StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

América v Toluca

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-19 03:10 UTC

Endstand: América 2–1 Toluca

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

53 Wettanbieter (16 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

América (Heim)

Prognose 32.77%3.05faire Quote
EV +5.53%
Vorteil +1.72%
Kelly +2.49%
Wachstum +0.138%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.22

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
29.80%32.92%32.76%35.45%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.502.752.703.2240.00%36.38%37.04%31.06%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Toluca (Auswärts)

Prognose 38.77%2.58faire Quote
EV +1.97%
Vorteil +0.749%
Kelly +1.21%
Wachstum +0.024%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.63

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
35.86%38.67%38.72%41.72%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.202.412.402.6345.45%41.53%41.67%38.02%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 28.45%3.51faire Quote
EV -3.26%
Vorteil -0.958%
Kelly -1.36%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.40

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
27.08%28.40%28.52%29.88%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.883.233.253.4034.72%30.98%30.77%29.41%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: América (Heim): 32.77%; Toluca (Auswärts): 38.77%; Unentschieden: 28.45%. Für América (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.05. 1 Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 3.22 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +5.53%.

Wettanbieterquoten (53 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
1xBet🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 29.80%EV +5.53%E +1.72%K +2.49%G +0.138%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.72%EV -10.83%E -4.71%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.48%EV -4.11%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-19 03:05
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -1.68%E -0.559%K -0.838%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -10.83%E -4.71%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.10%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 03:04
Pinnacle🎯2.97I 33.67%NM 32.61%EV -2.66%E -0.895%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74%EV -3.07%E -1.23%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.65%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-19 02:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.76%EV -3.31%E -1.12%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.65%EV -3.07%E -1.23%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.59%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-19 02:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.76%EV -3.31%E -1.12%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.65%EV -3.07%E -1.23%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.59%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-19 02:30
BetUS🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.76%EV -3.31%E -1.12%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.65%EV -3.07%E -1.23%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.59%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-19 02:30
GTbets🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.66%EV -4.95%E -1.71%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.19%EV -3.85%E -1.55%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -7.52%E -2.32%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-19 02:30
DraftKings🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -4.95%E -1.71%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -5.01%E -2.04%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -6.10%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-19 02:25
NordicBet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -5.61%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.51%EV -6.17%E -2.55%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 02:55
Betsson🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -5.61%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.51%EV -6.17%E -2.55%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 02:55
BetMGM🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.28%EV -5.61%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.56%EV -8.89%E -3.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -6.10%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 02:24
Marathon Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.54%EV -6.59%E -2.31%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.48%EV -6.56%E -2.72%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 02:55
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -6.59%E -2.31%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -8.89%E -3.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -6.10%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 02:35
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -6.59%E -2.31%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -6.95%E -2.90%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 02:55
Bovada🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 32.59%EV -7.25%E -2.56%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 38.59%EV -7.34%E -3.07%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 02:58
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%EV -8.23%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.37%EV +1.58%E +0.603%K +0.976%G +0.015%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.59%EV -8.38%E -2.60%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 02:00
FanDuel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.23%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -8.89%E -3.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -3.26%E -0.958%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 02:30
Betway🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -8.23%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -6.95%E -2.90%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -7.52%E -2.32%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 02:50
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -8.23%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -10.83%E -4.71%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -3.26%E -0.958%K -1.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-19 02:30
Everygame🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -8.23%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -8.89%E -3.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -10.37%E -3.29%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 02:40
Bet Right🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -9.87%E -3.59%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.89%E -3.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -6.10%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 02:30
Fliff🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -9.87%E -3.59%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.63%EV -8.89%E -3.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 02:55
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -9.87%E -3.59%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -10.83%E -4.71%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -7.52%E -2.32%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-19 02:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -9.87%E -3.59%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -12.76%E -5.67%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-19 02:25
Coral🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -9.87%E -3.59%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -12.76%E -5.67%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-19 02:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -11.51%E -4.26%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.24%EV +1.97%E +0.749%K +1.21%G +0.024%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.45%EV -4.68%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 02:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -11.51%E -4.26%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.24%EV +1.97%E +0.749%K +1.21%G +0.024%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.45%EV -4.68%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 02:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -11.51%E -4.26%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -10.83%E -4.71%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -6.10%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-19 02:30
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -11.51%E -4.26%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -10.83%E -4.71%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -6.10%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-19 02:30
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -11.51%E -4.26%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -12.76%E -5.67%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -7.52%E -2.32%K -3.34%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-19 02:30
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -11.51%E -4.26%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -10.83%E -4.71%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -11.79%E -3.80%K -5.62%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-19 02:35
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -11.51%E -4.26%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -10.83%E -4.71%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -11.79%E -3.80%K -5.62%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-19 02:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -11.51%E -4.26%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -10.83%E -4.71%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -11.79%E -3.80%K -5.62%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-19 02:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -11.51%E -4.26%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -10.83%E -4.71%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -11.79%E -3.80%K -5.62%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-19 02:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.45%EV -11.51%E -4.26%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.29%EV -13.54%E -6.07%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.26%EV -11.79%E -3.80%K -5.62%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-19 02:44
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.42%EV -11.51%E -4.26%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.79%EV -14.70%E -6.68%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -10.37%E -3.29%K -4.82%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-19 02:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 31.87%EV -11.51%E -4.26%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.25%EV -12.76%E -5.67%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%EV -18.05%E -6.27%K -9.60%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-19 02:52
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.12%EV -13.15%E -4.96%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.01%EV -12.76%E -5.67%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.87%EV -10.37%E -3.29%K -4.82%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-19 02:30
NetBet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 32.50%EV -13.15%E -4.96%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 38.79%EV -13.93%E -6.27%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.71%EV -14.64%E -4.88%K -7.32%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-19 02:50
Grosvenor🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.45%EV -13.80%E -5.25%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV +0.806%E +0.310%K +0.503%G +0.004%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -7.52%E -2.32%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 02:55
Casumo🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.45%EV -13.80%E -5.25%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV +0.806%E +0.310%K +0.503%G +0.004%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -7.52%E -2.32%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 02:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.45%EV -13.80%E -5.25%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV +0.806%E +0.310%K +0.503%G +0.004%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -7.52%E -2.32%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 02:55
Unibet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.45%EV -13.80%E -5.25%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV +0.806%E +0.310%K +0.503%G +0.004%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -7.52%E -2.32%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 03:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.45%EV -13.80%E -5.25%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV +0.806%E +0.310%K +0.503%G +0.004%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -7.52%E -2.32%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 02:55
betPARX🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.45%EV -13.80%E -5.25%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV +0.806%E +0.310%K +0.503%G +0.004%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -7.52%E -2.32%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 02:55
BetRivers🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.20%EV -13.80%E -5.25%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.31%EV -1.13%E -0.444%K -0.731%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -7.52%E -2.32%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 02:55
TABtouch🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -14.79%E -5.69%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -1.13%E -0.444%K -0.731%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 02:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -14.79%E -5.69%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -3.07%E -1.23%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-19 02:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -14.79%E -5.69%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -3.07%E -1.23%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-19 02:55
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.12%EV -14.79%E -5.69%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -10.83%E -4.71%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.30%EV -7.52%E -2.32%K -3.34%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-19 02:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.34%EV -16.42%E -6.44%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.05%EV -3.07%E -1.23%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -10.37%E -3.29%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-19 02:55
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.27%EV -18.06%E -7.23%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.29%EV -5.79%E -2.38%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -11.79%E -3.80%K -5.62%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-19 02:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.27%EV -18.06%E -7.23%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.29%EV -5.79%E -2.38%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -11.79%E -3.80%K -5.62%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-19 02:50
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.81%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.06%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13%1.6%2026-04-19 03:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.81%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.06%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13%1.6%2026-04-19 03:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.81%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.06%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13%1.6%2026-04-19 03:05
Matchbook3.00I 33.33%NM 32.81%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.06%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13%1.6%2026-04-19 03:05
Smarkets2.98I 33.56%NM 32.72%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.01%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%2.5%2026-04-19 03:05
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 31.12%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.68%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.20%3.0%2026-04-19 03:05