Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Atlas v Puebla

2026-10-25 23:00 UTC — Liga MX

Résultat du match

33 opérateurs (9 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Atlas (Local)

Prévision 54.16%1.85cote équitable
EV -3.59%
Avantage -2.02%
Kelly -4.60%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.86%54.15%54.23%55.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.611.691.691.7862.11%59.00%59.17%56.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Puebla (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.56%4.86cote équitable
EV -1.95%
Avantage -0.409%
Kelly -0.518%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.37%20.54%20.41%22.12%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.904.334.334.7725.64%23.08%23.09%20.96%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.28%3.96cote équitable
EV +1.12%
Avantage +0.280%
Kelly +0.374%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.18%25.31%25.36%26.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.643.654.0030.30%27.50%27.40%25.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Atlas (Local) : 54.16% ; Puebla (Visiteur) : 20.56% ; Match nul : 25.28%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 3.96. 2 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 4.00, pour une espérance positive de +1.12%.

Cotes des opérateurs (33 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.33%EV -3.59%E -2.02%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.49%EV -7.50%E -1.67%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.18%EV +1.12%E +0.280%K +0.374%G +0.004%3.4%2026-10-19 12:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.33%EV -3.59%E -2.02%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.49%EV -7.50%E -1.67%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.18%EV +1.12%E +0.280%K +0.374%G +0.004%3.4%2026-10-19 12:29
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.39%EV -4.13%E -2.33%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.27%EV -2.36%E -0.497%K -0.630%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.94%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-19 14:20
SportsBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.89%EV -7.38%E -4.32%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -5.45%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -3.94%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-19 14:34
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.18%EV -8.46%E -5.01%K -12.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -5.45%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -3.94%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-19 14:34
Unibet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.53%EV -6.84%E -3.98%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -13.67%E -3.25%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -5.20%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-19 12:29
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.53%EV -6.84%E -3.98%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -13.67%E -3.25%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -5.20%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-19 12:30
Grosvenor🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.53%EV -6.84%E -3.98%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -13.67%E -3.25%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -5.20%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-19 12:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.53%EV -6.84%E -3.98%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -13.67%E -3.25%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -5.20%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-19 12:30
Casumo🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.53%EV -6.84%E -3.98%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -13.67%E -3.25%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -5.20%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-19 12:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.53%EV -6.84%E -3.98%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -13.67%E -3.25%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -5.20%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-19 12:30
betPARX🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.53%EV -6.84%E -3.98%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -13.67%E -3.25%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -5.20%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-19 12:30
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -7.92%E -4.66%K -11.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -9.56%E -2.17%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -6.46%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-19 15:39
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -7.92%E -4.66%K -11.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -9.56%E -2.17%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -6.46%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-19 15:39
GTbets🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -6.84%E -3.98%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.77I 20.96%NM 19.74%EV -1.95%E -0.409%K -0.518%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.52%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-19 15:35
1xBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -6.30%E -3.64%K -8.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -9.56%E -2.17%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -7.73%E -2.12%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-19 15:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -7.38%E -4.32%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -9.56%E -2.17%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -7.73%E -2.12%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-19 14:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.48%EV -9.00%E -5.36%K -13.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.91%EV -15.72%E -3.83%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.61%EV -7.73%E -2.12%K -2.92%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-19 12:30
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.48%EV -9.00%E -5.36%K -13.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.91%EV -15.72%E -3.83%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.61%EV -7.73%E -2.12%K -2.92%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-19 12:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.48%EV -9.00%E -5.36%K -13.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.91%EV -15.72%E -3.83%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.61%EV -7.73%E -2.12%K -2.92%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-19 12:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -9.55%E -5.72%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -2.36%E -0.497%K -0.630%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.99%E -2.50%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-19 13:20
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -9.55%E -5.72%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -5.45%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -8.99%E -2.50%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-19 14:20
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.25%EV -9.55%E -5.72%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -9.56%E -2.17%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -8.99%E -2.50%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-19 14:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.30%EV -10.09%E -6.08%K -15.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -17.78%E -4.44%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.58%EV -8.99%E -2.50%K -3.46%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-19 12:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.91%EV -11.17%E -6.81%K -17.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -5.45%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.51%EV -10.76%E -3.05%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-19 13:20
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -9.55%E -5.72%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -13.67%E -3.25%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -11.52%E -3.29%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-19 14:30
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -9.55%E -5.72%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -13.67%E -3.25%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -11.52%E -3.29%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-19 14:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 53.40%EV -12.80%E -7.95%K -20.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.04%EV -19.83%E -5.09%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.56%EV -11.52%E -3.29%K -4.61%G +0.000%16.3%2026-10-19 12:30
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 53.15%EV -12.25%E -7.56%K -19.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.53%EV -17.78%E -4.44%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.32%EV -14.05%E -4.13%K -5.85%G +0.000%16.1%2026-10-19 14:55
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.86%EV -9.55%E -5.72%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -11.00%E -2.54%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.75%EV -16.58%E -5.02%K -7.21%G +0.000%13.3%2026-10-19 14:20
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.86%EV -9.55%E -5.72%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -11.00%E -2.54%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.75%EV -16.58%E -5.02%K -7.21%G +0.000%13.3%2026-10-19 14:18
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.86%EV -9.55%E -5.72%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -11.00%E -2.54%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.75%EV -16.58%E -5.02%K -7.21%G +0.000%13.3%2026-10-19 14:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.86%EV -9.55%E -5.72%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -11.00%E -2.54%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.75%EV -16.58%E -5.02%K -7.21%G +0.000%13.3%2026-10-19 14:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎1.69I 59.17%NM 53.24%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.68%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.08%11.1%2026-10-19 19:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-19 16:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-19 16:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-19 16:15