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StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)
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América v Guadalajara

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-20 03:24 UTC

Endstand: América 2–2 Guadalajara

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

47 Wettanbieter (17 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

América (Heim)

Prognose 35.98%2.78faire Quote
EV -2.84%
Vorteil -1.05%
Kelly -1.67%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.70

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
34.57%36.14%35.93%37.56%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.382.552.562.7042.02%39.15%39.06%37.04%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Guadalajara (Auswärts)

Prognose 37.55%2.66faire Quote
EV -0.129%
Vorteil -0.049%
Kelly -0.078%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.66

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
35.39%37.56%37.49%39.14%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.302.462.452.6643.48%40.73%40.82%37.59%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 26.47%3.78faire Quote
EV +1.12%
Vorteil +0.292%
Kelly +0.396%
Wachstum +0.004%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.82

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
24.72%26.31%26.58%27.77%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.103.453.403.8232.26%29.01%29.41%26.18%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: América (Heim): 35.98%; Guadalajara (Auswärts): 37.55%; Unentschieden: 26.47%. Für Unentschieden entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.78. 4 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 3.82 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +1.12%.

Wettanbieterquoten (47 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschieden ▼MargeAktualisiert
BetOnline.ag🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 36.05%EV -3.56%E -1.33%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.65%EV -6.14%E -2.45%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.29%EV +1.12%E +0.292%K +0.396%G +0.004%3.5%2026-09-20 03:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 36.05%EV -3.56%E -1.33%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.65%EV -6.14%E -2.45%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.29%EV +1.12%E +0.292%K +0.396%G +0.004%3.5%2026-09-20 02:59
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -9.89%E -4.12%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV +0.587%E +0.154%K +0.210%G +0.001%6.4%2026-09-20 03:09
Pinnacle🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -2.84%E -1.05%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.58%EV -5.76%E -2.30%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.55%EV +0.322%E +0.085%K +0.115%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-20 03:09
BetUS🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.33%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.55%EV -8.01%E -3.27%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.12%EV -0.472%E -0.126%K -0.171%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-20 02:55
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.13%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.13%EV -2.38%E -0.916%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -0.737%E -0.196%K -0.268%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-20 03:19
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.46%EV -8.24%E -3.23%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.74%EV -9.89%E -4.12%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -0.737%E -0.196%K -0.268%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 03:08
Tipico (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -11.84%E -4.83%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -8.01%E -3.27%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -2.06%E -0.557%K -0.763%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 03:19
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.14%E -2.45%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 03:18
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -10.04%E -4.02%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -13.65%E -5.93%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-20 03:09
Marathon Bet🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 35.96%EV -7.88%E -3.08%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -8.76%E -3.61%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.15%EV -6.82%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-20 03:14
GTbets🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.49%EV -4.28%E -1.61%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.61%EV -5.76%E -2.30%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.90%EV -7.09%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-20 03:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -4.64%E -1.75%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -6.14%E -2.45%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.35%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 02:54
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.76%EV -5.72%E -2.18%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.14%E -2.45%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -7.35%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 03:19
betano_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.76%EV -5.72%E -2.18%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.14%E -2.45%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -7.35%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 03:07
Betway🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.76%EV -5.72%E -2.18%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.14%E -2.45%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -7.35%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 03:19
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -4.64%E -1.75%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -8.01%E -3.27%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.35%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 02:55
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -8.01%E -3.27%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -7.35%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-20 03:09
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -11.84%E -4.83%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.52%EV -13.65%E -5.93%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -7.35%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-20 03:04
1xBet🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 36.12%EV -4.28%E -1.61%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.12%EV -0.129%E -0.049%K -0.078%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.77%EV -8.41%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-20 03:14
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -4.26%E -1.67%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -8.68%E -2.52%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 03:09
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -4.26%E -1.67%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -8.68%E -2.52%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 03:09
Bet Right🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -9.89%E -4.12%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -8.68%E -2.52%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-20 03:04
NordicBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -5.72%E -2.18%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -8.01%E -3.27%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-20 03:13
Betsson🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -5.72%E -2.18%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -8.01%E -3.27%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-20 03:00
BetRivers🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -11.84%E -4.83%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -2.38%E -0.916%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 02:19
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -6.14%E -2.45%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -11.32%E -3.38%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-20 03:19
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -8.24%E -3.23%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -6.14%E -2.45%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -11.32%E -3.38%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-20 03:09
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -8.24%E -3.23%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -6.14%E -2.45%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -11.32%E -3.38%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-20 03:09
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -8.24%E -3.23%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -6.14%E -2.45%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -11.32%E -3.38%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-20 03:09
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -8.24%E -3.23%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -6.14%E -2.45%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -11.32%E -3.38%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-20 03:09
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -8.24%E -3.23%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -6.14%E -2.45%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -11.32%E -3.38%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-20 03:09
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -8.24%E -3.23%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -6.14%E -2.45%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -11.32%E -3.38%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-20 03:09
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.72%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.93%EV -10.64%E -4.47%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -12.65%E -3.83%K -5.50%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-20 03:04
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -11.84%E -4.83%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -9.89%E -4.12%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -12.65%E -3.83%K -5.50%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-20 03:09
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -11.84%E -4.83%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -9.89%E -4.12%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -12.65%E -3.83%K -5.50%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-20 03:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -11.84%E -4.83%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -9.89%E -4.12%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -12.65%E -3.83%K -5.50%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-20 03:09
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.67%EV -13.64%E -5.68%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.67%EV -9.89%E -4.12%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -12.65%E -3.83%K -5.50%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-20 03:14
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.16%EV -10.04%E -4.02%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.21%EV -13.65%E -5.93%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -12.65%E -3.83%K -5.50%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-20 03:19
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -10.64%E -4.47%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -13.97%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-20 02:49
Virgin Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.03%EV -10.76%E -4.34%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.47%EV -8.01%E -3.27%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.50%EV -13.97%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-20 03:09
LiveScore Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.03%EV -10.76%E -4.34%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.47%EV -8.01%E -3.27%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.50%EV -13.97%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-20 03:09
TABtouch🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.03%EV -10.76%E -4.34%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.47%EV -8.01%E -3.27%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.50%EV -13.97%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-20 03:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.20%EV -11.84%E -4.83%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.50%EV -8.76%E -3.61%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.29%EV -13.97%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-20 03:09
Betclic (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.52%EV -13.64%E -5.68%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.52%EV -9.89%E -4.12%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -13.97%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-20 03:19
NetBet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.01%EV -10.04%E -4.02%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.06%EV -13.65%E -5.93%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -13.97%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-20 03:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 35.96%EV -14.36%E -6.03%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.42%EV -11.77%E -5.01%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.61%EV -17.94%E -5.79%K -8.54%G +0.000%16.8%2026-09-20 03:09
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook◎2.60I 38.46%NM 37.40%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.29%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.31%2.8%2026-09-20 03:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 37.40%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.98%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62%2.8%2026-09-20 03:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 37.29%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.17%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.54%3.1%2026-09-20 03:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 37.29%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.17%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.54%3.1%2026-09-20 03:19
Kalshi◎2.44I 40.98%NM 39.05%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.05%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%5.0%2026-09-20 03:19
Smarkets◎2.58I 38.76%NM 34.30%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.47%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%13.0%2026-09-20 03:19