Language:English
América v Atlas
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
América (Local)
Prediction 61.26%1.63fair odd
EV -4.43%
Edge -2.84%
Kelly -7.91%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.53%61.25%61.30%62.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.411.491.501.5670.92%67.00%66.67%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Atlas (Visit)
Prediction 15.71%6.37fair odd
EV +2.11%
Edge +0.324%
Kelly +0.383%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 6.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.71%15.69%15.73%17.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.866.006.5020.00%17.08%16.67%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.03%4.34fair odd
EV -3.28%
Edge -0.781%
Kelly -1.03%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.04%23.06%22.98%25.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.913.954.2029.41%25.55%25.32%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: América (Local): 61.26%; Atlas (Visit): 15.71%; Draw: 23.03%. For Atlas (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.37. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.11%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.51%EV -6.27%E -4.10%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.71%EV +2.11%E +0.324%K +0.383%G +0.008% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77%EV -3.28%E -0.781%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-23 19:58 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.51%EV -5.66%E -3.67%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.80%EV +0.537%E +0.084%K +0.099%G +0.001% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.51%EV -5.66%E -3.67%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.80%EV +0.537%E +0.084%K +0.099%G +0.001% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.42%EV -6.88%E -4.53%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.94%EV -1.82%E -0.291%K -0.347%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -9.04%E -2.29%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-24 03:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.10%EV -8.11%E -5.40%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.90%EV -1.82%E -0.291%K -0.347%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.00%EV -6.74%E -1.66%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 11:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.58%EV -7.49%E -4.96%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.88%EV -1.82%E -0.291%K -0.347%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -9.04%E -2.29%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.58%EV -7.49%E -4.96%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.88%EV -1.82%E -0.291%K -0.347%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -9.04%E -2.29%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.58%EV -7.49%E -4.96%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.88%EV -1.82%E -0.291%K -0.347%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -9.04%E -2.29%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.58%EV -7.49%E -4.96%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.88%EV -1.82%E -0.291%K -0.347%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -9.04%E -2.29%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.58%EV -7.49%E -4.96%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.88%EV -1.82%E -0.291%K -0.347%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -9.04%E -2.29%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -8.72%E -5.85%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.94%EV -2.60%E -0.420%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.88%EV -6.74%E -1.66%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 11:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.51%EV -8.11%E -5.40%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.13%EV -4.18%E -0.685%K -0.819%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -9.04%E -2.29%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.49%EV -8.72%E -5.85%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.02%EV -4.18%E -0.685%K -0.819%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -10.19%E -2.61%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-24 03:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.46%EV -9.33%E -6.30%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.91%EV -4.18%E -0.685%K -0.819%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -11.34%E -2.95%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-24 03:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.46%EV -9.33%E -6.30%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.91%EV -4.18%E -0.685%K -0.819%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -11.34%E -2.95%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-24 03:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.46%EV -6.88%E -4.53%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 6.06I 16.50%NM 15.42%EV -4.80%E -0.793%K -0.949%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.12%EV -6.97%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 10:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.45%EV -5.66%E -3.67%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.64%EV -4.96%E -0.820%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 22.91%EV -4.89%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 03:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.13%EV -4.43%E -2.84%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.89%EV -5.75%E -0.958%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.98%EV -4.43%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 03:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.13%EV -4.43%E -2.84%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.89%EV -5.75%E -0.958%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.98%EV -4.43%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 03:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -6.27%E -4.10%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -5.75%E -0.958%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -5.58%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 05:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -8.11%E -5.40%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -5.75%E -0.958%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -5.58%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 01:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.54%EV -9.33%E -6.30%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV -5.75%E -0.958%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -3.28%E -0.781%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 01:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.11%E -5.40%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -5.75%E -0.958%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 08:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.11%E -5.40%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -5.75%E -0.958%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 11:03 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.67%EV -6.88%E -4.53%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -5.75%E -0.958%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -11.34%E -2.95%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 01:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -8.11%E -5.40%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -5.75%E -0.958%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.19%E -2.61%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 19:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -11.78%E -8.18%K -26.78%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -5.75%E -0.958%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-23 02:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.44%EV -10.56%E -7.23%K -22.