La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Atlas v Tijuana
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Atlas (Local)
Predicción 45.12%2.22momio equitativo
EV -1.65%
Ventaja -0.755%
Kelly -1.40%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.18
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.53%45.03%45.14%46.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.902.052.082.1852.63%48.66%48.08%45.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Tijuana (Visitante)
Predicción 27.21%3.67momio equitativo
EV +0.683%
Ventaja +0.184%
Kelly +0.253%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.07%27.28%27.17%28.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.053.353.303.7032.79%29.87%30.30%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.67%3.61momio equitativo
EV -2.87%
Ventaja -0.818%
Kelly -1.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.51
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.81%27.70%27.69%29.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.303.343.5134.72%30.29%29.94%28.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV +0.683%E +0.184%K +0.253%G +0.002% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-05 02:49 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.77%E -4.88%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV +0.683%E +0.184%K +0.253%G +0.002% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -10.07%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-05 02:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.01%EV -5.26%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.47%EV -0.678%E -0.186%K -0.256%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.52%EV -2.87%E -0.818%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-05 02:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.01%EV -5.26%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.47%EV -0.678%E -0.186%K -0.256%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.52%EV -2.87%E -0.818%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-05 02:25 |
| 1xBet | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.46%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.50%EV -1.49%E -0.413%K -0.570%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.05%EV -5.36%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Pinnacle | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.60%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.78%EV -1.77%E -0.489%K -0.677%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.62%EV -3.15%E -0.899%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| Coolbet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.35%EV -5.26%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.05%EV -4.22%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV -4.53%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 13:34 |
| DraftKings | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -4.53%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-05 02:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -12.02%E -6.17%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -14.22%E -4.59%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-05 02:50 |
| GTbets | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.10%EV -5.71%E -2.73%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.01%EV -5.03%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.89%EV -6.47%E -1.91%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| Betsson | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.16%E -2.96%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -6.12%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -7.30%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-05 02:30 |
| NordicBet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.16%E -2.96%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -6.12%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -7.30%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-05 02:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.16%E -2.96%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -6.12%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -7.30%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-05 02:30 |
| BetUS | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.26%EV -7.96%E -3.90%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -6.12%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.18%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.08%EV -6.94%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.73%EV -7.57%E -2.27%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| BetMGM | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.26%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.48%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-04 04:10 |
| Bet Victor | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.48%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-05 02:48 |
| Bovada | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.08%EV -7.96%E -3.90%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -7.48%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Sky Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -12.02%E -6.17%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -7.48%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -14.22%E -4.59%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-03-05 02:35 |
| PlayUp | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.42%EV -6.16%E -2.96%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -8.84%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| Fliff | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -9.77%E -4.88%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -8.84%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.07%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Everygame | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -9.77%E -4.88%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -8.84%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.07%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-05 02:44 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.62%EV -1.65%E -0.755%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -10.20%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -4.53%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.62%EV -1.65%E -0.755%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -10.20%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -4.53%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.26%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -10.20%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-05 02:35 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -9.77%E -4.88%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.20%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-05 02:30 |
| 888sport | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.05%EV -12.02%E -6.17%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -10.20%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -14.22%E -4.59%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-05 02:30 |
| William Hill | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.05%EV -12.02%E -6.17%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -10.20%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -14.22%E -4.59%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-05 02:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.05%EV -12.02%E -6.17%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -10.20%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -14.22%E -4.59%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-05 02:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.05%EV -12.02%E -6.17%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -10.20%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -14.22%E -4.59%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-05 02:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.53%EV -3.45%E -1.61%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -11.56%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -7.30%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| Unibet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.53%EV -3.45%E -1.61%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -11.56%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -7.30%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-05 02:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.53%EV -3.45%E -1.61%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -11.56%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -7.30%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| Casumo | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.53%EV -3.45%E -1.61%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -11.56%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -7.30%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| Grosvenor | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.53%EV -3.45%E -1.61%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -11.56%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -7.30%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| betPARX | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.53%EV -3.45%E -1.61%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -11.56%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -7.30%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -9.77%E -4.88%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -11.56%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-05 02:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.27%EV -12.47%E -6.43%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.02%EV -11.56%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 27.71%EV -12.28%E -3.87%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-05 02:34 |
| BetRivers | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -12.92%E -4.04%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -7.30%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-05 02:44 |
| TABtouch | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -5.26%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -12.92%E -4.04%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.30%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-05 02:44 |
| Bet Right | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -5.26%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -12.92%E -4.04%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.30%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-05 01:35 |
| Fanatics | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -5.26%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -12.92%E -4.04%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-05 02:50 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 45.32%EV -14.28%E -7.52%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.91%EV -12.92%E -4.04%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.78%EV -14.22%E -4.59%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-03-05 02:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.25%EV -13.83%E -7.24%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.41%EV -12.92%E -4.04%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.34%EV -20.30%E -7.05%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 18.3% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.66%EV -6.16%E -2.96%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -14.28%E -4.53%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.66%EV -6.16%E -2.96%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -14.28%E -4.53%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 43.71%EV -7.06%E -3.43%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -14.28%E -4.53%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -10.07%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 44.94%EV -11.57%E -5.90%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.96%EV -14.28%E -4.53%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%EV -10.07%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-05 02:30 |
| LeoVegas | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.60%EV -8.87%E -4.39%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.88%EV -17.00%E -5.58%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.52%EV -11.45%E -3.58%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.44% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40% | 0.6% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.44% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40% | 0.6% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.44% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40% | 0.6% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.44% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40% | 0.6% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.34% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.19% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.47% | 1.8% | 2026-03-05 02:50 |