La escuela de los momiosAmérica v Toluca
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
América (Local)
Predicción 32.77%3.05momio equitativo
EV +5.53%
Ventaja +1.72%
Kelly +2.49%
Crecimiento +0.138%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.22
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.80%32.92%32.76%35.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.752.703.2240.00%36.38%37.04%31.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Toluca (Visitante)
Predicción 38.77%2.58momio equitativo
EV +1.97%
Ventaja +0.749%
Kelly +1.21%
Crecimiento +0.024%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.63
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.86%38.67%38.72%41.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.412.402.6345.45%41.53%41.67%38.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.45%3.51momio equitativo
EV -3.26%
Ventaja -0.958%
Kelly -1.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.08%28.40%28.52%29.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.233.253.4034.72%30.98%30.77%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.80%EV +5.53%E +1.72%K +2.49%G +0.138% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.72%EV -10.83%E -4.71%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.48%EV -4.11%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-19 03:05 |
| Bet Victor | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -1.68%E -0.559%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -10.83%E -4.71%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.10%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 03:04 |
| Pinnacle | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.61%EV -2.66%E -0.895%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74%EV -3.07%E -1.23%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.65%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-19 02:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.76%EV -3.31%E -1.12%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.65%EV -3.07%E -1.23%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.59%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-19 02:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.76%EV -3.31%E -1.12%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.65%EV -3.07%E -1.23%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.59%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-19 02:30 |
| BetUS | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.76%EV -3.31%E -1.12%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.65%EV -3.07%E -1.23%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.59%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-19 02:30 |
| GTbets | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.66%EV -4.95%E -1.71%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.19%EV -3.85%E -1.55%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -7.52%E -2.32%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-19 02:30 |
| DraftKings | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -4.95%E -1.71%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -5.01%E -2.04%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -6.10%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-19 02:25 |
| NordicBet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -5.61%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.51%EV -6.17%E -2.55%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 02:55 |
| Betsson | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -5.61%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.51%EV -6.17%E -2.55%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 02:55 |
| BetMGM | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.28%EV -5.61%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.56%EV -8.89%E -3.78%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -6.10%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 02:24 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.54%EV -6.59%E -2.31%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.48%EV -6.56%E -2.72%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-19 02:55 |
| Fanatics | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -6.59%E -2.31%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -8.89%E -3.78%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -6.10%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-19 02:35 |
| PlayUp | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -6.59%E -2.31%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -6.95%E -2.90%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-19 02:55 |
| Bovada | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.59%EV -7.25%E -2.56%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.59%EV -7.34%E -3.07%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-19 02:58 |
| Coolbet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%EV -8.23%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.37%EV +1.58%E +0.603%K +0.976%G +0.015% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.59%EV -8.38%E -2.60%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-19 02:00 |
| FanDuel | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.23%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -8.89%E -3.78%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -3.26%E -0.958%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-19 02:30 |
| Betway | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -8.23%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -6.95%E -2.90%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -7.52%E -2.32%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-19 02:50 |
| SportsBet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -8.23%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -10.83%E -4.71%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -3.26%E -0.958%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-19 02:30 |
| Everygame | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -8.23%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -8.89%E -3.78%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -10.37%E -3.29%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-19 02:40 |
| Bet Right | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -9.87%E -3.59%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.89%E -3.78%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -6.10%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-19 02:30 |
| Fliff | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -9.87%E -3.59%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.63%EV -8.89%E -3.78%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-19 02:55 |
| betfred_uk | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -9.87%E -3.59%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -10.83%E -4.71%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -7.52%E -2.32%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-19 02:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -9.87%E -3.59%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -12.76%E -5.67%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-19 02:25 |
| Coral | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -9.87%E -3.59%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -12.76%E -5.67%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-19 02:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -11.51%E -4.26%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.24%EV +1.97%E +0.749%K +1.21%G +0.024% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.45%EV -4.68%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-19 02:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -11.51%E -4.26%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.24%EV +1.97%E +0.749%K +1.21%G +0.024% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.45%EV -4.68%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-19 02:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -11.51%E -4.26%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -10.83%E -4.71%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -6.10%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-19 02:30 |
