Language:English
Atlas v Querétaro
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Atlas (Local)
Prediction 47.64%2.10fair odd
EV -4.24%
Edge -2.11%
Kelly -4.20%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.01
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.07%47.63%47.64%49.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.911.912.0156.50%52.41%52.36%49.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Querétaro (Visit)
Prediction 24.40%4.10fair odd
EV +6.12%
Edge +1.41%
Kelly +1.83%
Growth +0.112%
assuming max odds 4.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.06%24.42%24.38%25.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.533.833.824.3528.33%26.14%26.18%22.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.96%3.58fair odd
EV -0.730%
Edge -0.206%
Kelly -0.286%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.96%27.95%27.98%29.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.293.333.5534.72%30.35%30.08%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlas (Local): 47.64%; Querétaro (Visit): 24.40%; Draw: 27.96%. For Querétaro (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.10. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.12%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.97%EV -8.53%E -4.44%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.06%EV +6.12%E +1.41%K +1.83%G +0.112% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.97%EV -4.09%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 22:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.45%EV -8.05%E -4.17%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.28%EV +0.022%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -2.13%E -0.608%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 22:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.71%EV -9.01%E -4.71%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV +0.022%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -2.13%E -0.608%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 23:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.83%EV -5.67%E -2.86%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.93%EV -1.44%E -0.357%K -0.474%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.24%EV -0.730%E -0.206%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-21 23:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.83%EV -5.67%E -2.86%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.93%EV -1.44%E -0.357%K -0.474%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.24%EV -0.730%E -0.206%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-21 23:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.07%EV -4.24%E -2.11%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.92%EV -1.44%E -0.357%K -0.474%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.01%EV -3.53%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-21 22:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -9.01%E -4.71%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -2.42%E -0.604%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.92%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 23:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -10.91%E -5.83%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -2.42%E -0.604%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -4.92%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 23:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.76%EV -9.48%E -4.99%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -2.42%E -0.604%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 23:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.86%EV -8.05%E -4.17%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 23.81%EV -3.39%E -0.857%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.33%EV -3.53%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 22:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.29%EV -10.43%E -5.55%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -3.64%E -0.921%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -4.92%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 22:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.29%EV -10.43%E -5.55%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -3.64%E -0.921%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -4.92%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 22:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.29%EV -10.43%E -5.55%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -3.64%E -0.921%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -4.92%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 22:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.29%EV -10.43%E -5.55%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -3.64%E -0.921%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -4.92%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 22:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.29%EV -10.43%E -5.55%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -3.64%E -0.921%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -4.92%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 23:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -12.82%E -7.00%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -3.64%E -0.921%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -6.32%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-21 23:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -12.82%E -7.00%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -3.64%E -0.921%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -6.32%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-21 23:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.60%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -4.86%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -4.92%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 22:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.60%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -4.86%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -4.92%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 23:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.42%EV -7.10%E -3.64%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -4.86%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.53%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 22:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -8.05%E -4.17%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -4.86%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -4.92%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 22:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -11.86%E -6.41%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -4.86%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -4.92%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-21 22:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.53%EV -10.43%E -5.55%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.39%EV -4.86%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -9.12%E -2.81%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-21 23:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.69%EV -13.77%E -7.61%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -4.86%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-21 23:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.78%EV -7.58%E -3.91%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.14%EV -6.32%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 22:58 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.70%EV -9.96%E -5.27%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -7.30%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -4.92%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 22:53 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -9.01%E -4.71%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -7.30%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 23:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.37%EV -10.91%E -5.83%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -7.30%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -9.12%E -2.81%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-21 22:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.53%EV -15.68%E -8.86%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.07%EV -7.30%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40%EV -10.52%E -3.29%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-21 23:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.99%EV -5.67%E -2.86%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -8.52%E -2.27%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 22:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.99%EV -5.67%E -2.86%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -8.52%E -2.27%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 22:58 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.79%EV -5.67%E -2.86%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -8.52%E -2.27%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.51%EV -9.12%E -2.81%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 23:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -9.01%E -4.71%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -8.52%E -2.27%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -9.12%E -2.81%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-21 22:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.84%EV -11.86%E -6.41%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.60%EV -8.52%E -2.27%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.55%EV -13.31%E -4.29%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-03-21 23:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -5.67%E -2.86%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -9.74%E -2.63%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -6.32%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 23:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -5.67%E -2.86%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -9.74%E -2.63%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -6.32%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 22:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.10%EV -13.29%E -7.30%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.66%EV -9.74%E -2.63%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.24%EV -13.31%E -4.29%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-03-21 23:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.51%EV -8.05%E -4.17%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -10.96%E -3.00%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -6.32%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-21 22:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.37%EV -9.01%E -4.71%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -10.96%E -3.00%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -9.12%E -2.81%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-21 22:58 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -12.18%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-21 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -7.10%E -3.64%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -12.18%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -13.31%E -4.29%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-21 22:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -7.10%E -3.64%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -12.18%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -13.31%E -4.29%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-21 22:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.94%EV -10.91%E -5.83%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -12.18%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-21 22:58 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.14%EV -9.01%E -4.71%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -12.18%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -16.11%E -5.37%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-21 22:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.14%EV -9.01%E -4.71%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -12.18%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -16.11%E -5.37%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-21 22:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.14%EV -9.01%E -4.71%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -12.18%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -16.11%E -5.37%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-21 22:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.14%EV -9.01%E -4.71%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -12.18%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -16.11%E -5.37%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-21 22:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 48.12%EV -15.20%E -8.54%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.79%EV -12.18%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.08%EV -14.71%E -4.82%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-03-21 22:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.65%EV -12.82%E -7.00%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.71%EV -12.18%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.64%EV -19.47%E -6.76%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-03-21 23:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.14%EV -11.39%E -6.12%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 24.84%EV -13.88%E -3.93%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 28.02%EV -12.47%E -3.99%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-21 22:57 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.11% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34% | 0.8% | 2026-03-21 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.11% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34% | 0.8% | 2026-03-21 23:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.10% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.84% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06% | 1.8% | 2026-03-21 23:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.10% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.84% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06% | 1.8% | 2026-03-21 23:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.01% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.50% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49% | 2.0% | 2026-03-21 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.84% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.26% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.91% | 2.4% | 2026-03-21 23:00 |