مدرسة الاحتمالات

América v Toluca

البداية: 2026-04-19 03:10 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: América 2–1 Toluca

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

América (المضيف)

التنبؤ 32.77%3.05السعر العادل
EV +5.53%
الأفضلية +1.72%
Kelly +2.49%
النمو +0.138%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.22

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
29.80%32.92%32.76%35.45%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.502.752.703.2240.00%36.38%37.04%31.06%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Toluca (الضيف)

التنبؤ 38.77%2.58السعر العادل
EV +1.97%
الأفضلية +0.749%
Kelly +1.21%
النمو +0.024%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.63

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
35.86%38.67%38.72%41.72%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.202.412.402.6345.45%41.53%41.67%38.02%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.45%3.51السعر العادل
EV -3.26%
الأفضلية -0.958%
Kelly -1.36%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.08%28.40%28.52%29.88%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.233.253.4034.72%30.98%30.77%29.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet3.22I 31.06%NM 29.80%EV +5.53%E +1.72%K +2.49%G +0.138%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.72%EV -10.83%E -4.71%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.48%EV -4.11%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-19 03:05
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -1.68%E -0.559%K -0.838%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -10.83%E -4.71%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.10%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 03:04
Pinnacle2.97I 33.67%NM 32.61%EV -2.66%E -0.895%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74%EV -3.07%E -1.23%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.65%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-19 02:55
LowVig.ag2.95I 33.90%NM 32.76%EV -3.31%E -1.12%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.65%EV -3.07%E -1.23%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.59%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-19 02:30
BetOnline.ag2.95I 33.90%NM 32.76%EV -3.31%E -1.12%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.65%EV -3.07%E -1.23%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.59%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-19 02:30
BetUS2.95I 33.90%NM 32.76%EV -3.31%E -1.12%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.65%EV -3.07%E -1.23%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.59%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-19 02:30
GTbets2.90I 34.48%NM 32.66%EV -4.95%E -1.71%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.19%EV -3.85%E -1.55%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -7.52%E -2.32%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-19 02:30
DraftKings2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -4.95%E -1.71%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -5.01%E -2.04%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -6.10%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-19 02:25
NordicBet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -5.61%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.51%EV -6.17%E -2.55%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 02:55
Betsson2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -5.61%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.51%EV -6.17%E -2.55%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 02:55
BetMGM2.88I 34.72%NM 32.28%EV -5.61%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.56%EV -8.89%E -3.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -6.10%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 02:24
Marathon Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.54%EV -6.59%E -2.31%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.48%EV -6.56%E -2.72%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 02:55
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -6.59%E -2.31%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -8.89%E -3.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -6.10%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 02:35
PlayUp2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -6.59%E -2.31%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -6.95%E -2.90%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 02:55
Bovada2.83I 35.34%NM 32.59%EV -7.25%E -2.56%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 38.59%EV -7.34%E -3.07%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 02:58
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%EV -8.23%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.37%EV +1.58%E +0.603%K +0.976%G +0.015%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.59%EV -8.38%E -2.60%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 02:00
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.23%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -8.89%E -3.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -3.26%E -0.958%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 02:30
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -8.23%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -6.95%E -2.90%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -7.52%E -2.32%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 02:50
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -8.23%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -10.83%E -4.71%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -3.26%E -0.958%K -1.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-19 02:30
Everygame2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -8.23%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -8.89%E -3.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -10.37%E -3.29%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 02:40
Bet Right2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -9.87%E -3.59%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.89%E -3.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -6.10%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 02:30
Fliff2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -9.87%E -3.59%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.63%EV -8.89%E -3.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 02:55
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -9.87%E -3.59%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -10.83%E -4.71%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -7.52%E -2.32%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-19 02:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -9.87%E -3.59%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -12.76%E -5.67%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-19 02:25
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -9.87%E -3.59%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -12.76%E -5.67%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-19 02:25
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -11.51%E -4.26%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.24%EV +1.97%E +0.749%K +1.21%G +0.024%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.45%EV -4.68%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 02:50
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -11.51%E -4.26%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.24%EV +1.97%E +0.749%K +1.21%G +0.024%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.45%EV -4.68%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 02:50
Winamax (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -11.51%E -4.26%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -10.83%E -4.71%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -6.10%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-19 02:30
