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Atlante FC v América
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Atlante FC (Local)
Prediction 16.08%6.22fair odd
EV +0.529%
Edge +0.085%
Kelly +0.101%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 6.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.01%16.06%16.00%17.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.775.906.2520.00%17.33%16.95%16.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
América (Visit)
Prediction 61.41%1.63fair odd
EV -4.20%
Edge -2.69%
Kelly -7.50%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.82%61.44%61.37%63.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.501.511.5670.42%66.45%66.23%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.51%4.44fair odd
EV +2.62%
Edge +0.575%
Kelly +0.737%
Growth +0.019%
assuming max odds 4.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.17%22.49%22.63%23.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.033.984.5627.03%24.82%25.16%21.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlante FC (Local): 16.08%; América (Visit): 61.41%; Draw: 22.51%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.44. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.56, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.62%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.60%EV -0.275%E -0.044%K -0.053%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.20%EV -6.04%E -3.95%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 4.56I 21.93%NM 21.20%EV +2.62%E +0.575%K +0.737%G +0.019% | 3.4% | 2026-07-25 02:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.60%EV -0.275%E -0.044%K -0.053%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.20%EV -6.04%E -3.95%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 4.56I 21.93%NM 21.20%EV +2.62%E +0.575%K +0.737%G +0.019% | 3.4% | 2026-07-25 02:25 |
| 1xBet | 6.09I 16.42%NM 15.75%EV -2.04%E -0.336%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.09%EV -6.66%E -4.38%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 4.53I 22.08%NM 21.17%EV +1.95%E +0.430%K +0.552%G +0.011% | 4.3% | 2026-07-25 02:55 |
| Pinnacle | 6.02I 16.61%NM 15.99%EV -3.17%E -0.527%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.09%EV -4.81%E -3.11%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 4.39I 22.78%NM 21.92%EV -1.20%E -0.274%K -0.355%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-25 02:45 |
| BetUS | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.12%EV -5.10%E -0.864%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.76%EV -5.43%E -3.53%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -3.23%E -0.751%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-24 23:05 |
| DraftKings | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.41%EV -7.51%E -1.31%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.66%EV -6.04%E -3.95%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -3.23%E -0.751%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-25 02:40 |
| FanDuel | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.73%EV -5.10%E -0.864%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.69%EV -9.11%E -6.16%K -18.99%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -3.23%E -0.751%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-25 02:35 |
| SportsBet | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.88%EV -5.10%E -0.864%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.06%EV -7.27%E -4.82%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -4.35%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-25 02:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.26%EV -7.51%E -1.31%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.49%EV -6.66%E -4.38%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -5.48%E -1.30%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-25 02:50 |
| Betway | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -11.53%E -2.10%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -6.04%E -3.95%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -5.48%E -1.30%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-25 02:55 |
| LeoVegas | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -9.93%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.38%EV -7.88%E -5.26%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.18%EV -6.60%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-25 02:55 |
| Coolbet | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -5.10%E -0.864%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.79%EV -4.20%E -2.69%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -7.73%E -1.89%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-25 01:05 |
| Fanatics | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -7.51%E -1.31%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.54%EV -4.20%E -2.69%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -7.73%E -1.89%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-24 22:09 |
| betano_uk | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -3.49%E -0.582%K -0.698%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -7.88%E -5.26%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.73%E -1.89%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-25 02:45 |
| Bet Victor | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -3.49%E -0.582%K -0.698%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -7.88%E -5.26%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.73%E -1.89%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-25 02:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.99%EV -6.71%E -1.16%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.40%EV -7.27%E -4.82%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -7.73%E -1.89%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-25 02:55 |
| GTbets | 5.58I 17.92%NM 16.81%EV -10.25%E -1.84%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.14%EV -4.20%E -2.69%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.05%EV -8.40%E -2.06%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-24 21:20 |
| Fliff | 5.55I 18.02%NM 16.41%EV -10.73%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.11%EV -8.50%E -5.70%K -17.34%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.48%EV -8.85%E -2.19%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-25 02:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.16%EV +0.529%E +0.085%K +0.101%G +0.001% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.14%EV -4.81%E -3.11%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -9.98%E -2.49%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-25 02:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.16%EV +0.529%E +0.085%K +0.101%G +0.001% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.14%EV -4.81%E -3.11%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -9.98%E -2.49%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-25 02:35 |
| PlayUp | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.08%EV -7.51%E -1.31%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.81%EV -6.66%E -4.38%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -9.98%E -2.49%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-25 02:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -6.71%E -1.16%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -7.88%E -5.26%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -9.98%E -2.49%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-24 23:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.35%EV -11.53%E -2.10%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.17%EV -9.73%E -6.62%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -9.98%E -2.49%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-25 02:45 |
| Paddy Power | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.53%E -2.10%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -11.57%E -8.03%K -26.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -9.98%E -2.49%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-25 02:35 |
