%E -5.90%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.31%EV -14.19%E -4.43%K -6.45%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-23 22:54
Sky Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -14.22%E -4.90%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -10.61%E -5.18%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.68%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-23 22:24
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -14.81%E -5.14%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -8.43%E -4.02%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-23 22:54
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.65%EV -14.81%E -5.14%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.13%EV -12.79%E -6.40%K -12.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.22%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-23 22:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.81%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.59%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-08-23 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.40%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-08-23 22:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.40%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-08-23 22:54
Matchbook◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%1.1%2026-08-23 23:00
Smarkets◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.00%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.62%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.38%1.4%2026-08-23 22:54
Kalshi◎3.33I 30.03%NM 29.41%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47%2.1%2026-08-23 23:00