L’École des cotes

Atlas v Querétaro

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-21 23:04 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Atlas (Local)

Prévision 47.64%2.10cote équitable
EV -4.24%
Avantage -2.11%
Kelly -4.20%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.01

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.07%47.63%47.64%49.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.771.911.912.0156.50%52.41%52.36%49.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Querétaro (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.40%4.10cote équitable
EV +6.12%
Avantage +1.41%
Kelly +1.83%
Croissance +0.112%

avec la cote maximale 4.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.06%24.42%24.38%25.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.533.833.824.3528.33%26.14%26.18%22.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.96%3.58cote équitable
EV -0.730%
Avantage -0.206%
Kelly -0.286%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.96%27.95%27.98%29.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.293.333.5534.72%30.35%30.08%28.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.97%EV -8.53%E -4.44%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.06%EV +6.12%E +1.41%K +1.83%G +0.112%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.97%EV -4.09%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 22:59
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.45%EV -8.05%E -4.17%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.28%EV +0.022%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -2.13%E -0.608%K -0.851%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 22:59
Svenska Spel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.71%EV -9.01%E -4.71%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV +0.022%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -2.13%E -0.608%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 23:00
BetOnline.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 48.83%EV -5.67%E -2.86%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.93%EV -1.44%E -0.357%K -0.474%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.24%EV -0.730%E -0.206%K -0.286%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-21 23:00
LowVig.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 48.83%EV -5.67%E -2.86%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.93%EV -1.44%E -0.357%K -0.474%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.24%EV -0.730%E -0.206%K -0.286%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-21 23:00
Pinnacle2.01I 49.75%NM 48.07%EV -4.24%E -2.11%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.92%EV -1.44%E -0.357%K -0.474%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.01%EV -3.53%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-21 22:59
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -9.01%E -4.71%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -2.42%E -0.604%K -0.806%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.92%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 23:00
Unibet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -10.91%E -5.83%K -12.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -2.42%E -0.604%K -0.806%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -4.92%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 23:00
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.76%EV -9.48%E -4.99%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -2.42%E -0.604%K -0.806%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 23:00
GTbets1.93I 51.81%NM 48.86%EV -8.05%E -4.17%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.81%EV -3.39%E -0.857%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.33%EV -3.53%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 22:59
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 49.29%EV -10.43%E -5.55%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -3.64%E -0.921%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -4.92%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 22:59
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.29%EV -10.43%E -5.55%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -3.64%E -0.921%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -4.92%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 22:59
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 49.29%EV -10.43%E -5.55%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -3.64%E -0.921%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -4.92%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 22:59
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.29%EV -10.43%E -5.55%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -3.64%E -0.921%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -4.92%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 22:59
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 49.29%EV -10.43%E -5.55%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -3.64%E -0.921%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -4.92%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 23:00
LiveScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -12.82%E -7.00%K -15.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -3.64%E -0.921%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -6.32%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -12.82%E -7.00%K -15.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -3.64%E -0.921%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -6.32%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 23:00
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.60%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -4.86%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -4.92%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 22:59
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.60%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -4.86%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -4.92%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 23:00
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 48.42%EV -7.10%E -3.64%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -4.86%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.53%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 22:59
Bet Victor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -8.05%E -4.17%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -4.86%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -4.92%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 22:59
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -11.86%E -6.41%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -4.86%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -4.92%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 22:59
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.53%EV -10.43%E -5.55%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.39%EV -4.86%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -9.12%E -2.81%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 23:00
Virgin Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 49.69%EV -13.77%E -7.61%K -17.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -4.86%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-21 23:00
Marathon Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 47.78%EV -7.58%E -3.91%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.14%EV -6.32%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 22:58
Bovada1.89I 52.91%NM 48.70%EV -9.96%E -5.27%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -7.30%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -4.92%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 22:53
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -9.01%E -4.71%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -7.30%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 23:00
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 48.37%EV -10.91%E -5.83%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -7.30%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -9.12%E -2.81%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-21 22:59
LeoVegas1.77I 56.50%NM 49.53%EV -15.68%E -8.86%K -20.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.07%EV -7.30%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40%EV -10.52%E -3.29%K -4.78%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-21 23:00
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.99%EV -5.67%E -2.86%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -8.52%E -2.27%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 22:59
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 46.99%EV -5.67%E -2.86%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -8.52%E -2.27%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 22:58
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 46.79%EV -5.67%E -2.86%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -8.52%E -2.27%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.51%EV -9.12%E -2.81%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 23:00
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -9.01%E -4.71%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -8.52%E -2.27%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -9.12%E -2.81%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 22:59
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 47.84%EV -11.86%E -6.41%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.60%EV -8.52%E -2.27%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.55%EV -13.31%E -4.29%K -6.34%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-21 23:00
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -5.67%E -2.86%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -9.74%E -2.63%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -6.32%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 23:00
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -5.67%E -2.86%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -9.74%E -2.63%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -6.32%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 22:59
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.10%EV -13.29%E -7.30%K -16.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.66%EV -9.74%E -2.63%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.24%EV -13.31%E -4.29%K -6.34%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-21 23:00
Bet Right1.93I 51.81%NM 47.51%EV -8.05%E -4.17%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -10.96%E -3.00%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -6.32%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 22:59
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 47.37%EV -9.01%E -4.71%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -10.96%E -3.00%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -9.12%E -2.81%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-21 22:58
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -12.18%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 23:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -7.10%E -3.64%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -12.18%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -13.31%E -4.29%K -6.34%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 22:59
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -7.10%E -3.64%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -12.18%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -13.31%E -4.29%K -6.34%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 22:59
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 47.94%EV -10.91%E -5.83%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -12.18%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -7.72%E -2.34%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-21 22:58
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 46.14%EV -9.01%E -4.71%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -12.18%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -16.11%E -5.37%K -8.05%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-21 22:59
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 46.14%EV -9.01%E -4.71%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -12.18%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -16.11%E -5.37%K -8.05%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-21 22:59
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.14%EV -9.01%E -4.71%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -12.18%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -16.11%E -5.37%K -8.05%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-21 22:59
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.14%EV -9.01%E -4.71%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -12.18%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -16.11%E -5.37%K -8.05%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-21 22:59
NetBet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 48.12%EV -15.20%E -8.54%K -19.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.79%EV -12.18%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.08%EV -14.71%E -4.82%K -7.18%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-21 22:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.65%EV -12.82%E -7.00%K -15.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.71%EV -12.18%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.64%EV -19.47%E -6.76%K -10.35%G +0.000%17.1%2026-03-21 23:00
Betclic (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 47.14%EV -11.39%E -6.12%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 24.84%EV -13.88%E -3.93%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.02%EV -12.47%E -3.99%K -5.86%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-21 22:57
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.11%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-03-21 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.11%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-03-21 23:00
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 49.10%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.84%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06%1.8%2026-03-21 23:00
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 49.10%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.84%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06%1.8%2026-03-21 23:00
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.01%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.50%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.0%2026-03-21 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.84%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.26%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.91%2.4%2026-03-21 23:00