The School of Odds
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Atlas v Pachuca

2026-11-07 23:00 UTC — Liga MX

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlas (Local)

Prediction 43.54%2.30fair odd
EV -0.735%
Edge -0.322%
Kelly -0.574%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.06%43.37%43.50%44.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.022.132.122.2849.50%46.84%47.17%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pachuca (Visit)

Prediction 29.64%3.37fair odd
EV -2.49%
Edge -0.757%
Kelly -1.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.98%29.73%29.66%31.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.023.003.2936.36%33.13%33.33%30.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.82%3.73fair odd
EV -0.748%
Edge -0.202%
Kelly -0.277%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.20%26.91%26.84%28.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.423.453.7032.26%29.28%28.99%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Atlas (Local): 43.54%; Pachuca (Visit): 29.64%; Draw: 26.82%. For Atlas (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.30. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.28, with an expected value of -0.735%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.52%EV -0.735%E -0.322%K -0.574%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.27%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.20%EV -0.748%E -0.202%K -0.277%G +0.000%3.1%2026-11-01 07:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.52%EV -0.735%E -0.322%K -0.574%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.27%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.20%EV -0.748%E -0.202%K -0.277%G +0.000%3.1%2026-11-01 07:55
GTbets🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.67%EV -1.61%E -0.711%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.86%EV -4.27%E -1.32%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.47%EV -5.84%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-01 11:00
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -4.22%E -1.92%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -3.43%E -0.953%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-01 11:20
Unibet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.45%EV -5.52%E -2.55%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -12.57%E -4.26%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -6.11%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-01 07:45
Grosvenor🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.45%EV -5.52%E -2.55%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -12.57%E -4.26%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -6.11%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-01 07:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.45%EV -5.52%E -2.55%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -12.57%E -4.26%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -6.11%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-01 07:45
betPARX🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.45%EV -5.52%E -2.55%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -12.57%E -4.26%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -6.11%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-01 07:45
BetRivers🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.45%EV -5.52%E -2.55%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -12.57%E -4.26%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -6.11%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-01 07:54
Unibet (NL)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.45%EV -5.52%E -2.55%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -12.57%E -4.26%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -6.11%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-01 07:54
Casumo🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.45%EV -5.52%E -2.55%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -12.57%E -4.26%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -6.11%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-01 07:54
Pinnacle🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.15%EV -5.96%E -2.76%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.99%EV -2.49%E -0.757%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.86%EV -4.77%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-01 11:10
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.39%E -2.97%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.11%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-01 10:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.39%E -2.97%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.80%E -2.59%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-01 10:59
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.74%EV -7.70%E -3.63%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -8.80%E -2.59%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-01 10:54
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.74%EV -7.70%E -3.63%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -8.80%E -2.59%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-01 10:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.24%EV -7.70%E -3.63%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.42%EV -15.53%E -5.45%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -8.80%E -2.59%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.7%2026-11-01 07:54
LiveScore Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.24%EV -7.70%E -3.63%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.42%EV -15.53%E -5.45%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -8.80%E -2.59%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.7%2026-11-01 07:55
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.24%EV -7.70%E -3.63%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.42%EV -15.53%E -5.45%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -8.80%E -2.59%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.7%2026-11-01 07:55
1xBet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 43.87%EV -8.14%E -3.86%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.29%EV -6.34%E -2.01%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -7.45%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-01 10:59
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.57%E -4.08%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.11%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-01 10:58
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.57%E -4.08%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.11%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-01 10:58
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.36%EV -8.57%E -4.08%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -9.60%E -3.15%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -8.80%E -2.59%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-01 10:59
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -8.57%E -4.08%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -14.64%E -5.08%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -8.80%E -2.59%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.8%2026-11-01 11:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.07%EV -8.57%E -4.08%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.55%EV -17.01%E -6.08%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -10.14%E -3.03%K -4.31%G +0.000%13.2%2026-11-01 07:55
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -8.57%E -4.08%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -11.09%E -3.70%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -16.84%E -5.43%K -8.02%G +0.000%13.2%2026-11-01 10:55
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -8.57%E -4.08%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -11.09%E -3.70%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -16.84%E -5.43%K -8.02%G +0.000%13.2%2026-11-01 10:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -8.57%E -4.08%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -11.09%E -3.70%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -16.84%E -5.43%K -8.02%G +0.000%13.2%2026-11-01 10:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -8.57%E -4.08%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -11.09%E -3.70%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -16.84%E -5.43%K -8.02%G +0.000%13.2%2026-11-01 10:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 44.03%EV -9.01%E -4.31%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.30%EV -6.94%E -2.21%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -7.45%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-01 10:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 42.20%EV -11.18%E -5.48%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.31%EV -18.50%E -6.73%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.49%EV -12.82%E -3.94%K -5.70%G +0.000%16.2%2026-11-01 07:55
NetBet (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.54%EV -12.05%E -5.97%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.81%EV -12.57%E -4.26%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.65%EV -11.48%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%13.7%2026-11-01 13:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.36%EV -12.05%E -5.97%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.69%EV -12.57%E -4.26%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.95%EV -12.82%E -3.94%K -5.70%G +0.000%14.2%2026-11-01 10:58
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.22I 45.05%NM 43.70%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.13%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.17%3.1%2026-11-01 11:50