The School of Odds

Atlético San Luis v Cruz Azul

2026-07-18 01:00 — Liga MX

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Option 1: Atlético San Luis (Local)

Odds
3.5028.57%Min
3.8226.18%Mean
3.8525.97%Median
4.0724.57%Max
Consensus probabilities
23.15%4.319Min
24.63%4.061Max
23.89%4.185Mean
23.89%4.185Median
23.89%4.185IQM
23.89%4.185Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.07 under the IQM model: 23.89%

EV -2.75%Edge -0.676%Kelly -0.897%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Cruz Azul (Visit)

Odds
1.7557.14%Min
1.8155.35%Mean
1.8155.10%Median
1.8653.76%Max
Consensus probabilities
49.25%2.030Min
51.19%1.953Max
50.92%1.964Mean
50.92%1.964Median
50.92%1.964IQM
50.92%1.964Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.86 under the IQM model: 50.92%

EV -5.29%Edge -2.84%Kelly -6.15%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds
3.3030.30%Min
3.5727.97%Mean
3.6027.78%Median
3.7027.03%Max
Consensus probabilities
25.19%3.971Min
26.18%3.820Max
25.19%3.971Mean
25.19%3.971Median
25.19%3.971IQM
25.19%3.971Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.70 under the IQM model: 25.19%

EV -6.81%Edge -1.84%Kelly -2.52%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

BookmakerAtlético San Luis (Local) ▼Cruz Azul (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet4.07I 24.57% NM 23.15%EV -2.75% E -0.676% K -0.897% G +0.000%1.86I 53.76% NM 50.67%EV -5.29% E -2.84% K -6.15% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 26.18%EV -9.33% E -2.59% K -3.59% G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 16:40
SportsBet3.90I 25.64% NM 24.03%EV -6.81% E -1.75% K -2.35% G +0.000%1.85I 54.05% NM 50.65%EV -5.80% E -3.13% K -6.82% G +0.000%3.70I 27.03% NM 25.32%EV -6.81% E -1.84% K -2.52% G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-05 16:39
FanDuel3.90I 25.64% NM 23.89%EV -6.81% E -1.75% K -2.35% G +0.000%1.83I 54.64% NM 50.92%EV -6.81% E -3.72% K -8.21% G +0.000%3.70I 27.03% NM 25.19%EV -6.81% E -1.84% K -2.52% G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-05 16:43
LeoVegas3.80I 26.32% NM 23.57%EV -9.20% E -2.42% K -3.29% G +0.000%1.75I 57.14% NM 51.19%EV -10.89% E -6.22% K -14.52% G +0.000%3.55I 28.17% NM 25.23%EV -10.59% E -2.98% K -4.15% G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-05 16:50
Paddy Power3.75I 26.67% NM 24.24%EV -10.40% E -2.77% K -3.78% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 50.51%EV -8.34% E -4.63% K -10.43% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.25%EV -9.33% E -2.59% K -3.59% G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-05 16:45
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57% NM 24.63%EV -16.37% E -4.68% K -6.55% G +0.000%1.75I 57.14% NM 49.25%EV -10.89% E -6.22% K -14.52% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 26.12%EV -16.89% E -5.12% K -7.34% G +0.000%16.0%2026-07-05 17:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerAtlético San Luis (Local)Cruz Azul (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.01I 99.01%191.3%2026-07-05 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.01I 99.01%191.3%2026-07-05 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.01I 99.01%191.3%2026-07-05 16:55