The School of Odds
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Atlante FC v Atlético San Luis

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 03:00 UTC

Final: Atlante FC 0–1 Atlético San Luis

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlante FC (Local)

Prediction 42.76%2.34fair odd
EV +1.77%
Edge +0.742%
Kelly +1.28%
Growth +0.023%

assuming max odds 2.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.35%42.83%42.69%45.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.972.152.152.3850.76%46.52%46.51%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atlético San Luis (Visit)

Prediction 29.80%3.36fair odd
EV -0.770%
Edge -0.231%
Kelly -0.331%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.46%29.82%29.87%31.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.073.103.3334.72%32.54%32.26%30.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.44%3.64fair odd
EV -1.21%
Edge -0.335%
Kelly -0.464%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.02%27.35%27.44%28.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.363.403.6031.75%29.73%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlante FC (Local): 42.76%; Atlético San Luis (Visit): 29.80%; Draw: 27.44%. For Atlante FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.34. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.38, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.77%.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV +1.77%E +0.742%K +1.28%G +0.023%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.90%EV -10.31%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.75%EV -5.05%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-24 02:50
Pinnacle🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.99%EV -3.79%E -1.69%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.05%EV -0.770%E -0.231%K -0.331%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.96%EV -5.05%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-24 02:55
GTbets🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.89%EV -3.79%E -1.69%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.31%EV -7.33%E -2.36%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.80%EV -6.97%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-23 13:11
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -3.79%E -1.69%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-24 02:55
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -3.79%E -1.69%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-24 02:53
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -3.79%E -1.69%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-24 02:54
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.37%EV -4.65%E -2.08%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.76%EV -3.15%E -0.970%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.87%EV -1.21%E -0.335%K -0.464%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-23 23:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.37%EV -4.65%E -2.08%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.76%EV -3.15%E -0.970%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.87%EV -1.21%E -0.335%K -0.464%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-23 23:35
Coolbet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.92%EV -5.08%E -2.29%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.05%EV -2.26%E -0.689%K -0.991%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.03%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-24 01:30
BetUS🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 42.98%EV -5.50%E -2.49%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.32%EV -3.45%E -1.07%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.70%EV -5.87%E -1.71%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-23 21:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.91%EV -5.93%E -2.70%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.10%EV -1.07%E -0.322%K -0.460%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.99%EV -1.76%E -0.490%K -0.680%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-24 02:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.91%EV -5.93%E -2.70%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.10%EV -1.07%E -0.322%K -0.460%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.99%EV -1.76%E -0.490%K -0.680%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-24 02:25
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -5.93%E -2.70%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-23 20:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.93%E -2.70%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-23 22:09
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.93%E -2.70%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-23 20:55
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.93%E -2.70%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-24 02:30
LeoVegas🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.06%EV -6.79%E -3.11%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-24 02:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.60%EV -7.64%E -3.54%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.72%EV -8.89%E -2.68%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-23 20:54
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -8.07%E -3.75%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -4.64%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-24 02:35
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -8.07%E -3.75%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -4.64%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-24 02:34
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.02%EV -8.07%E -3.75%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -6.13%E -1.95%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-24 02:50
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.07%E -3.75%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.13%E -1.95%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-24 02:55
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.07%E -3.75%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.13%E -1.95%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-24 02:50
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.74%EV -8.07%E -3.75%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-23 21:09
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -8.07%E -3.75%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -13.58%E -4.68%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-23 20:59
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.35%EV -8.07%E -3.75%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -14.18%E -4.92%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -12.18%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-24 02:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.35%EV -8.07%E -3.75%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -14.18%E -4.92%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -12.18%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-24 02:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.35%EV -8.07%E -3.75%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -14.18%E -4.92%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -12.18%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-24 02:55
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.35%EV -8.07%E -3.75%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -14.18%E -4.92%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -12.18%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-24 02:53
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -9.35%E -4.41%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-24 02:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -9.35%E -4.41%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-24 02:25
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -9.35%E -4.41%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-24 02:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -9.35%E -4.41%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-24 02:25
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -9.35%E -4.41%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-24 02:25
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -9.35%E -4.41%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-24 02:25
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -9.35%E -4.41%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-24 02:25
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -10.21%E -4.86%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-24 02:55
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -10.21%E -4.86%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-24 02:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -10.21%E -4.86%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-24 02:45
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.21%E -4.86%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.18%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-23 20:56
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -10.21%E -4.86%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.82%EV -14.18%E -4.92%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.90%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-23 21:09
TABtouch🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.04%EV -11.06%E -5.32%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.13%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-24 02:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.04%EV -11.06%E -5.32%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.13%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-24 02:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.04%EV -11.06%E -5.32%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.13%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-24 02:25
NetBet (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 42.45%EV -11.49%E -5.55%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.09%EV -12.99%E -4.45%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.46%EV -12.18%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-24 02:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 42.88%EV -11.92%E -5.79%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.94%EV -12.09%E -4.10%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000%13.2%2026-10-24 02:25
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -12.34%E -6.02%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -13.58%E -4.68%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-23 22:24
Betclic (FR)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 43.13%EV -13.20%E -6.50%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.68%EV -12.09%E -4.10%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.19%EV -11.63%E -3.61%K -5.24%G +0.000%14.2%2026-10-24 02:33
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -14.48%E -7.24%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -4.64%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-24 02:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 43.30%EV -15.77%E -8.00%K -16.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.62%EV -14.18%E -4.92%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.08%EV -13.56%E -4.30%K -6.30%G +0.000%17.2%2026-10-24 02:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.57%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.7%2026-10-24 02:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.57%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.7%2026-10-24 02:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.57%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.7%2026-10-24 02:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.57%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.7%2026-10-24 02:55
Smarkets◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.43%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.30%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27%1.9%2026-10-24 02:45
Kalshi◎2.17I 46.08%NM 44.26%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.84%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.90%4.1%2026-10-24 02:40