Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Atlas v Querétaro

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-29 23:02 UTC

Score final : Atlas 1–3 Querétaro

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Atlas (Local)

Prévision 45.10%2.22cote équitable
EV -1.22%
Avantage -0.558%
Kelly -1.03%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.19

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.06%45.21%45.04%47.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.922.042.052.1952.08%48.96%48.78%45.66%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Querétaro (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.35%3.79cote équitable
EV +1.46%
Avantage +0.380%
Kelly +0.513%
Croissance +0.008%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.27%26.35%26.24%28.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.413.403.8532.26%29.30%29.41%25.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 28.54%3.50cote équitable
EV -1.25%
Avantage -0.360%
Kelly -0.506%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.46

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.22%28.44%28.71%29.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.263.263.4633.33%30.70%30.63%28.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Atlas (Local) : 45.10% ; Querétaro (Visiteur) : 26.35% ; Match nul : 28.54%. Pour Querétaro (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.79. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.85, soit une espérance positive de +1.46%.

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.43%EV -8.89%E -4.40%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.88%EV +1.46%E +0.380%K +0.513%G +0.008%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.69%EV -1.25%E -0.360%K -0.506%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-29 22:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.78%EV -12.95%E -6.71%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV +0.145%E +0.038%K +0.052%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-29 23:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 45.17%EV -3.48%E -1.62%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.98%EV -1.96%E -0.528%K -0.722%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.85%EV -4.38%E -1.31%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-29 22:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 45.17%EV -3.48%E -1.62%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.98%EV -1.96%E -0.528%K -0.722%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.85%EV -4.38%E -1.31%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-29 22:35
Pinnacle🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.55%EV -2.12%E -0.979%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 26.06%EV -2.23%E -0.600%K -0.822%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.39%EV -6.10%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-29 22:10
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -9.79%E -4.90%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -2.49%E -0.673%K -0.922%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -4.38%E -1.31%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 23:00
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.41%EV -5.28%E -2.51%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.13%EV -3.81%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.47%EV -4.38%E -1.31%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 22:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.41%EV -7.99%E -3.92%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.45%EV -4.07%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.13%EV -9.24%E -2.90%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 23:00
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -9.79%E -4.90%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.13%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -2.96%E -0.870%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 22:58
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -5.13%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 23:00
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.72%EV -6.18%E -2.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.44%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 23:00
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.72%EV -6.18%E -2.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.44%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 22:59
GTbets🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.67%EV -1.22%E -0.558%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.17%EV -7.23%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.16%EV -6.38%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-29 22:15
Coolbet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -3.03%E -1.41%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -7.76%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 22:10
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.76%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -2.96%E -0.870%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 22:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.95%EV -6.18%E -2.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.76%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 22:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.36%EV -11.14%E -5.66%K -11.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -7.76%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.11%EV -12.38%E -4.03%K -5.98%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-29 22:59
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.28%E -2.51%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -10.40%E -3.06%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -2.96%E -0.870%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-28 23:55
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.28%E -2.51%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -10.40%E -3.06%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -2.96%E -0.870%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 22:54
Svenska Spel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -6.18%E -2.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -10.40%E -3.06%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -1.53%E -0.444%K -0.625%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 22:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -6.18%E -2.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -10.40%E -3.06%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -1.53%E -0.444%K -0.625%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 22:50
PlayUp🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -6.18%E -2.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -10.40%E -3.06%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 22:59
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -10.40%E -3.06%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 23:00
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.97%EV -12.05%E -6.18%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -10.40%E -3.06%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -14.37%E -4.79%K -7.19%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-29 22:59
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.97%EV -12.05%E -6.18%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -10.40%E -3.06%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -14.37%E -4.79%K -7.19%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-29 23:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.97%EV -12.05%E -6.18%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -10.40%E -3.06%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -14.37%E -4.79%K -7.19%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-29 22:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.97%EV -12.05%E -6.18%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -10.40%E -3.06%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -14.37%E -4.79%K -7.19%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-29 22:59
SportsBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.14%EV -4.38%E -2.07%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -11.71%E -3.50%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -4.38%E -1.31%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-28 23:55
BetRivers🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.66%EV -7.09%E -3.44%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -13.03%E -3.95%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -4.38%E -1.31%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 22:44
Unibet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -13.03%E -3.95%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -4.38%E -1.31%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 22:49
Unibet (NL)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -13.03%E -3.95%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -4.38%E -1.31%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 22:49
Casumo🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -13.03%E -3.95%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -4.38%E -1.31%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 22:50
Grosvenor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -13.03%E -3.95%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -4.38%E -1.31%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 22:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -13.03%E -3.95%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -4.38%E -1.31%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 22:50
betPARX🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -13.03%E -3.95%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -4.38%E -1.31%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 22:45
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -9.79%E -4.90%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.03%E -3.95%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-29 22:59
NetBet (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.25%EV -10.69%E -5.40%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.55%EV -13.03%E -3.95%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -14.37%E -4.79%K -7.19%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-29 22:59
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.22%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -14.35%E -4.42%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-29 20:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.22%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -14.35%E -4.42%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-29 22:45
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -12.05%E -6.18%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.27%EV -14.35%E -4.42%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.27%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-29 23:00
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -5.28%E -2.51%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -15.67%E -4.90%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-29 22:55
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -15.67%E -4.90%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-29 22:45
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -9.79%E -4.90%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -15.67%E -4.90%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-29 22:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.69%EV -10.69%E -5.40%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -15.67%E -4.90%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-29 22:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.69%EV -10.69%E -5.40%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -15.67%E -4.90%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-29 22:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 44.82%EV -11.14%E -5.66%K -11.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.59%EV -15.67%E -4.90%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.59%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-29 22:45
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -18.30%E -5.90%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-28 23:56
PMU (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 44.67%EV -13.40%E -6.98%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.67%EV -18.30%E -5.90%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.67%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000%16.6%2026-08-29 22:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.25%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%1.0%2026-08-29 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.25%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%1.0%2026-08-29 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.30%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.60%1.4%2026-08-29 23:00
Matchbook◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.72%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.84%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%1.9%2026-08-29 23:00
Kalshi◎2.08I 48.08%NM 46.66%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.21%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%3.0%2026-08-29 23:00
Smarkets◎2.04I 49.02%NM 47.25%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.40%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.35%3.7%2026-08-29 23:00