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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Atlas v Puebla

2026-10-25 23:00 UTC — Liga MX

胜负盘

33 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Atlas (主队)

预测 54.16%1.85公平赔率
EV -3.59%
优势 -2.02%
Kelly -4.60%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.78

博彩公司预测分布
52.86%54.15%54.23%55.18%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.611.691.691.7862.11%59.00%59.17%56.18%最小值均值中位数最大值

Puebla (客队)

预测 20.56%4.86公平赔率
EV -1.95%
优势 -0.409%
Kelly -0.518%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.77

博彩公司预测分布
19.37%20.54%20.41%22.12%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.904.334.334.7725.64%23.08%23.09%20.96%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 25.28%3.96公平赔率
EV +1.12%
优势 +0.280%
Kelly +0.374%
增长率 +0.004%

假设最高赔率为 4.00

博彩公司预测分布
24.18%25.31%25.36%26.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.303.643.654.0030.30%27.50%27.40%25.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Atlas (主队)：54.16%；Puebla (客队)：20.56%；平局：25.28%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.96。 有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为4.00，由此产生+1.12%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (33 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
ATG (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.33%EV -3.59%E -2.02%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.49%EV -7.50%E -1.67%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.18%EV +1.12%E +0.280%K +0.374%G +0.004%3.4%2026-10-19 12:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.33%EV -3.59%E -2.02%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.49%EV -7.50%E -1.67%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.18%EV +1.12%E +0.280%K +0.374%G +0.004%3.4%2026-10-19 12:29
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.39%EV -4.13%E -2.33%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.27%EV -2.36%E -0.497%K -0.630%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.94%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-19 14:20
SportsBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.89%EV -7.38%E -4.32%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -5.45%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -3.94%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-19 14:34
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.18%EV -8.46%E -5.01%K -12.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -5.45%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -3.94%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-19 14:34
Unibet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.53%EV -6.84%E -3.98%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -13.67%E -3.25%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -5.20%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-19 12:29
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.53%EV -6.84%E -3.98%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -13.67%E -3.25%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -5.20%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-19 12:30
Grosvenor🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.53%EV -6.84%E -3.98%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -13.67%E -3.25%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -5.20%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-19 12:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.53%EV -6.84%E -3.98%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -13.67%E -3.25%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -5.20%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-19 12:30
Casumo🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.53%EV -6.84%E -3.98%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -13.67%E -3.25%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -5.20%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-19 12:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.53%EV -6.84%E -3.98%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -13.67%E -3.25%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -5.20%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-19 12:30
betPARX🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.53%EV -6.84%E -3.98%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -13.67%E -3.25%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -5.20%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-19 12:30
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -7.92%E -4.66%K -11.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -9.56%E -2.17%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -6.46%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-19 15:39
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -7.92%E -4.66%K -11.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -9.56%E -2.17%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -6.46%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-19 15:39
GTbets🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -6.84%E -3.98%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.77I 20.96%NM 19.74%EV -1.95%E -0.409%K -0.518%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.52%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-19 15:35
1xBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -6.30%E -3.64%K -8.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -9.56%E -2.17%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -7.73%E -2.12%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-19 15:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -7.38%E -4.32%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -9.56%E -2.17%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -7.73%E -2.12%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-19 14:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.48%EV -9.00%E -5.36%K -13.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.91%EV -15.72%E -3.83%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.61%EV -7.73%E -2.12%K -2.92%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-19 12:30
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.48%EV -9.00%E -5.36%K -13.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.91%EV -15.72%E -3.83%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.61%EV -7.73%E -2.12%K -2.92%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-19 12:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.48%EV -9.00%E -5.36%K -13.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.91%EV -15.72%E -3.83%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.61%EV -7.73%E -2.12%K -2.92%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-19 12:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -9.55%E -5.72%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -2.36%E -0.497%K -0.630%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.99%E -2.50%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-19 13:20
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -9.55%E -5.72%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -5.45%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -8.99%E -2.50%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-19 14:20
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.25%EV -9.55%E -5.72%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -9.56%E -2.17%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -8.99%E -2.50%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-19 14:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.30%EV -10.09%E -6.08%K -15.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -17.78%E -4.44%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.58%EV -8.99%E -2.50%K -3.46%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-19 12:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.91%EV -11.17%E -6.81%K -17.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -5.45%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.51%EV -10.76%E -3.05%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-19 13:20
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -9.55%E -5.72%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -13.67%E -3.25%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -11.52%E -3.29%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-19 14:30
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -9.55%E -5.72%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -13.67%E -3.25%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -11.52%E -3.29%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-19 14:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 53.40%EV -12.80%E -7.95%K -20.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.04%EV -19.83%E -5.09%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.56%EV -11.52%E -3.29%K -4.61%G +0.000%16.3%2026-10-19 12:30
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 53.15%EV -12.25%E -7.56%K -19.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.53%EV -17.78%E -4.44%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.32%EV -14.05%E -4.13%K -5.85%G +0.000%16.1%2026-10-19 14:55
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.86%EV -9.55%E -5.72%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -11.00%E -2.54%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.75%EV -16.58%E -5.02%K -7.21%G +0.000%13.3%2026-10-19 14:20
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.86%EV -9.55%E -5.72%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -11.00%E -2.54%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.75%EV -16.58%E -5.02%K -7.21%G +0.000%13.3%2026-10-19 14:18
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.86%EV -9.55%E -5.72%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -11.00%E -2.54%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.75%EV -16.58%E -5.02%K -7.21%G +0.000%13.3%2026-10-19 14:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.86%EV -9.55%E -5.72%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -11.00%E -2.54%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.75%EV -16.58%E -5.02%K -7.21%G +0.000%13.3%2026-10-19 14:20
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎1.69I 59.17%NM 53.24%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.68%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.08%11.1%2026-10-19 19:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-19 16:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-19 16:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-19 16:15