L’École des cotes

Atlante FC v América

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-25 03:00 UTC

Score final : Atlante FC 1–1 América

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Atlante FC (Local)

Prévision 16.08%6.22cote équitable
EV +0.529%
Avantage +0.085%
Kelly +0.101%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 6.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.01%16.06%16.00%17.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.005.775.906.2520.00%17.33%16.95%16.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

América (Visiteur)

Prévision 61.41%1.63cote équitable
EV -4.20%
Avantage -2.69%
Kelly -7.50%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.82%61.44%61.37%63.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.421.501.511.5670.42%66.45%66.23%64.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.51%4.44cote équitable
EV +2.62%
Avantage +0.575%
Kelly +0.737%
Croissance +0.019%

avec la cote maximale 4.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.17%22.49%22.63%23.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.704.033.984.5627.03%24.82%25.16%21.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag6.20I 16.13%NM 15.60%EV -0.275%E -0.044%K -0.053%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.20%EV -6.04%E -3.95%K -11.40%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 21.20%EV +2.62%E +0.575%K +0.737%G +0.019%3.4%2026-07-25 02:25
LowVig.ag6.20I 16.13%NM 15.60%EV -0.275%E -0.044%K -0.053%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.20%EV -6.04%E -3.95%K -11.40%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 21.20%EV +2.62%E +0.575%K +0.737%G +0.019%3.4%2026-07-25 02:25
1xBet6.09I 16.42%NM 15.75%EV -2.04%E -0.336%K -0.402%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.09%EV -6.66%E -4.38%K -12.80%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 21.17%EV +1.95%E +0.430%K +0.552%G +0.011%4.3%2026-07-25 02:55
Pinnacle6.02I 16.61%NM 15.99%EV -3.17%E -0.527%K -0.631%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.09%EV -4.81%E -3.11%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.92%EV -1.20%E -0.274%K -0.355%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-25 02:45
BetUS5.90I 16.95%NM 16.12%EV -5.10%E -0.864%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.76%EV -5.43%E -3.53%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -3.23%E -0.751%K -0.978%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-24 23:05
DraftKings5.75I 17.39%NM 16.41%EV -7.51%E -1.31%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.66%EV -6.04%E -3.95%K -11.40%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -3.23%E -0.751%K -0.978%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-25 02:40
FanDuel5.90I 16.95%NM 15.73%EV -5.10%E -0.864%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.69%EV -9.11%E -6.16%K -18.99%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -3.23%E -0.751%K -0.978%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 02:35
SportsBet5.90I 16.95%NM 15.88%EV -5.10%E -0.864%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.06%EV -7.27%E -4.82%K -14.26%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -4.35%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 02:35
Unibet (UK)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.26%EV -7.51%E -1.31%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.49%EV -6.66%E -4.38%K -12.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -5.48%E -1.30%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 02:50
Betway5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -11.53%E -2.10%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -6.04%E -3.95%K -11.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -5.48%E -1.30%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 02:55
LeoVegas5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -9.93%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.38%EV -7.88%E -5.26%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.18%EV -6.60%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 02:55
Coolbet5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -5.10%E -0.864%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.79%EV -4.20%E -2.69%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -7.73%E -1.89%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 01:05
Fanatics5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -7.51%E -1.31%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.54%EV -4.20%E -2.69%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -7.73%E -1.89%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-24 22:09
betano_uk6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -3.49%E -0.582%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -7.88%E -5.26%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.73%E -1.89%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-25 02:45
Bet Victor6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -3.49%E -0.582%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -7.88%E -5.26%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.73%E -1.89%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-25 02:44
Marathon Bet5.80I 17.24%NM 15.99%EV -6.71%E -1.16%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.40%EV -7.27%E -4.82%K -14.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -7.73%E -1.89%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 02:55
GTbets5.58I 17.92%NM 16.81%EV -10.25%E -1.84%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.14%EV -4.20%E -2.69%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.05%EV -8.40%E -2.06%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-24 21:20
Fliff5.55I 18.02%NM 16.41%EV -10.73%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.11%EV -8.50%E -5.70%K -17.34%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.48%EV -8.85%E -2.19%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-25 02:55
ATG (SE)6.25I 16.00%NM 15.16%EV +0.529%E +0.085%K +0.101%G +0.001%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.14%EV -4.81%E -3.11%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -9.98%E -2.49%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-25 02:35
Svenska Spel6.25I 16.00%NM 15.16%EV +0.529%E +0.085%K +0.101%G +0.001%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.14%EV -4.81%E -3.11%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -9.98%E -2.49%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-25 02:35
PlayUp5.75I 17.39%NM 16.08%EV -7.51%E -1.31%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.81%EV -6.66%E -4.38%K -12.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -9.98%E -2.49%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-25 02:50
Tipico (DE)5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -6.71%E -1.16%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -7.88%E -5.26%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -9.98%E -2.49%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-24 23:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.35%EV -11.53%E -2.10%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.17%EV -9.73%E -6.62%K -20.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -9.98%E -2.49%K -3.33%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-25 02:45
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.53%E -2.10%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -11.57%E -8.03%K -26.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -9.98%E -2.49%K -3.33%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-25 02:35
