La scuola delle quote

Atlético San Luis v Cruz Azul

Inizio: 2026-07-18 01:01 UTC

Finale: Atlético San Luis 2–3 Cruz Azul

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

47 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Atlético San Luis (Casa)

Previsione 18.99%5.27quota equa
EV +0.836%
Vantaggio +0.157%
Kelly +0.194%
Crescita +0.002%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.31

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.68%19.03%19.03%21.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.254.734.625.3123.53%21.16%21.65%18.83%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Cruz Azul (Trasferta)

Previsione 56.70%1.76quota equa
EV -1.35%
Vantaggio -0.774%
Kelly -1.82%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.74

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
53.48%56.57%56.61%58.31%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.531.651.651.7465.36%60.66%60.61%57.47%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 24.31%4.11quota equa
EV -2.26%
Vantaggio -0.563%
Kelly -0.749%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.02

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.76%24.39%24.36%25.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.503.763.754.0228.57%26.59%26.67%24.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (47 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle5.31I 18.83%NM 18.05%EV +0.836%E +0.157%K +0.194%G +0.002%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.10%EV -6.45%E -3.91%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.85%EV -2.26%E -0.563%K -0.749%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-18 00:45
Coolbet5.30I 18.87%NM 17.93%EV +0.646%E +0.122%K +0.150%G +0.001%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.58%E -4.65%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -2.75%E -0.687%K -0.917%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 00:55
BetOnline.ag5.20I 19.23%NM 18.34%EV -1.25%E -0.241%K -0.298%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.81%EV -6.45%E -3.91%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.85%EV -2.75%E -0.687%K -0.917%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 00:35
LowVig.ag5.20I 19.23%NM 18.34%EV -1.25%E -0.241%K -0.298%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.81%EV -6.45%E -3.91%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.85%EV -2.75%E -0.687%K -0.917%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 00:45
SportsBet5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -1.25%E -0.241%K -0.298%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.39%EV -7.58%E -4.65%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -7.61%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-18 00:50
FanDuel5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -1.25%E -0.241%K -0.298%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.06%EV -8.72%E -5.41%K -14.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -5.18%E -1.33%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-18 00:49
Tipico (DE)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -1.25%E -0.241%K -0.298%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.47%EV -9.28%E -5.80%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -10.04%E -2.71%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-18 00:50
1xBet5.01I 19.96%NM 19.13%EV -4.86%E -0.970%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.37%EV -3.61%E -2.13%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.51%EV -4.94%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-18 00:49
Fanatics5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -5.05%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -5.32%E -3.18%K -7.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -2.75%E -0.687%K -0.917%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-18 00:40
BetUS5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -5.05%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.04%EV -6.45%E -3.91%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -5.18%E -1.33%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-18 00:50
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -5.05%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.53%EV -10.98%E -7.00%K -19.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -10.04%E -2.71%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-18 00:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -5.05%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.53%EV -10.98%E -7.00%K -19.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -10.04%E -2.71%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-18 00:45
NordicBet4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -6.00%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -4.75%E -2.83%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -10.04%E -2.71%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-18 00:55
Betsson4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -6.00%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -4.75%E -2.83%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -10.04%E -2.71%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-18 00:55
Marathon Bet4.90I 20.41%NM 18.91%EV -6.95%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.84%EV -7.58%E -4.65%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.25%EV -7.13%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-18 00:54
DraftKings4.80I 20.83%NM 19.78%EV -8.85%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.18%EV -4.18%E -2.47%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.97%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 00:35
Unibet (UK)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -9.80%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -5.32%E -3.18%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -7.61%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-18 00:45
Betway4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -9.80%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.13%EV -6.45%E -3.91%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -7.61%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-18 00:50
PlayUp4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -9.80%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.95%EV -6.45%E -3.91%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -8.83%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-18 00:55
Everygame4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -9.80%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -9.28%E -5.80%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -8.83%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-18 00:40
Sky Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 18.71%EV -9.80%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.60%EV -10.98%E -7.00%K -19.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -12.47%E -3.47%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-18 00:50
LeoVegas4.70I 21.28%NM 19.46%EV -10.75%E -2.29%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.47%EV -8.15%E -5.03%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.07%EV -7.61%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-18 00:55
Fliff4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -10.75%E -2.29%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.28%EV -8.15%E -5.03%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -8.83%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-18 00:55