| NordicBet | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -5.10%E -0.864%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -4.81%E -3.11%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -11.10%E -2.81%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-25 02:35 |
| Betsson | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -5.10%E -0.864%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -4.81%E -3.11%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -11.10%E -2.81%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-25 02:40 |
| Bet Right | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -11.53%E -2.10%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.20%EV -6.66%E -4.38%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.16%EV -11.10%E -2.81%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-24 19:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.55%EV -13.14%E -2.43%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.81%EV -9.73%E -6.62%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.63%EV -11.10%E -2.81%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-25 02:49 |
| NetBet (FR) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.73%EV -16.36%E -3.15%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 61.25%EV -12.80%E -9.01%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.02%EV -11.10%E -2.81%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-07-25 02:34 |
| Unibet | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.20%EV -1.88%E -0.309%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.02%EV -6.66%E -4.38%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -12.23%E -3.14%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-25 02:35 |
| Casumo | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.14%EV -1.88%E -0.309%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.17%EV -7.27%E -4.82%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -12.23%E -3.14%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-25 02:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.14%EV -1.88%E -0.309%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.17%EV -7.27%E -4.82%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -12.23%E -3.14%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-25 02:35 |
| Grosvenor | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.14%EV -1.88%E -0.309%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.17%EV -7.27%E -4.82%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -12.23%E -3.14%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-25 02:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.14%EV -1.88%E -0.309%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.17%EV -7.27%E -4.82%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -12.23%E -3.14%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-25 02:35 |
| betPARX | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.14%EV -1.88%E -0.309%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.17%EV -7.27%E -4.82%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -12.23%E -3.14%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-25 02:35 |
| TABtouch | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.08%EV -1.88%E -0.309%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.33%EV -7.88%E -5.26%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -12.23%E -3.14%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-25 02:35 |
| BetRivers | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.08%EV -1.88%E -0.309%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.33%EV -7.88%E -5.26%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -12.23%E -3.14%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-25 02:35 |
| Neds | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -15.56%E -2.96%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.87%EV -7.88%E -5.26%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -12.23%E -3.14%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-25 02:55 |
| Sky Bet | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.69%EV -15.56%E -2.96%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.85%EV -11.57%E -8.03%K -26.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.47%EV -12.23%E -3.14%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-07-25 02:35 |
| William Hill | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.38%EV -19.58%E -3.92%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.34%EV -11.57%E -8.03%K -26.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.28%EV -12.23%E -3.14%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-07-25 02:55 |
| 888sport | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.38%EV -19.58%E -3.92%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.34%EV -11.57%E -8.03%K -26.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.28%EV -12.23%E -3.14%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-07-25 02:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -3.49%E -0.582%K -0.698%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.15%EV -8.50%E -5.70%K -17.34%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -13.35%E -3.47%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-25 02:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -3.49%E -0.582%K -0.698%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.15%EV -8.50%E -5.70%K -17.34%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -13.35%E -3.47%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-25 02:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.01%EV -3.49%E -0.582%K -0.698%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.28%EV -9.73%E -6.62%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%EV -14.48%E -3.81%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-25 02:35 |
| betfred_uk | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -11.53%E -2.10%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -7.88%E -5.26%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -15.61%E -4.16%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-24 19:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -19.58%E -3.92%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.82%EV -7.88%E -5.26%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.53%EV -15.61%E -4.16%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-07-25 01:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -19.58%E -3.92%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.82%EV -7.88%E -5.26%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.53%EV -15.61%E -4.16%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-07-25 01:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.10%EV -6.71%E -1.16%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.24%EV -12.18%E -8.52%K -28.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.67%EV -16.73%E -4.52%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-07-25 02:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.51% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.43% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06% | 0.7% | 2026-07-25 02:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.51% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.43% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06% | 0.7% | 2026-07-25 02:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.51% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.43% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06% | 0.7% | 2026-07-25 02:40 |
| Matchbook | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.51% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.43% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06% | 0.7% | 2026-07-25 02:45 |
| Smarkets | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.85% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.81% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.34% | 1.7% | 2026-07-25 02:40 |
| Kalshi | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.65% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.57% | 2.1% | 2026-07-25 01:20 |