L’École des cotes

América v Atlas

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-26 03:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

América (Local)

Prévision 61.26%1.63cote équitable
EV -4.43%
Avantage -2.84%
Kelly -7.91%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.53%61.25%61.30%62.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.411.491.501.5670.92%67.00%66.67%64.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Atlas (Visiteur)

Prévision 15.71%6.37cote équitable
EV +2.11%
Avantage +0.324%
Kelly +0.383%
Croissance +0.008%

avec la cote maximale 6.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.71%15.69%15.73%17.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.005.866.006.5020.00%17.08%16.67%15.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.03%4.34cote équitable
EV -3.28%
Avantage -0.781%
Kelly -1.03%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.04%23.06%22.98%25.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.913.954.2029.41%25.55%25.32%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.51%EV -6.27%E -4.10%K -11.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.71%EV +2.11%E +0.324%K +0.383%G +0.008%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77%EV -3.28%E -0.781%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 19:58
ATG (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.51%EV -5.66%E -3.67%K -10.47%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.80%EV +0.537%E +0.084%K +0.099%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-24 03:10
Svenska Spel1.54I 64.94%NM 61.51%EV -5.66%E -3.67%K -10.47%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.80%EV +0.537%E +0.084%K +0.099%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-24 03:10
Unibet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.42%EV -6.88%E -4.53%K -13.23%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.94%EV -1.82%E -0.291%K -0.347%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -9.04%E -2.29%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-24 03:09
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.10%EV -8.11%E -5.40%K -16.21%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.90%EV -1.82%E -0.291%K -0.347%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.00%EV -6.74%E -1.66%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 11:24
Casumo1.51I 66.23%NM 61.58%EV -7.49%E -4.96%K -14.69%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.88%EV -1.82%E -0.291%K -0.347%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -9.04%E -2.29%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-24 03:10
Unibet (NL)1.51I 66.23%NM 61.58%EV -7.49%E -4.96%K -14.69%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.88%EV -1.82%E -0.291%K -0.347%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -9.04%E -2.29%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-24 03:10
Grosvenor1.51I 66.23%NM 61.58%EV -7.49%E -4.96%K -14.69%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.88%EV -1.82%E -0.291%K -0.347%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -9.04%E -2.29%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-24 03:10
Unibet (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 61.58%EV -7.49%E -4.96%K -14.69%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.88%EV -1.82%E -0.291%K -0.347%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -9.04%E -2.29%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-24 03:10
betPARX1.51I 66.23%NM 61.58%EV -7.49%E -4.96%K -14.69%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.88%EV -1.82%E -0.291%K -0.347%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -9.04%E -2.29%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-24 03:10
Marathon Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -8.72%E -5.85%K -17.79%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.94%EV -2.60%E -0.420%K -0.501%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.88%EV -6.74%E -1.66%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 11:19
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 61.51%EV -8.11%E -5.40%K -16.21%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.13%EV -4.18%E -0.685%K -0.819%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -9.04%E -2.29%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-24 03:10
TABtouch1.49I 67.11%NM 61.49%EV -8.72%E -5.85%K -17.79%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.02%EV -4.18%E -0.685%K -0.819%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -10.19%E -2.61%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-24 03:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.46%EV -9.33%E -6.30%K -19.44%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.91%EV -4.18%E -0.685%K -0.819%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -11.34%E -2.95%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-24 03:09
LiveScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 61.46%EV -9.33%E -6.30%K -19.44%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.91%EV -4.18%E -0.685%K -0.819%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -11.34%E -2.95%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-24 03:09
GTbets1.52I 65.79%NM 61.46%EV -6.88%E -4.53%K -13.23%G +0.000%6.06I 16.50%NM 15.42%EV -4.80%E -0.793%K -0.949%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.12%EV -6.97%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 10:39
Pinnacle1.54I 64.94%NM 61.45%EV -5.66%E -3.67%K -10.47%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.64%EV -4.96%E -0.820%K -0.982%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 22.91%EV -4.89%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 03:40
LowVig.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 61.13%EV -4.43%E -2.84%K -7.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.89%EV -5.75%E -0.958%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.98%EV -4.43%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 03:24
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 61.13%EV -4.43%E -2.84%K -7.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.89%EV -5.75%E -0.958%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.98%EV -4.43%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 03:24
DraftKings1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -6.27%E -4.10%K -11.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -5.75%E -0.958%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -5.58%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 05:24
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -8.11%E -5.40%K -16.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -5.75%E -0.958%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -5.58%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 01:45
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 62.54%EV -9.33%E -6.30%K -19.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV -5.75%E -0.958%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -3.28%E -0.781%K -1.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 01:44
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.11%E -5.40%K -16.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -5.75%E -0.958%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 08:09
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.11%E -5.40%K -16.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -5.75%E -0.958%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 11:03
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 60.67%EV -6.88%E -4.53%K -13.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -5.75%E -0.958%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -11.34%E -2.95%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 01:40
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -8.11%E -5.40%K -16.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -5.75%E -0.958%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.19%E -2.61%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 19:54