| Paddy Power | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -11.51%E -4.26%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -10.83%E -4.71%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -6.10%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-19 02:30 |
| Sky Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -11.51%E -4.26%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -12.76%E -5.67%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -7.52%E -2.32%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-19 02:30 |
| 888sport | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -11.51%E -4.26%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -10.83%E -4.71%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -11.79%E -3.80%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-19 02:35 |
| William Hill | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -11.51%E -4.26%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -10.83%E -4.71%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -11.79%E -3.80%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-19 02:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -11.51%E -4.26%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -10.83%E -4.71%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -11.79%E -3.80%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-19 02:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -11.51%E -4.26%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -10.83%E -4.71%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -11.79%E -3.80%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-19 02:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.45%EV -11.51%E -4.26%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.29%EV -13.54%E -6.07%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.26%EV -11.79%E -3.80%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-19 02:44 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.42%EV -11.51%E -4.26%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.79%EV -14.70%E -6.68%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -10.37%E -3.29%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-04-19 02:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.87%EV -11.51%E -4.26%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.25%EV -12.76%E -5.67%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%EV -18.05%E -6.27%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-19 02:52 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.12%EV -13.15%E -4.96%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.01%EV -12.76%E -5.67%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.87%EV -10.37%E -3.29%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-19 02:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.50%EV -13.15%E -4.96%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 38.79%EV -13.93%E -6.27%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.71%EV -14.64%E -4.88%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-04-19 02:50 |
| Grosvenor | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.45%EV -13.80%E -5.25%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV +0.806%E +0.310%K +0.503%G +0.004% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -7.52%E -2.32%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 02:55 |
| Casumo | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.45%EV -13.80%E -5.25%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV +0.806%E +0.310%K +0.503%G +0.004% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -7.52%E -2.32%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 02:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.45%EV -13.80%E -5.25%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV +0.806%E +0.310%K +0.503%G +0.004% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -7.52%E -2.32%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 02:55 |
| Unibet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.45%EV -13.80%E -5.25%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV +0.806%E +0.310%K +0.503%G +0.004% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -7.52%E -2.32%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 03:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.45%EV -13.80%E -5.25%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV +0.806%E +0.310%K +0.503%G +0.004% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -7.52%E -2.32%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 02:55 |
| betPARX | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.45%EV -13.80%E -5.25%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV +0.806%E +0.310%K +0.503%G +0.004% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -7.52%E -2.32%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 02:55 |
| BetRivers | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.20%EV -13.80%E -5.25%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.31%EV -1.13%E -0.444%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -7.52%E -2.32%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-19 02:55 |
| TABtouch | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -14.79%E -5.69%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -1.13%E -0.444%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-19 02:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -14.79%E -5.69%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -3.07%E -1.23%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-19 02:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -14.79%E -5.69%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -3.07%E -1.23%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-19 02:55 |
| BoyleSports | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.12%EV -14.79%E -5.69%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -10.83%E -4.71%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.30%EV -7.52%E -2.32%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-19 02:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.34%EV -16.42%E -6.44%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.05%EV -3.07%E -1.23%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -10.37%E -3.29%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-19 02:55 |
| LeoVegas | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.27%EV -18.06%E -7.23%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.29%EV -5.79%E -2.38%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -11.79%E -3.80%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-19 02:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.27%EV -18.06%E -7.23%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.29%EV -5.79%E -2.38%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -11.79%E -3.80%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-19 02:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.81% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.06% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13% | 1.6% | 2026-04-19 03:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.81% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.06% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13% | 1.6% | 2026-04-19 03:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.81% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.06% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13% | 1.6% | 2026-04-19 03:05 |
| Matchbook | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.81% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.06% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13% | 1.6% | 2026-04-19 03:05 |
| Smarkets | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.72% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.01% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27% | 2.5% | 2026-04-19 03:05 |
| Kalshi | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.12% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.68% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.20% | 3.0% | 2026-04-19 03:05 |