Language:English
Atlas v Pumas
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Atlas (Local)
Prediction 43.23%2.31fair odd
EV -0.575%
Edge -0.250%
Kelly -0.442%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.52%43.23%43.12%45.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.162.182.3050.00%46.24%45.87%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Pumas (Visit)
Prediction 28.59%3.50fair odd
EV +0.349%
Edge +0.099%
Kelly +0.139%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.51
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.30%28.72%28.61%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.133.103.5136.36%31.94%32.26%28.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.18%3.55fair odd
EV -0.235%
Edge -0.066%
Kelly -0.092%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.54
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.92%28.05%28.27%29.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.263.253.5432.79%30.66%30.77%28.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlas (Local): 43.23%; Pumas (Visit): 28.59%; Draw: 28.18%. For Pumas (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.50. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.51, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.349%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.63%EV -9.22%E -4.39%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.30%EV +0.349%E +0.099%K +0.139%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.07%EV -0.235%E -0.066%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-19 22:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.69%EV -4.47%E -2.02%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.91%EV -1.08%E -0.312%K -0.439%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV -4.18%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-19 22:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.69%EV -4.47%E -2.02%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.91%EV -1.08%E -0.312%K -0.439%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV -4.18%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-19 22:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.69%EV -4.47%E -2.02%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.91%EV -1.08%E -0.312%K -0.439%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV -4.18%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-19 22:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -4.90%E -2.23%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 28.23%EV -1.94%E -0.565%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.75%EV -1.64%E -0.471%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-19 22:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.63%EV -5.76%E -2.64%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -4.23%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -4.18%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-19 22:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.04%EV -4.90%E -2.23%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.69%EV -5.65%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.59%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-19 22:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.90%E -2.23%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.65%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-19 22:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.90%E -2.23%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.65%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-19 22:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -9.22%E -4.39%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.65%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.18%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-19 22:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -9.22%E -4.39%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.65%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.18%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-19 22:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -11.38%E -5.55%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.65%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -4.18%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-19 22:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -7.06%E -3.28%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -7.08%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.18%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-19 22:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -5.76%E -2.64%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.08%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-19 22:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.05%EV -7.06%E -3.28%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -7.08%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -8.41%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-19 22:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -7.06%E -3.28%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.08%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.82%E -3.07%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-19 22:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -7.06%E -3.28%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.08%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.82%E -3.07%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-19 22:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.20%EV -7.92%E -3.72%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.58%EV -7.94%E -2.47%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.23%EV -8.13%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-19 22:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -4.90%E -2.23%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.51%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-19 22:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.76%EV -3.17%E -1.41%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.89%EV -10.51%E -3.36%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-19 22:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.30%EV -5.76%E -2.64%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -11.37%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-19 22:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -7.06%E -3.28%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.37%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.63%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-19 22:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -9.22%E -4.39%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -11.37%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -9.82%E -3.07%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-19 22:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -9.22%E -4.39%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.37%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.63%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-19 22:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -13.54%E -6.77%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -11.37%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-19 22:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -11.38%E -5.55%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -11.37%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -12.63%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-19 22:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -11.38%E -5.55%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -11.37%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -12.63%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-19 22:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -11.38%E -5.55%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -11.37%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -12.63%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-19 22:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -11.38%E -5.55%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -11.37%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -12.63%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-19 22:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.80%EV -0.575%E -0.250%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -12.80%E -4.20%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-19 22:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -7.06%E -3.28%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -12.80%E -4.20%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -5.59%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-19 22:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -0.575%E -0.250%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -14.23%E -4.74%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -5.59%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-19 22:44 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.22%E -4.39%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -14.23%E -4.74%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-19 22:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.41%EV -10.52%E -5.08%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -14.23%E -4.74%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -12.63%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-19 22:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.77%EV -11.38%E -5.55%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.22%EV -14.23%E -4.74%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 28.01%EV -11.79%E -3.77%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-19 22:47 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -2.74%E -1.22%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -15.66%E -5.31%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -8.41%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-19 22:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -2.74%E -1.22%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -15.66%E -5.31%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -8.41%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-19 22:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -2.74%E -1.22%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -15.66%E -5.31%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -8.41%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-19 22:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -2.74%E -1.22%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -15.66%E -5.31%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -8.41%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-19 22:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -2.74%E -1.22%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -15.66%E -5.31%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -8.41%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-19 22:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -2.74%E -1.22%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -15.66%E -5.31%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -8.41%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-19 22:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -2.74%E -1.22%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -15.66%E -5.31%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -8.41%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-19 22:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -4.90%E -2.23%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.02%EV -17.66%E -6.13%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.36%EV -11.23%E -3.56%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-19 22:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -4.90%E -2.23%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.02%EV -17.66%E -6.13%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.36%EV -11.23%E -3.56%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-19 22:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -4.90%E -2.23%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.02%EV -17.66%E -6.13%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.36%EV -11.23%E -3.56%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-19 22:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.52%EV -5.76%E -2.64%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.99%EV -18.52%E -6.50%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -12.63%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-19 22:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.78%EV -9.22%E -4.39%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.14%EV -21.38%E -7.77%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.08%EV -14.04%E -4.60%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-09-19 22:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.82% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38% | 0.7% | 2026-09-19 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29% | 1.0% | 2026-09-19 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.25% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.17% | 1.4% | 2026-09-19 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.25% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.17% | 1.4% | 2026-09-19 22:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.10% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.46% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44% | 1.9% | 2026-09-19 22:39 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.29% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.36% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.36% | 2.2% | 2026-09-19 22:55 |