GTbets4.62I 21.65%NM 19.99%EV -12.27%E -2.66%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.64%EV -4.18%E -2.47%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.37%EV -11.50%E -3.16%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-18 00:50
Svenska Spel4.60I 21.74%NM 20.67%EV -12.65%E -2.75%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.64%EV -1.35%E -0.774%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.69%EV -6.40%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 00:50
ATG (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.67%EV -12.65%E -2.75%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.64%EV -1.35%E -0.774%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.69%EV -6.40%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 00:50
Bet Right4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -12.65%E -2.75%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.93%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -7.61%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-18 00:55
William Hill4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -12.65%E -2.75%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -8.15%E -5.03%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -14.91%E -4.26%K -5.96%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-18 00:55
888sport4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -12.65%E -2.75%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -8.72%E -5.41%K -14.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -14.91%E -4.26%K -5.96%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-18 00:55
888sport (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -12.65%E -2.75%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -8.72%E -5.41%K -14.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -14.91%E -4.26%K -5.96%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-18 00:55
Mr Green (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -12.65%E -2.75%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -8.72%E -5.41%K -14.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -14.91%E -4.26%K -5.96%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-18 00:55
betPARX4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -14.55%E -3.23%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -3.61%E -2.13%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -7.61%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 00:50
Casumo4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -14.55%E -3.23%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -3.61%E -2.13%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -7.61%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 00:50
Grosvenor4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -14.55%E -3.23%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -3.61%E -2.13%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -7.61%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 00:50
Unibet (NL)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -14.55%E -3.23%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -3.61%E -2.13%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -7.61%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 00:50
Unibet (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -14.55%E -3.23%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -3.61%E -2.13%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -7.61%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 00:50
Unibet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -14.55%E -3.23%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -3.61%E -2.13%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -7.61%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 00:55
betfred_uk4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -14.55%E -3.23%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -8.15%E -5.03%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -8.83%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-18 00:55
Betclic (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.82%EV -14.55%E -3.23%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.74%EV -9.28%E -5.80%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.44%EV -11.26%E -3.08%K -4.25%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-18 00:48
NetBet (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.26%EV -14.55%E -3.23%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 56.66%EV -13.25%E -8.66%K -25.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.08%EV -12.47%E -3.47%K -4.80%G +0.000%15.4%2026-07-18 00:55
TABtouch4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -16.44%E -3.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -4.75%E -2.83%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -8.83%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-18 00:50
LeoVegas (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -16.44%E -3.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.62%EV -5.32%E -3.18%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -10.04%E -2.71%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-18 00:50
LiveScore Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -16.44%E -3.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.62%EV -5.32%E -3.18%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -10.04%E -2.71%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-18 00:50
Virgin Bet4.35I 22.99%NM 20.71%EV -17.39%E -4.00%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.60%EV -6.45%E -3.91%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.68%EV -11.26%E -3.08%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-18 00:50
Neds4.33I 23.09%NM 20.65%EV -17.77%E -4.10%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -8.15%E -5.03%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -10.04%E -2.71%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-18 00:55
BetRivers4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -18.34%E -4.27%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.48%EV -1.91%E -1.11%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -10.04%E -2.71%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-18 00:45
PMU (FR)4.25I 23.53%NM 20.75%EV -19.29%E -4.54%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 54.76%EV -8.72%E -5.41%K -14.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.49%EV -12.47%E -3.47%K -4.80%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-18 00:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook5.70I 17.54%NM 17.41%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.38%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.8%2026-07-18 00:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.52%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-07-18 00:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.52%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-07-18 00:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.52%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-07-18 00:55
Smarkets5.70I 17.54%NM 17.25%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.58%1.7%2026-07-18 00:55
Kalshi5.56I 17.99%NM 17.47%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.23%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.30%2.9%2026-07-18 00:55