Language:English
Atlas v Tijuana
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Atlas (Local)
Prediction 45.12%2.22fair odd
EV -1.65%
Edge -0.755%
Kelly -1.40%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.18
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.53%45.03%45.14%46.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.052.082.1852.63%48.66%48.08%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tijuana (Visit)
Prediction 27.21%3.67fair odd
EV +0.683%
Edge +0.184%
Kelly +0.253%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.07%27.28%27.17%28.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.353.303.7032.79%29.87%30.30%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.67%3.61fair odd
EV -2.87%
Edge -0.818%
Kelly -1.14%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.51
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.81%27.70%27.69%29.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.303.343.5134.72%30.29%29.94%28.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlas (Local): 45.12%; Tijuana (Visit): 27.21%; Draw: 27.67%. For Tijuana (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.67. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.683%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV +0.683%E +0.184%K +0.253%G +0.002% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-05 02:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.77%E -4.88%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV +0.683%E +0.184%K +0.253%G +0.002% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -10.07%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-05 02:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.01%EV -5.26%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.47%EV -0.678%E -0.186%K -0.256%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.52%EV -2.87%E -0.818%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-05 02:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.01%EV -5.26%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.47%EV -0.678%E -0.186%K -0.256%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.52%EV -2.87%E -0.818%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-05 02:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.46%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.50%EV -1.49%E -0.413%K -0.570%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.05%EV -5.36%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.60%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.78%EV -1.77%E -0.489%K -0.677%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.62%EV -3.15%E -0.899%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.35%EV -5.26%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.05%EV -4.22%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV -4.53%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 13:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -4.53%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-05 02:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -12.02%E -6.17%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -14.22%E -4.59%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-05 02:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.10%EV -5.71%E -2.73%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.01%EV -5.03%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.89%EV -6.47%E -1.91%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.16%E -2.96%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -6.12%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -7.30%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-05 02:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.16%E -2.96%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -6.12%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -7.30%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-05 02:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.16%E -2.96%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -6.12%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -7.30%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-05 02:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.26%EV -7.96%E -3.90%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -6.12%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.18%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.08%EV -6.94%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.73%EV -7.57%E -2.27%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.26%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.48%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-04 04:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.48%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-05 02:48 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.08%EV -7.96%E -3.90%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -7.48%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -12.02%E -6.17%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -7.48%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -14.22%E -4.59%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-03-05 02:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.42%EV -6.16%E -2.96%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -8.84%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -9.77%E -4.88%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -8.84%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.07%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -9.77%E -4.88%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -8.84%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.07%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-05 02:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.62%EV -1.65%E -0.755%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -10.20%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -4.53%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.62%EV -1.65%E -0.755%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -10.20%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -4.53%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.26%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -10.20%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-05 02:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -9.77%E -4.88%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.20%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-05 02:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.05%EV -12.02%E -6.17%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -10.20%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -14.22%E -4.59%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-05 02:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.05%EV -12.02%E -6.17%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -10.20%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -14.22%E -4.59%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-05 02:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.05%EV -12.02%E -6.17%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -10.20%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -14.22%E -4.59%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-05 02:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.05%EV -12.02%E -6.17%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -10.20%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -14.22%E -4.59%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-05 02:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.53%EV -3.45%E -1.61%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -11.56%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -7.30%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.53%EV -3.45%E -1.61%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -11.56%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -7.30%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-05 02:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.53%EV -3.45%E -1.61%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -11.56%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -7.30%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.53%EV -3.45%E -1.61%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -11.56%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -7.30%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.53%EV -3.45%E -1.61%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -11.56%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -7.30%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.53%EV -3.45%E -1.61%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -11.56%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -7.30%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -9.77%E -4.88%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -11.56%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-05 02:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.27%EV -12.47%E -6.43%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.02%EV -11.56%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 27.71%EV -12.28%E -3.87%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-05 02:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -12.92%E -4.04%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -7.30%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-05 02:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -5.26%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -12.92%E -4.04%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.30%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-05 02:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -5.26%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -12.92%E -4.04%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.30%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-05 01:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -5.26%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -12.92%E -4.04%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-05 02:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 45.32%EV -14.28%E -7.52%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.91%EV -12.92%E -4.04%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.78%EV -14.22%E -4.59%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-03-05 02:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.25%EV -13.83%E -7.24%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.41%EV -12.92%E -4.04%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.34%EV -20.30%E -7.05%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 18.3% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.66%EV -6.16%E -2.96%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -14.28%E -4.53%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.66%EV -6.16%E -2.96%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -14.28%E -4.53%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 43.71%EV -7.06%E -3.43%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -14.28%E -4.53%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -10.07%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 44.94%EV -11.57%E -5.90%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.96%EV -14.28%E -4.53%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%EV -10.07%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-05 02:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.60%EV -8.87%E -4.39%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.88%EV -17.00%E -5.58%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.52%EV -11.45%E -3.58%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.44% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40% | 0.6% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.44% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40% | 0.6% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.44% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40% | 0.6% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.44% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40% | 0.6% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.34% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.19% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.47% | 1.8% | 2026-03-05 02:50 |