Language:English
Waterford FC v St Patricks Athletic
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Waterford FC (Local)
Prediction 20.09%4.98fair odd
EV +2.23%
Edge +0.439%
Kelly +0.546%
Growth +0.012%
assuming max odds 5.09
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.48%20.12%19.99%21.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.554.505.0924.39%21.98%22.22%19.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
St Patricks Athletic (Visit)
Prediction 54.69%1.83fair odd
EV -4.30%
Edge -2.46%
Kelly -5.73%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.19%54.66%54.77%56.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.671.671.7562.50%59.75%59.88%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.23%3.96fair odd
EV -1.61%
Edge -0.414%
Kelly -0.557%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.48%25.22%25.24%27.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.623.603.9031.25%27.66%27.78%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Waterford FC (Local): 20.09%; St Patricks Athletic (Visit): 54.69%; Draw: 25.23%. For Waterford FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.98. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.09, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.23%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.09I 19.65%NM 18.82%EV +2.23%E +0.439%K +0.546%G +0.012% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.36%EV -7.03%E -4.14%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.82%EV -2.62%E -0.680%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-20 19:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.07I 19.72%NM 18.48%EV +1.83%E +0.362%K +0.450%G +0.008% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.12%EV -7.03%E -4.14%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.40%EV -10.44%E -2.94%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-20 19:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -1.58%E -0.323%K -0.405%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.12%EV -7.58%E -4.48%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -9.18%E -2.55%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-20 19:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.69%EV -2.59%E -0.533%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.83%EV -6.48%E -3.79%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.48%EV -1.61%E -0.414%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 19:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.69%EV -2.59%E -0.533%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.83%EV -6.48%E -3.79%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.48%EV -1.61%E -0.414%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 19:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.08%EV -4.59%E -0.967%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.49%EV -4.30%E -2.46%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -5.40%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-20 19:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -4.59%E -0.967%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.38%EV -9.77%E -5.92%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.18%E -2.55%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-20 19:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV -5.60%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.13%EV -6.48%E -3.79%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -4.14%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-20 19:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -5.60%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.20%EV -7.58%E -4.48%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 24.95%EV -5.65%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-20 19:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -5.60%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -8.67%E -5.19%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -9.18%E -2.55%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-20 19:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -7.61%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -9.22%E -5.55%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-17 10:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -7.61%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -9.22%E -5.55%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-17 10:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -7.61%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -9.22%E -5.55%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-17 10:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -7.61%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -9.22%E -5.55%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-17 10:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -7.61%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -9.22%E -5.55%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-17 10:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -7.61%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -9.22%E -5.55%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-17 10:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -7.61%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -9.22%E -5.55%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-17 10:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -7.61%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -9.22%E -5.55%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-17 10:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -7.61%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -9.22%E -5.55%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-17 10:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -7.61%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -9.22%E -5.55%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-17 10:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -7.61%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -9.22%E -5.55%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-17 10:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -7.61%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -7.03%E -4.14%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.71%E -3.34%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-20 19:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -9.62%E -2.14%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.03%E -4.14%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.18%E -2.55%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-20 19:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -9.62%E -2.14%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.03%E -4.14%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.18%E -2.55%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-20 19:38 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -9.62%E -2.14%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.03%E -4.14%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.18%E -2.55%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-20 19:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -9.62%E -2.14%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.03%E -4.14%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.18%E -2.55%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-20 19:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -9.62%E -2.14%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -7.58%E -4.48%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -9.18%E -2.55%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-20 19:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -9.62%E -2.14%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.32%EV -10.31%E -6.29%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-17 10:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -9.62%E -2.14%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.44%EV -11.41%E -7.04%K -18.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.61%EV -7.92%E -2.17%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-17 10:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -9.62%E -2.14%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.44%EV -11.41%E -7.04%K -18.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.61%EV -7.92%E -2.17%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-17 10:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -9.62%E -2.14%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -9.77%E -5.92%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.71%E -3.34%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-20 19:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -9.62%E -2.14%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.70%EV -8.67%E -5.19%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -14.23%E -4.18%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-20 19:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.29%EV -9.62%E -2.14%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.58%EV -11.41%E -7.04%K -18.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.13%EV -19.27%E -6.02%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-03-20 19:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.73%EV -10.62%E -2.39%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.64%EV -5.94%E -3.45%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -9.18%E -2.55%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-20 19:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.73%EV -10.62%E -2.39%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.64%EV -5.94%E -3.45%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -9.18%E -2.55%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-20 19:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -11.62%E -2.64%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 53.95%EV -7.58%E -4.48%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -9.18%E -2.55%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-20 19:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.58%EV -11.62%E -2.64%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.91%EV -8.12%E -4.84%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -10.44%E -2.94%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-20 19:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.74%EV -11.62%E -2.64%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 53.94%EV -11.95%E -7.42%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.32%EV -16.75%E -5.08%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-03-20 19:35 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.15%EV -12.63%E -2.90%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.80%EV -12.50%E -7.81%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.05%EV -11.71%E -3.34%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-20 19:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -13.03%E -3.01%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.19%EV -5.39%E -3.12%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -9.18%E -2.55%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-20 19:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -13.03%E -3.01%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -8.67%E -5.19%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -11.71%E -3.34%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-20 19:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -13.03%E -3.01%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -8.67%E -5.19%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -11.71%E -3.34%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-20 19:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -13.03%E -3.01%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -8.67%E -5.19%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -11.71%E -3.34%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-20 19:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -13.03%E -3.01%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -8.67%E -5.19%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -11.71%E -3.34%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-20 19:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.24%EV -13.63%E -3.17%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.73%EV -7.03%E -4.14%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -7.92%E -2.17%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-20 19:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.41%EV -13.63%E -3.17%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.16%EV -11.41%E -7.04%K -18.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.43%EV -12.97%E -3.76%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-20 19:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.55%EV -17.65%E -4.30%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.22%EV -9.22%E -5.55%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -11.71%E -3.34%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-20 19:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.11% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15% | 0.7% | 2026-03-20 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.11% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15% | 0.7% | 2026-03-20 19:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.62% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.07% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.31% | 1.3% | 2026-03-20 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.97% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.73% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29% | 1.4% | 2026-03-20 19:40 |