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -11.78%E -8.18%K -26.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -5.75%E -0.958%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 02:20
Virgin Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 61.44%EV -10.56%E -7.23%K -22.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.95%EV -5.75%E -0.958%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -12.49%E -3.29%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-24 03:10
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -5.04%E -3.25%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -7.32%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -9.04%E -2.29%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 03:24
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -5.04%E -3.25%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -7.32%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -9.04%E -2.29%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 03:24
PMU (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 61.43%EV -12.39%E -8.67%K -28.82%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.15%EV -8.89%E -1.53%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.43%EV -13.64%E -3.64%K -4.96%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-24 03:09
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 61.43%EV -12.39%E -8.67%K -28.82%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.15%EV -8.89%E -1.53%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.43%EV -13.64%E -3.64%K -4.96%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-24 03:10
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 60.66%EV -6.27%E -4.10%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -9.67%E -1.68%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 04:19
Bovada1.52I 65.79%NM 60.81%EV -6.88%E -4.53%K -13.23%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.08%EV -9.67%E -1.68%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 07:20
BetUS1.52I 65.79%NM 60.81%EV -6.88%E -4.53%K -13.23%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.08%EV -9.67%E -1.68%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 12:50
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 59.61%EV -5.04%E -3.25%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV -9.67%E -1.68%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -12.49%E -3.29%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 03:25
Unibet (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 61.62%EV -13.62%E -9.66%K -33.22%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.52%EV -12.03%E -2.15%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.86%EV -12.49%E -3.29%K -4.46%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-24 03:04
NetBet (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 61.05%EV -13.62%E -9.66%K -33.22%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.37%EV -12.03%E -2.15%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.58%EV -15.95%E -4.37%K -6.02%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-23 13:00
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 60.40%EV -5.66%E -3.67%K -10.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -13.60%E -2.47%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -5.58%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 04:14
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -8.11%E -5.40%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -13.60%E -2.47%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -13.64%E -3.64%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 01:44
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -11.78%E -8.18%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -13.60%E -2.47%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-23 03:09
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 60.59%EV -11.17%E -7.70%K -24.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.98%EV -13.60%E -2.47%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.43%EV -13.64%E -3.64%K -4.96%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-23 12:40
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 60.95%EV -11.78%E -8.18%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -13.60%E -2.47%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -12.49%E -3.29%K -4.46%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-23 03:00
Betclic (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.87%EV -11.78%E -8.18%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.94%EV -13.60%E -2.47%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.19%EV -12.95%E -3.43%K -4.66%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-23 08:08
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 60.57%EV -11.78%E -8.18%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.86%EV -13.60%E -2.47%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.57%EV -14.80%E -4.00%K -5.48%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-23 02:15
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 60.57%EV -11.78%E -8.18%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.86%EV -13.60%E -2.47%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.57%EV -14.80%E -4.00%K -5.48%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-23 02:15
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.57%EV -11.78%E -8.18%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.86%EV -13.60%E -2.47%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.57%EV -14.80%E -4.00%K -5.48%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-23 02:14
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.57%EV -11.78%E -8.18%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.86%EV -13.60%E -2.47%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.57%EV -14.80%E -4.00%K -5.48%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-23 02:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 59.33%EV -11.78%E -8.18%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.53%EV -13.60%E -2.47%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.13%EV -21.70%E -6.38%K -9.04%G +0.000%17.0%2026-04-23 12:40
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 60.99%EV -9.94%E -6.76%K -21.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.60%EV -15.17%E -2.81%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 08:10
Winamax (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 60.36%EV -12.39%E -8.67%K -28.82%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.92%EV -19.88%E -3.90%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.71%EV -12.49%E -3.29%K -4.46%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-23 08:09
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -6.27%E -4.10%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -21.46%E -4.29%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -12.49%E -3.29%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-23 19:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -6.27%E -4.10%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -21.46%E -4.29%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -12.49%E -3.29%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-23 19:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 61.73%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.70%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.56%1.9%2026-04-24 00:55
Matchbook1.54I 64.94%NM 61.51%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.80%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%5.6%2026-04-24 03:45
Smarkets1.52I 65.79%NM 61.35%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.04%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%7.2%2026-04-23 22:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 38.78%1.28I 78.13%NM 46.66%4.10I 24.39%NM 14.57%67.5%2026-04-24 03:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.54I 64.94%NM 38.78%1.28I 78.13%NM 46.66%4.10I 24.39%NM 14.57%67.5%2026-04-24 03:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 38.78%1.28I 78.13%NM 46.66%4.10I 24.39%NM 14.57%67.5%2026-04-24 03:30