Language:English
Atlas v Querétaro
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Atlas (Local)
Prediction 45.10%2.22fair odd
EV -1.22%
Edge -0.558%
Kelly -1.03%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.19
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.06%45.21%45.04%47.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.922.042.052.1952.08%48.96%48.78%45.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Querétaro (Visit)
Prediction 26.35%3.79fair odd
EV +1.46%
Edge +0.380%
Kelly +0.513%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 3.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.27%26.35%26.24%28.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.413.403.8532.26%29.30%29.41%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.54%3.50fair odd
EV -1.25%
Edge -0.360%
Kelly -0.506%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.46
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.22%28.44%28.71%29.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.263.263.4633.33%30.70%30.63%28.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlas (Local): 45.10%; Querétaro (Visit): 26.35%; Draw: 28.54%. For Querétaro (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.79. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.46%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.43%EV -8.89%E -4.40%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.88%EV +1.46%E +0.380%K +0.513%G +0.008% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.69%EV -1.25%E -0.360%K -0.506%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-29 22:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.78%EV -12.95%E -6.71%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV +0.145%E +0.038%K +0.052%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-29 23:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.17%EV -3.48%E -1.62%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.98%EV -1.96%E -0.528%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.85%EV -4.38%E -1.31%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-29 22:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.17%EV -3.48%E -1.62%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.98%EV -1.96%E -0.528%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.85%EV -4.38%E -1.31%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-29 22:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.55%EV -2.12%E -0.979%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 26.06%EV -2.23%E -0.600%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.39%EV -6.10%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-29 22:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -9.79%E -4.90%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -2.49%E -0.673%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -4.38%E -1.31%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 23:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.41%EV -5.28%E -2.51%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.13%EV -3.81%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.47%EV -4.38%E -1.31%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-29 22:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.41%EV -7.99%E -3.92%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.45%EV -4.07%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.13%EV -9.24%E -2.90%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-29 23:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -9.79%E -4.90%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.13%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -2.96%E -0.870%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 22:58 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -5.13%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 23:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.72%EV -6.18%E -2.97%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.44%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-29 23:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.72%EV -6.18%E -2.97%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.44%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-29 22:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.67%EV -1.22%E -0.558%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.17%EV -7.23%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.16%EV -6.38%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-29 22:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -3.03%E -1.41%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -7.76%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-29 22:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.76%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -2.96%E -0.870%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-29 22:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.95%EV -6.18%E -2.97%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.76%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 22:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.36%EV -11.14%E -5.66%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -7.76%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 29.11%EV -12.38%E -4.03%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-29 22:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.28%E -2.51%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -10.40%E -3.06%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -2.96%E -0.870%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-28 23:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.28%E -2.51%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -10.40%E -3.06%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -2.96%E -0.870%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 22:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -6.18%E -2.97%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -10.40%E -3.06%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -1.53%E -0.444%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-29 22:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -6.18%E -2.97%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -10.40%E -3.06%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -1.53%E -0.444%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-29 22:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -6.18%E -2.97%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -10.40%E -3.06%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-29 22:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -10.40%E -3.06%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-29 23:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.97%EV -12.05%E -6.18%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -10.40%E -3.06%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -14.37%E -4.79%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-29 22:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.97%EV -12.05%E -6.18%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -10.40%E -3.06%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -14.37%E -4.79%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-29 23:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.97%EV -12.05%E -6.18%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -10.40%E -3.06%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -14.37%E -4.79%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-29 22:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.97%EV -12.05%E -6.18%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -10.40%E -3.06%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -14.37%E -4.79%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-29 22:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.14%EV -4.38%E -2.07%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -11.71%E -3.50%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -4.38%E -1.31%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-28 23:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.66%EV -7.09%E -3.44%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -13.03%E -3.95%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -4.38%E -1.31%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 22:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -13.03%E -3.95%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -4.38%E -1.31%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 22:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -13.03%E -3.95%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -4.38%E -1.31%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 22:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -13.03%E -3.95%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -4.38%E -1.31%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 22:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -13.03%E -3.95%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -4.38%E -1.31%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 22:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -13.03%E -3.95%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -4.38%E -1.31%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 22:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -13.03%E -3.95%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -4.38%E -1.31%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 22:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -9.79%E -4.90%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.03%E -3.95%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-29 22:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.25%EV -10.69%E -5.40%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.55%EV -13.03%E -3.95%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -14.37%E -4.79%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-29 22:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.22%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -14.35%E -4.42%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-29 20:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.22%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -14.35%E -4.42%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-29 22:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -12.05%E -6.18%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.27%EV -14.35%E -4.42%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.27%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-29 23:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -5.28%E -2.51%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -15.67%E -4.90%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-29 22:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -15.67%E -4.90%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-29 22:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -9.79%E -4.90%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -15.67%E -4.90%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-29 22:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.69%EV -10.69%E -5.40%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -15.67%E -4.90%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-29 22:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.69%EV -10.69%E -5.40%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -15.67%E -4.90%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-29 22:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.82%EV -11.14%E -5.66%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.59%EV -15.67%E -4.90%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.59%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-29 22:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -18.30%E -5.90%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-28 23:56 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 44.67%EV -13.40%E -6.98%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.67%EV -18.30%E -5.90%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.67%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-08-29 22:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.25% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 1.0% | 2026-08-29 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.25% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 1.0% | 2026-08-29 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.30% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.60% | 1.4% | 2026-08-29 23:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.72% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.84% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44% | 1.9% | 2026-08-29 23:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.66% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.21% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13% | 3.0% | 2026-08-29 23:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.25% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.40% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.35% | 3.7% | 2026-08-29 23:00 |