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Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
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Atlas v Pumas

Início: 2026-09-19 23:00 UTC

Final: Atlas 1–1 Pumas

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Atlas (Local)

Previsão 43.23%2.31odd justa
EV -0.575%
Vantagem -0.250%
Kelly -0.442%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.52%43.23%43.12%45.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.002.162.182.3050.00%46.24%45.87%43.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Pumas (Visitante)

Previsão 28.59%3.50odd justa
EV +0.349%
Vantagem +0.099%
Kelly +0.139%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.51

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.30%28.72%28.61%31.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.753.133.103.5136.36%31.94%32.26%28.49%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 28.18%3.55odd justa
EV -0.235%
Vantagem -0.066%
Kelly -0.092%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.54

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.92%28.05%28.27%29.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.053.263.253.5432.79%30.66%30.77%28.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Atlas (Local): 43.23%; Pumas (Visitante): 28.59%; Empate: 28.18%. Para Pumas (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.50. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.51, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.349%.

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.63%EV -9.22%E -4.39%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.30%EV +0.349%E +0.099%K +0.139%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.07%EV -0.235%E -0.066%K -0.092%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-19 22:49
LowVig.ag🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.69%EV -4.47%E -2.02%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.91%EV -1.08%E -0.312%K -0.439%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV -4.18%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-19 22:44
BetOnline.ag🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.69%EV -4.47%E -2.02%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.91%EV -1.08%E -0.312%K -0.439%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV -4.18%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-19 22:45
BetUS🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.69%EV -4.47%E -2.02%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.91%EV -1.08%E -0.312%K -0.439%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV -4.18%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-19 22:44
Pinnacle🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -4.90%E -2.23%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.23%EV -1.94%E -0.565%K -0.798%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.75%EV -1.64%E -0.471%K -0.660%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-19 22:54
Coolbet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.63%EV -5.76%E -2.64%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -4.23%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -4.18%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 22:55
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.04%EV -4.90%E -2.23%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.69%EV -5.65%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.59%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-19 22:54
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.90%E -2.23%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.65%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-19 22:49
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.90%E -2.23%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.65%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-19 22:44
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -9.22%E -4.39%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.65%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.18%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-19 22:59
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -9.22%E -4.39%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.65%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.18%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-19 22:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -11.38%E -5.55%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.65%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -4.18%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 22:49
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -7.06%E -3.28%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -7.08%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.18%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-19 22:49
SportsBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -5.76%E -2.64%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.08%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-19 22:49
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.05%EV -7.06%E -3.28%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -7.08%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -8.41%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-19 22:55
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -7.06%E -3.28%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.08%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.82%E -3.07%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 22:54
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -7.06%E -3.28%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.08%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.82%E -3.07%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 22:54
Marathon Bet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 43.20%EV -7.92%E -3.72%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.58%EV -7.94%E -2.47%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.23%EV -8.13%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-19 22:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -4.90%E -2.23%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.51%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 22:44
GTbets🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.76%EV -3.17%E -1.41%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.89%EV -10.51%E -3.36%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-19 22:45
LeoVegas🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.30%EV -5.76%E -2.64%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -11.37%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-19 22:55
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -7.06%E -3.28%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.37%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.63%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-19 22:45
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -9.22%E -4.39%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -11.37%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -9.82%E -3.07%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-19 22:49
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -9.22%E -4.39%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.37%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.63%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-19 22:49
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -13.54%E -6.77%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -11.37%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-19 22:59
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -11.38%E -5.55%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -11.37%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -12.63%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-19 22:54
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -11.38%E -5.55%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -11.37%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -12.63%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-19 22:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -11.38%E -5.55%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -11.37%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -12.63%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-19 22:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -11.38%E -5.55%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -11.37%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -12.63%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-19 22:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.80%EV -0.575%E -0.250%K -0.442%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -12.80%E -4.20%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 22:59
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -7.06%E -3.28%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -12.80%E -4.20%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -5.59%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-19 22:49
Svenska Spel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -0.575%E -0.250%K -0.442%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -14.23%E -4.74%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -5.59%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-19 22:44
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.22%E -4.39%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -14.23%E -4.74%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-19 22:49
NetBet (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 42.41%EV -10.52%E -5.08%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -14.23%E -4.74%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -12.63%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-19 22:59
Betclic (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.77%EV -11.38%E -5.55%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.22%EV -14.23%E -4.74%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.01%EV -11.79%E -3.77%K -5.53%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-19 22:47
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -2.74%E -1.22%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -15.66%E -5.31%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -8.41%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-19 22:45
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -2.74%E -1.22%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -15.66%E -5.31%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -8.41%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-19 22:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -2.74%E -1.22%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -15.66%E -5.31%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -8.41%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-19 22:45
Casumo🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -2.74%E -1.22%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -15.66%E -5.31%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -8.41%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-19 22:45
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -2.74%E -1.22%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -15.66%E -5.31%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -8.41%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-19 22:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -2.74%E -1.22%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -15.66%E -5.31%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -8.41%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-19 22:45
betPARX🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -2.74%E -1.22%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -15.66%E -5.31%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -8.41%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-19 22:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -4.90%E -2.23%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.02%EV -17.66%E -6.13%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.36%EV -11.23%E -3.56%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-19 22:44
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -4.90%E -2.23%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.02%EV -17.66%E -6.13%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.36%EV -11.23%E -3.56%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-19 22:44
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -4.90%E -2.23%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.02%EV -17.66%E -6.13%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.36%EV -11.23%E -3.56%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-19 22:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.52%EV -5.76%E -2.64%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.99%EV -18.52%E -6.50%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -12.63%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-19 22:59
PMU (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.78%EV -9.22%E -4.39%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.14%EV -21.38%E -7.77%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.08%EV -14.04%E -4.60%K -6.85%G +0.000%16.8%2026-09-19 22:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.82%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38%0.7%2026-09-19 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29%1.0%2026-09-19 22:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.25%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.17%1.4%2026-09-19 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.25%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.17%1.4%2026-09-19 22:55
Kalshi◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.10%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.46%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%1.9%2026-09-19 22:39
Smarkets◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.29%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.36%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.36%2.2%2026-09-19 22:55