NordicBet5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -5.10%E -0.864%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -4.81%E -3.11%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -11.10%E -2.81%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 02:35
Betsson5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -5.10%E -0.864%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -4.81%E -3.11%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -11.10%E -2.81%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 02:40
Bet Right5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -11.53%E -2.10%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.20%EV -6.66%E -4.38%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.16%EV -11.10%E -2.81%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-24 19:45
Betclic (FR)5.40I 18.52%NM 16.55%EV -13.14%E -2.43%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 60.81%EV -9.73%E -6.62%K -20.70%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.63%EV -11.10%E -2.81%K -3.76%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-25 02:49
NetBet (FR)5.20I 19.23%NM 16.73%EV -16.36%E -3.15%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 61.25%EV -12.80%E -9.01%K -30.47%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.02%EV -11.10%E -2.81%K -3.76%G +0.000%15.0%2026-07-25 02:34
Unibet6.10I 16.39%NM 15.20%EV -1.88%E -0.309%K -0.369%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.02%EV -6.66%E -4.38%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -12.23%E -3.14%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 02:35
Casumo6.10I 16.39%NM 15.14%EV -1.88%E -0.309%K -0.369%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.17%EV -7.27%E -4.82%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -12.23%E -3.14%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 02:35
Unibet (SE)6.10I 16.39%NM 15.14%EV -1.88%E -0.309%K -0.369%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.17%EV -7.27%E -4.82%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -12.23%E -3.14%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 02:35
Grosvenor6.10I 16.39%NM 15.14%EV -1.88%E -0.309%K -0.369%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.17%EV -7.27%E -4.82%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -12.23%E -3.14%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 02:35
Unibet (NL)6.10I 16.39%NM 15.14%EV -1.88%E -0.309%K -0.369%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.17%EV -7.27%E -4.82%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -12.23%E -3.14%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 02:35
betPARX6.10I 16.39%NM 15.14%EV -1.88%E -0.309%K -0.369%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.17%EV -7.27%E -4.82%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -12.23%E -3.14%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 02:35
TABtouch6.10I 16.39%NM 15.08%EV -1.88%E -0.309%K -0.369%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.33%EV -7.88%E -5.26%K -15.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -12.23%E -3.14%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 02:35
BetRivers6.10I 16.39%NM 15.08%EV -1.88%E -0.309%K -0.369%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.33%EV -7.88%E -5.26%K -15.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -12.23%E -3.14%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 02:35
Neds5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -15.56%E -2.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.87%EV -7.88%E -5.26%K -15.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -12.23%E -3.14%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-25 02:55
Sky Bet5.25I 19.05%NM 16.69%EV -15.56%E -2.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.85%EV -11.57%E -8.03%K -26.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.47%EV -12.23%E -3.14%K -4.22%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-25 02:35
William Hill5.00I 20.00%NM 17.38%EV -19.58%E -3.92%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.34%EV -11.57%E -8.03%K -26.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.28%EV -12.23%E -3.14%K -4.22%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-25 02:55
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 17.38%EV -19.58%E -3.92%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.34%EV -11.57%E -8.03%K -26.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.28%EV -12.23%E -3.14%K -4.22%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-25 02:55
LiveScore Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -3.49%E -0.582%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.15%EV -8.50%E -5.70%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -13.35%E -3.47%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-25 02:35
LeoVegas (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -3.49%E -0.582%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.15%EV -8.50%E -5.70%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -13.35%E -3.47%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-25 02:35
Virgin Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.01%EV -3.49%E -0.582%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.28%EV -9.73%E -6.62%K -20.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%EV -14.48%E -3.81%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-25 02:35
betfred_uk5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -11.53%E -2.10%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -7.88%E -5.26%K -15.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -15.61%E -4.16%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-24 19:50
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -19.58%E -3.92%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.82%EV -7.88%E -5.26%K -15.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.53%EV -15.61%E -4.16%K -5.67%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-25 01:55
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -19.58%E -3.92%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.82%EV -7.88%E -5.26%K -15.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.53%EV -15.61%E -4.16%K -5.67%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-25 01:55
PMU (FR)5.80I 17.24%NM 15.10%EV -6.71%E -1.16%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 61.24%EV -12.18%E -8.52%K -28.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.67%EV -16.73%E -4.52%K -6.20%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-25 02:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.51%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.43%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06%0.7%2026-07-25 02:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.51%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.43%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06%0.7%2026-07-25 02:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.51%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.43%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06%0.7%2026-07-25 02:40
Matchbook6.40I 15.63%NM 15.51%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.43%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06%0.7%2026-07-25 02:45
Smarkets6.20I 16.13%NM 15.85%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.81%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.34%1.7%2026-07-25 02:40
Kalshi5.88I 17.01%NM 16.65%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.57%2.1%2026-07-25 01:20