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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Atlas v Pachuca

2026-11-07 23:00 UTC — Liga MX

胜负盘

33 家博彩公司 (11 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Atlas (主队)

预测 43.54%2.30公平赔率
EV -0.735%
优势 -0.322%
Kelly -0.574%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.28

博彩公司预测分布
42.06%43.37%43.50%44.15%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.022.132.122.2849.50%46.84%47.17%43.86%最小值均值中位数最大值

Pachuca (客队)

预测 29.64%3.37公平赔率
EV -2.49%
优势 -0.757%
Kelly -1.09%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.29

博彩公司预测分布
28.98%29.73%29.66%31.55%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.753.023.003.2936.36%33.13%33.33%30.40%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 26.82%3.73公平赔率
EV -0.748%
优势 -0.202%
Kelly -0.277%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.70

博彩公司预测分布
26.20%26.91%26.84%28.49%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.423.453.7032.26%29.28%28.99%27.03%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Atlas (主队)：43.54%；Pachuca (客队)：29.64%；平局：26.82%。 对于“Atlas (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.30。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率：当前最佳赔率为2.28，期望值为-0.735%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (33 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.52%EV -0.735%E -0.322%K -0.574%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.27%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.20%EV -0.748%E -0.202%K -0.277%G +0.000%3.1%2026-11-01 07:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.52%EV -0.735%E -0.322%K -0.574%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.27%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.20%EV -0.748%E -0.202%K -0.277%G +0.000%3.1%2026-11-01 07:55
GTbets🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.67%EV -1.61%E -0.711%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.86%EV -4.27%E -1.32%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.47%EV -5.84%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-01 11:00
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -4.22%E -1.92%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -3.43%E -0.953%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-01 11:20
Unibet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.45%EV -5.52%E -2.55%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -12.57%E -4.26%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -6.11%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-01 07:45
Grosvenor🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.45%EV -5.52%E -2.55%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -12.57%E -4.26%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -6.11%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-01 07:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.45%EV -5.52%E -2.55%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -12.57%E -4.26%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -6.11%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-01 07:45
betPARX🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.45%EV -5.52%E -2.55%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -12.57%E -4.26%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -6.11%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-01 07:45
BetRivers🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.45%EV -5.52%E -2.55%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -12.57%E -4.26%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -6.11%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-01 07:54
Unibet (NL)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.45%EV -5.52%E -2.55%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -12.57%E -4.26%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -6.11%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-01 07:54
Casumo🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.45%EV -5.52%E -2.55%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -12.57%E -4.26%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -6.11%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-01 07:54
Pinnacle🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.15%EV -5.96%E -2.76%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.99%EV -2.49%E -0.757%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.86%EV -4.77%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-01 11:10
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.39%E -2.97%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.11%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-01 10:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.39%E -2.97%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.80%E -2.59%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-01 10:59
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.74%EV -7.70%E -3.63%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -8.80%E -2.59%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-01 10:54
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.74%EV -7.70%E -3.63%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -8.80%E -2.59%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-01 10:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.24%EV -7.70%E -3.63%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.42%EV -15.53%E -5.45%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -8.80%E -2.59%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.7%2026-11-01 07:54
LiveScore Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.24%EV -7.70%E -3.63%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.42%EV -15.53%E -5.45%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -8.80%E -2.59%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.7%2026-11-01 07:55
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.24%EV -7.70%E -3.63%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.42%EV -15.53%E -5.45%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -8.80%E -2.59%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.7%2026-11-01 07:55
1xBet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 43.87%EV -8.14%E -3.86%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.29%EV -6.34%E -2.01%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -7.45%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-01 10:59
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.57%E -4.08%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.11%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-01 10:58
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.57%E -4.08%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.12%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.11%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-01 10:58
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.36%EV -8.57%E -4.08%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -9.60%E -3.15%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -8.80%E -2.59%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-01 10:59
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -8.57%E -4.08%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -14.64%E -5.08%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -8.80%E -2.59%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.8%2026-11-01 11:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.07%EV -8.57%E -4.08%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.55%EV -17.01%E -6.08%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -10.14%E -3.03%K -4.31%G +0.000%13.2%2026-11-01 07:55
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -8.57%E -4.08%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -11.09%E -3.70%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -16.84%E -5.43%K -8.02%G +0.000%13.2%2026-11-01 10:55
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -8.57%E -4.08%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -11.09%E -3.70%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -16.84%E -5.43%K -8.02%G +0.000%13.2%2026-11-01 10:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -8.57%E -4.08%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -11.09%E -3.70%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -16.84%E -5.43%K -8.02%G +0.000%13.2%2026-11-01 10:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -8.57%E -4.08%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -11.09%E -3.70%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -16.84%E -5.43%K -8.02%G +0.000%13.2%2026-11-01 10:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 44.03%EV -9.01%E -4.31%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.30%EV -6.94%E -2.21%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -7.45%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-01 10:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 42.20%EV -11.18%E -5.48%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.31%EV -18.50%E -6.73%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.49%EV -12.82%E -3.94%K -5.70%G +0.000%16.2%2026-11-01 07:55
NetBet (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.54%EV -12.05%E -5.97%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.81%EV -12.57%E -4.26%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.65%EV -11.48%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%13.7%2026-11-01 13:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.36%EV -12.05%E -5.97%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.69%EV -12.57%E -4.26%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.95%EV -12.82%E -3.94%K -5.70%G +0.000%14.2%2026-11-01 10:58
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎2.22I 45.05%NM 43.70%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.13%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.17%3.1%2026-11-01 11:50