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.95%EV -5.75%E -0.958%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -12.49%E -3.29%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -5.04%E -3.25%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -7.32%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -9.04%E -2.29%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 03:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -5.04%E -3.25%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -7.32%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -9.04%E -2.29%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 03:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.43%EV -12.39%E -8.67%K -28.82%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.15%EV -8.89%E -1.53%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.43%EV -13.64%E -3.64%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-24 03:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.43%EV -12.39%E -8.67%K -28.82%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.15%EV -8.89%E -1.53%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.43%EV -13.64%E -3.64%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.66%EV -6.27%E -4.10%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -9.67%E -1.68%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 04:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.81%EV -6.88%E -4.53%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.08%EV -9.67%E -1.68%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 07:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.81%EV -6.88%E -4.53%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.08%EV -9.67%E -1.68%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 12:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.61%EV -5.04%E -3.25%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV -9.67%E -1.68%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -12.49%E -3.29%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 03:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 61.62%EV -13.62%E -9.66%K -33.22%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.52%EV -12.03%E -2.15%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.86%EV -12.49%E -3.29%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-24 03:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 61.05%EV -13.62%E -9.66%K -33.22%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.37%EV -12.03%E -2.15%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.58%EV -15.95%E -4.37%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-23 13:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.40%EV -5.66%E -3.67%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -13.60%E -2.47%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -5.58%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 04:14 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -8.11%E -5.40%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -13.60%E -2.47%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -13.64%E -3.64%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-23 01:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -11.78%E -8.18%K -26.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -13.60%E -2.47%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-23 03:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.59%EV -11.17%E -7.70%K -24.82%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.98%EV -13.60%E -2.47%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.43%EV -13.64%E -3.64%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-23 12:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.95%EV -11.78%E -8.18%K -26.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -13.60%E -2.47%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -12.49%E -3.29%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-23 03:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.87%EV -11.78%E -8.18%K -26.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.94%EV -13.60%E -2.47%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 23.19%EV -12.95%E -3.43%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-23 08:08 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.57%EV -11.78%E -8.18%K -26.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.86%EV -13.60%E -2.47%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.57%EV -14.80%E -4.00%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-04-23 02:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.57%EV -11.78%E -8.18%K -26.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.86%EV -13.60%E -2.47%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.57%EV -14.80%E -4.00%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-04-23 02:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.57%EV -11.78%E -8.18%K -26.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.86%EV -13.60%E -2.47%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.57%EV -14.80%E -4.00%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-04-23 02:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.57%EV -11.78%E -8.18%K -26.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.86%EV -13.60%E -2.47%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.57%EV -14.80%E -4.00%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-04-23 02:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.33%EV -11.78%E -8.18%K -26.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.53%EV -13.60%E -2.47%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.13%EV -21.70%E -6.38%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-04-23 12:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.99%EV -9.94%E -6.76%K -21.16%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.60%EV -15.17%E -2.81%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-23 08:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 60.36%EV -12.39%E -8.67%K -28.82%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 16.92%EV -19.88%E -3.90%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.71%EV -12.49%E -3.29%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-04-23 08:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -6.27%E -4.10%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -21.46%E -4.29%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -12.49%E -3.29%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-23 19:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -6.27%E -4.10%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -21.46%E -4.29%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -12.49%E -3.29%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-23 19:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.73% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.70% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.56% | 1.9% | 2026-04-24 00:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.51% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.80% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68% | 5.6% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.35% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.04% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 22:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 38.78% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 46.66% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 14.57% | 67.5% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 38.78% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 46.66% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 14.57% | 67.5% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 38.78% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 46.66% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 14.57% | 67.5% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |