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Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
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América v Guadalajara

Início: 2026-09-20 03:24 UTC

Final: América 2–2 Guadalajara

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

América (Local)

Previsão 35.98%2.78odd justa
EV -2.84%
Vantagem -1.05%
Kelly -1.67%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.57%36.14%35.93%37.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.382.552.562.7042.02%39.15%39.06%37.04%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Guadalajara (Visitante)

Previsão 37.55%2.66odd justa
EV -0.129%
Vantagem -0.049%
Kelly -0.078%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.66

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.39%37.56%37.49%39.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.302.462.452.6643.48%40.73%40.82%37.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.47%3.78odd justa
EV +1.12%
Vantagem +0.292%
Kelly +0.396%
Crescimento +0.004%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.82

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.72%26.31%26.58%27.77%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.453.403.8232.26%29.01%29.41%26.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: América (Local): 35.98%; Guadalajara (Visitante): 37.55%; Empate: 26.47%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.78. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.82, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.12%.

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
BetOnline.ag🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 36.05%EV -3.56%E -1.33%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.65%EV -6.14%E -2.45%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.29%EV +1.12%E +0.292%K +0.396%G +0.004%3.5%2026-09-20 03:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 36.05%EV -3.56%E -1.33%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.65%EV -6.14%E -2.45%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.29%EV +1.12%E +0.292%K +0.396%G +0.004%3.5%2026-09-20 02:59
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -9.89%E -4.12%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV +0.587%E +0.154%K +0.210%G +0.001%6.4%2026-09-20 03:09
Pinnacle🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -2.84%E -1.05%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.58%EV -5.76%E -2.30%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.55%EV +0.322%E +0.085%K +0.115%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-20 03:09
BetUS🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.33%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.55%EV -8.01%E -3.27%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.12%EV -0.472%E -0.126%K -0.171%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-20 02:55
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.13%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.13%EV -2.38%E -0.916%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -0.737%E -0.196%K -0.268%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-20 03:19
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.46%EV -8.24%E -3.23%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.74%EV -9.89%E -4.12%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -0.737%E -0.196%K -0.268%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 03:08
Tipico (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -11.84%E -4.83%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -8.01%E -3.27%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -2.06%E -0.557%K -0.763%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 03:19
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.14%E -2.45%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 03:18
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -10.04%E -4.02%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -13.65%E -5.93%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-20 03:09
Marathon Bet🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 35.96%EV -7.88%E -3.08%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -8.76%E -3.61%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.15%EV -6.82%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-20 03:14
GTbets🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.49%EV -4.28%E -1.61%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.61%EV -5.76%E -2.30%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.90%EV -7.09%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-20 03:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -4.64%E -1.75%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -6.14%E -2.45%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.35%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 02:54
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.76%EV -5.72%E -2.18%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.14%E -2.45%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -7.35%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 03:19
betano_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.76%EV -5.72%E -2.18%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.14%E -2.45%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -7.35%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 03:07
Betway🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.76%EV -5.72%E -2.18%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.14%E -2.45%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -7.35%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 03:19
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -4.64%E -1.75%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -8.01%E -3.27%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.35%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 02:55
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -8.01%E -3.27%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -7.35%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-20 03:09
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -11.84%E -4.83%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.52%EV -13.65%E -5.93%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -7.35%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-20 03:04
1xBet🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 36.12%EV -4.28%E -1.61%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.12%EV -0.129%E -0.049%K -0.078%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.77%EV -8.41%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-20 03:14
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -4.26%E -1.67%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -8.68%E -2.52%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 03:09
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -4.26%E -1.67%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -8.68%E -2.52%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 03:09
Bet Right🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -9.89%E -4.12%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -8.68%E -2.52%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-20 03:04
NordicBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -5.72%E -2.18%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -8.01%E -3.27%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-20 03:13
Betsson🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -5.72%E -2.18%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -8.01%E -3.27%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-20 03:00
BetRivers🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -11.84%E -4.83%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -2.38%E -0.916%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 02:19
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -6.14%E -2.45%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -11.32%E -3.38%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-20 03:19
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -8.24%E -3.23%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -6.14%E -2.45%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -11.32%E -3.38%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-20 03:09
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -8.24%E -3.23%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -6.14%E -2.45%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -11.32%E -3.38%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-20 03:09
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -8.24%E -3.23%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -6.14%E -2.45%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -11.32%E -3.38%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-20 03:09
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -8.24%E -3.23%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -6.14%E -2.45%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -11.32%E -3.38%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-20 03:09
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -8.24%E -3.23%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -6.14%E -2.45%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -11.32%E -3.38%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-20 03:09
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -8.24%E -3.23%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -6.14%E -2.45%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -11.32%E -3.38%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-20 03:09
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.72%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.93%EV -10.64%E -4.47%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -12.65%E -3.83%K -5.50%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-20 03:04
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -11.84%E -4.83%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -9.89%E -4.12%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -12.65%E -3.83%K -5.50%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-20 03:09
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -11.84%E -4.83%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -9.89%E -4.12%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -12.65%E -3.83%K -5.50%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-20 03:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -11.84%E -4.83%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -9.89%E -4.12%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -12.65%E -3.83%K -5.50%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-20 03:09
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.67%EV -13.64%E -5.68%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.67%EV -9.89%E -4.12%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -12.65%E -3.83%K -5.50%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-20 03:14
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.16%EV -10.04%E -4.02%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.21%EV -13.65%E -5.93%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -12.65%E -3.83%K -5.50%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-20 03:19
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -10.64%E -4.47%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -13.97%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-20 02:49
Virgin Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.03%EV -10.76%E -4.34%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.47%EV -8.01%E -3.27%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.50%EV -13.97%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-20 03:09
LiveScore Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.03%EV -10.76%E -4.34%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.47%EV -8.01%E -3.27%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.50%EV -13.97%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-20 03:09
TABtouch🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.03%EV -10.76%E -4.34%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.47%EV -8.01%E -3.27%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.50%EV -13.97%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-20 03:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.20%EV -11.84%E -4.83%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.50%EV -8.76%E -3.61%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.29%EV -13.97%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-20 03:09
Betclic (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.52%EV -13.64%E -5.68%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.52%EV -9.89%E -4.12%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -13.97%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-20 03:19
NetBet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.01%EV -10.04%E -4.02%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.06%EV -13.65%E -5.93%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -13.97%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-20 03:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 35.96%EV -14.36%E -6.03%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.42%EV -11.77%E -5.01%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.61%EV -17.94%E -5.79%K -8.54%G +0.000%16.8%2026-09-20 03:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.60I 38.46%NM 37.40%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.29%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.31%2.8%2026-09-20 03:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 37.40%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.98%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62%2.8%2026-09-20 03:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 37.29%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.17%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.54%3.1%2026-09-20 03:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 37.29%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.17%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.54%3.1%2026-09-20 03:19
Kalshi◎2.44I 40.98%NM 39.05%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.05%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%5.0%2026-09-20 03:19
Smarkets◎2.58I 38.76%NM 34.30%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.47%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%13.0%2026-09-20 03:19