L’École des cotes

Waterford FC v St Patricks Athletic

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-20 19:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Waterford FC (Local)

Prévision 20.09%4.98cote équitable
EV +2.23%
Avantage +0.439%
Kelly +0.546%
Croissance +0.012%

avec la cote maximale 5.09

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.48%20.12%19.99%21.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.104.554.505.0924.39%21.98%22.22%19.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

St Patricks Athletic (Visiteur)

Prévision 54.69%1.83cote équitable
EV -4.30%
Avantage -2.46%
Kelly -5.73%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.19%54.66%54.77%56.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.601.671.671.7562.50%59.75%59.88%57.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.23%3.96cote équitable
EV -1.61%
Avantage -0.414%
Kelly -0.557%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.48%25.22%25.24%27.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.623.603.9031.25%27.66%27.78%25.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle5.09I 19.65%NM 18.82%EV +2.23%E +0.439%K +0.546%G +0.012%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.36%EV -7.03%E -4.14%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.82%EV -2.62%E -0.680%K -0.917%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-20 19:40
1xBet5.07I 19.72%NM 18.48%EV +1.83%E +0.362%K +0.450%G +0.008%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.12%EV -7.03%E -4.14%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.40%EV -10.44%E -2.94%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 19:40
FanDuel4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -1.58%E -0.323%K -0.405%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.12%EV -7.58%E -4.48%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -9.18%E -2.55%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-20 19:35
LowVig.ag4.85I 20.62%NM 19.69%EV -2.59%E -0.533%K -0.672%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.83%EV -6.48%E -3.79%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.48%EV -1.61%E -0.414%K -0.557%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 19:30
BetOnline.ag4.85I 20.62%NM 19.69%EV -2.59%E -0.533%K -0.672%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.83%EV -6.48%E -3.79%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.48%EV -1.61%E -0.414%K -0.557%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 19:30
Coolbet4.75I 21.05%NM 20.08%EV -4.59%E -0.967%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.49%EV -4.30%E -2.46%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -5.40%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 19:25
Everygame4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -4.59%E -0.967%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.38%EV -9.77%E -5.92%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.18%E -2.55%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-20 19:30
DraftKings4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV -5.60%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.13%EV -6.48%E -3.79%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -4.14%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 19:25
Marathon Bet4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -5.60%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.20%EV -7.58%E -4.48%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.95%EV -5.65%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-20 19:30
Tipico (DE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -5.60%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -8.67%E -5.19%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -9.18%E -2.55%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-20 19:25
Unibet4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -7.61%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -9.22%E -5.55%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-17 10:49
Unibet (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -7.61%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -9.22%E -5.55%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-17 10:50
BetRivers4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -7.61%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -9.22%E -5.55%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-17 10:50
Casumo4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -7.61%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -9.22%E -5.55%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-17 10:50
Grosvenor4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -7.61%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -9.22%E -5.55%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-17 10:49
Unibet (NL)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -7.61%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -9.22%E -5.55%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-17 10:49
LeoVegas4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -7.61%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -9.22%E -5.55%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-17 10:50
TABtouch4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -7.61%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -9.22%E -5.55%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-17 10:50
Svenska Spel4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -7.61%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -9.22%E -5.55%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-17 10:50
ATG (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -7.61%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -9.22%E -5.55%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-17 10:49
betPARX4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -7.61%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -9.22%E -5.55%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-17 10:50
William Hill4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -7.61%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -7.03%E -4.14%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.71%E -3.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-20 19:30
Bet Right4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -9.62%E -2.14%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.03%E -4.14%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.18%E -2.55%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-20 19:25
Bovada4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -9.62%E -2.14%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.03%E -4.14%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.18%E -2.55%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-20 19:38
BetUS4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -9.62%E -2.14%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.03%E -4.14%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.18%E -2.55%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-20 19:40
BetAnything4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -9.62%E -2.14%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.03%E -4.14%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.18%E -2.55%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-20 19:40
PointsBet (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -9.62%E -2.14%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -7.58%E -4.48%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -9.18%E -2.55%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-20 19:25
LeoVegas (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -9.62%E -2.14%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.32%EV -10.31%E -6.29%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-17 10:49
LiveScore Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -9.62%E -2.14%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.44%EV -11.41%E -7.04%K -18.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.61%EV -7.92%E -2.17%K -2.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-17 10:49
Virgin Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -9.62%E -2.14%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.44%EV -11.41%E -7.04%K -18.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.61%EV -7.92%E -2.17%K -2.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-17 10:50
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -9.62%E -2.14%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -9.77%E -5.92%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.71%E -3.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-20 19:35
Sky Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -9.62%E -2.14%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.70%EV -8.67%E -5.19%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -14.23%E -4.18%K -5.93%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-20 19:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.29%EV -9.62%E -2.14%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 53.58%EV -11.41%E -7.04%K -18.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.13%EV -19.27%E -6.02%K -8.76%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-20 19:35
NordicBet4.45I 22.47%NM 20.73%EV -10.62%E -2.39%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.64%EV -5.94%E -3.45%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -9.18%E -2.55%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-20 19:20
Betsson4.45I 22.47%NM 20.73%EV -10.62%E -2.39%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.64%EV -5.94%E -3.45%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -9.18%E -2.55%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-20 19:20
BetMGM4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -11.62%E -2.64%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 53.95%EV -7.58%E -4.48%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -9.18%E -2.55%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-20 19:30
PlayUp4.40I 22.73%NM 20.58%EV -11.62%E -2.64%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.91%EV -8.12%E -4.84%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -10.44%E -2.94%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-20 19:29
SportsBet4.40I 22.73%NM 19.74%EV -11.62%E -2.64%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 53.94%EV -11.95%E -7.42%K -19.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.32%EV -16.75%E -5.08%K -7.28%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-20 19:35
Parions Sport (FR)4.35I 22.99%NM 20.15%EV -12.63%E -2.90%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 54.80%EV -12.50%E -7.81%K -20.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.05%EV -11.71%E -3.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-20 19:25
Betway4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -13.03%E -3.01%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.19%EV -5.39%E -3.12%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -9.18%E -2.55%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-20 19:20
Neds4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -13.03%E -3.01%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -8.67%E -5.19%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -11.71%E -3.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-20 19:30
Ladbrokes (AU)4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -13.03%E -3.01%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -8.67%E -5.19%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -11.71%E -3.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-20 19:29
Ladbrokes (UK)4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -13.03%E -3.01%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -8.67%E -5.19%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -11.71%E -3.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-20 19:30
Coral4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -13.03%E -3.01%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -8.67%E -5.19%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -11.71%E -3.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-20 19:30
Winamax (DE)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.24%EV -13.63%E -3.17%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.73%EV -7.03%E -4.14%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -7.92%E -2.17%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-20 19:20
Unibet (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 20.41%EV -13.63%E -3.17%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.16%EV -11.41%E -7.04%K -18.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.43%EV -12.97%E -3.76%K -5.29%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-20 19:35
Winamax (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 21.55%EV -17.65%E -4.30%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 53.22%EV -9.22%E -5.55%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -11.71%E -3.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-20 19:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.11%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-03-20 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.11%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-03-20 19:40
Matchbook5.30I 18.87%NM 18.62%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.07%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.31%1.3%2026-03-20 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.97%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.73%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29%1.4%2026-03-20 19:40