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -11.51%E -4.26%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -10.83%E -4.71%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -6.10%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-19 02:30
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -11.51%E -4.26%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -12.76%E -5.67%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -7.52%E -2.32%K -3.34%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-19 02:30
888sport2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -11.51%E -4.26%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -10.83%E -4.71%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -11.79%E -3.80%K -5.62%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-19 02:35
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -11.51%E -4.26%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -10.83%E -4.71%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -11.79%E -3.80%K -5.62%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-19 02:35
888sport (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -11.51%E -4.26%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -10.83%E -4.71%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -11.79%E -3.80%K -5.62%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-19 02:35
Mr Green (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -11.51%E -4.26%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -10.83%E -4.71%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -11.79%E -3.80%K -5.62%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-19 02:35
Betclic (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.45%EV -11.51%E -4.26%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.29%EV -13.54%E -6.07%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.26%EV -11.79%E -3.80%K -5.62%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-19 02:44
Unibet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.42%EV -11.51%E -4.26%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.79%EV -14.70%E -6.68%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -10.37%E -3.29%K -4.82%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-19 02:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 31.87%EV -11.51%E -4.26%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.25%EV -12.76%E -5.67%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%EV -18.05%E -6.27%K -9.60%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-19 02:52
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.12%EV -13.15%E -4.96%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.01%EV -12.76%E -5.67%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.87%EV -10.37%E -3.29%K -4.82%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-19 02:30
NetBet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 32.50%EV -13.15%E -4.96%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 38.79%EV -13.93%E -6.27%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.71%EV -14.64%E -4.88%K -7.32%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-19 02:50
Grosvenor2.63I 38.02%NM 35.45%EV -13.80%E -5.25%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV +0.806%E +0.310%K +0.503%G +0.004%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -7.52%E -2.32%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 02:55
Casumo2.63I 38.02%NM 35.45%EV -13.80%E -5.25%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV +0.806%E +0.310%K +0.503%G +0.004%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -7.52%E -2.32%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 02:55
Unibet (NL)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.45%EV -13.80%E -5.25%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV +0.806%E +0.310%K +0.503%G +0.004%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -7.52%E -2.32%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 02:55
Unibet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.45%EV -13.80%E -5.25%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV +0.806%E +0.310%K +0.503%G +0.004%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -7.52%E -2.32%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 03:00
Unibet (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.45%EV -13.80%E -5.25%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV +0.806%E +0.310%K +0.503%G +0.004%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -7.52%E -2.32%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 02:55
betPARX2.63I 38.02%NM 35.45%EV -13.80%E -5.25%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV +0.806%E +0.310%K +0.503%G +0.004%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -7.52%E -2.32%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 02:55
BetRivers2.63I 38.02%NM 35.20%EV -13.80%E -5.25%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.31%EV -1.13%E -0.444%K -0.731%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -7.52%E -2.32%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 02:55
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -14.79%E -5.69%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -1.13%E -0.444%K -0.731%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 02:55
LiveScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -14.79%E -5.69%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -3.07%E -1.23%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-19 02:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -14.79%E -5.69%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -3.07%E -1.23%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-19 02:55
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 34.12%EV -14.79%E -5.69%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -10.83%E -4.71%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.30%EV -7.52%E -2.32%K -3.34%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-19 02:10
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.34%EV -16.42%E -6.44%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.05%EV -3.07%E -1.23%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -10.37%E -3.29%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-19 02:55
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 35.27%EV -18.06%E -7.23%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.29%EV -5.79%E -2.38%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -11.79%E -3.80%K -5.62%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-19 02:50
PMU (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.27%EV -18.06%E -7.23%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.29%EV -5.79%E -2.38%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -11.79%E -3.80%K -5.62%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-19 02:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.81%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.06%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13%1.6%2026-04-19 03:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.81%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.06%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13%1.6%2026-04-19 03:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.81%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.06%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13%1.6%2026-04-19 03:05
Matchbook3.00I 33.33%NM 32.81%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.06%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13%1.6%2026-04-19 03:05
Smarkets2.98I 33.56%NM 32.72%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.01%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%2.5%2026-04-19 03:05
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 31.12%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.68%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.20%3.0%2026-04-19 03:05