Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.96
assuming max odds 2.37
assuming max odds 3.75
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Waterford FC (Local): 32.78%; Shelbourne Dublin (Visit): 40.56%; Draw: 26.66%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.751. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.750, with an expected value of -0.019%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.81%EV -2.98%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.29%EV -7.52%E -3.30%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -6.68%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 13:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.81%EV -2.98%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.29%EV -7.52%E -3.30%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -6.68%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 13:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -3.31%E -1.12%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -8.74%E -3.88%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -0.019%E -0.005%K -0.007%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-02 13:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.96%EV -4.29%E -1.47%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.61%EV -3.87%E -1.63%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.44%EV -2.95%E -0.811%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-02 13:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -4.95%E -1.71%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.68%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-02 13:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -4.95%E -1.71%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -8.74%E -3.88%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -8.02%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-02 13:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -4.95%E -1.71%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -10.76%E -4.89%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-02 13:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.15%EV -5.60%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.61%EV -7.52%E -3.30%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.23%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-02 13:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.15%EV -5.60%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.61%EV -7.52%E -3.30%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.23%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-02 13:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -6.59%E -2.31%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-02 13:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -6.59%E -2.31%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.81%EV -10.76%E -4.89%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -5.35%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-02 13:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -6.59%E -2.31%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -8.74%E -3.88%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-02 13:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -6.59%E -2.31%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -10.76%E -4.89%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -6.68%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-02 13:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.12%EV -7.24%E -2.56%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.40%EV -5.90%E -2.54%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.48%EV -5.62%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-02 13:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.95%EV -7.24%E -2.56%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.72%EV -7.11%E -3.11%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.34%EV -5.62%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-02 13:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -8.23%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -4.02%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-02 13:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -8.23%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-02 13:38 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -8.23%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-02 13:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.59%EV -9.87%E -3.59%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.64%EV -5.49%E -2.36%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.77%EV -8.02%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-02 11:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.59%EV -9.87%E -3.59%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.64%EV -5.49%E -2.36%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.77%EV -8.02%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-02 11:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.59%EV -9.87%E -3.59%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.64%EV -5.49%E -2.36%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.77%EV -8.02%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-02 11:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.59%EV -9.87%E -3.59%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.64%EV -5.49%E -2.36%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.77%EV -8.02%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-02 11:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.59%EV -9.87%E -3.59%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.64%EV -5.49%E -2.36%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.77%EV -8.02%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-02 11:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.59%EV -9.87%E -3.59%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.64%EV -5.49%E -2.36%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.77%EV -8.02%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-02 11:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.59%EV -9.87%E -3.59%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.64%EV -5.49%E -2.36%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.77%EV -8.02%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-02 11:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.59%EV -9.87%E -3.59%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.64%EV -5.49%E -2.36%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.77%EV -8.02%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-02 11:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.59%EV -9.87%E -3.59%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.64%EV -5.49%E -2.36%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.77%EV -8.02%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-02 11:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -9.87%E -3.59%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.68%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-02 13:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.40%EV -9.87%E -3.59%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.59%EV -5.90%E -2.54%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-02 11:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -9.87%E -3.59%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.01%EV -7.52%E -3.30%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-02 11:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -9.87%E -3.59%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -8.74%E -3.88%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-02 13:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -9.87%E -3.59%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -8.74%E -3.88%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-02 13:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -9.87%E -3.59%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -8.74%E -3.88%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-02 13:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -9.87%E -3.59%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -8.74%E -3.88%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -10.68%E -3.19%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-02 13:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.82%EV -9.87%E -3.59%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.02%EV -10.76%E -4.89%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -8.02%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-02 13:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -9.87%E -3.59%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -8.74%E -3.88%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -12.02%E -3.64%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-02 13:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -9.87%E -3.59%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -8.74%E -3.88%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -12.02%E -3.64%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-02 13:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -9.87%E -3.59%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -10.76%E -4.89%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-02 13:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -9.87%E -3.59%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -12.79%E -5.95%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -12.02%E -3.64%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-02 13:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -11.50%E -4.26%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.92%EV -8.74%E -3.88%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%EV -10.68%E -3.19%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-02 11:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -11.50%E -4.26%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.92%EV -8.74%E -3.88%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%EV -10.68%E -3.19%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-02 11:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -11.50%E -4.26%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -10.76%E -4.89%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-02 13:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -11.50%E -4.26%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -8.74%E -3.88%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -13.35%E -4.11%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-02 13:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -11.50%E -4.26%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -10.76%E -4.89%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -12.02%E -3.64%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-02 13:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -11.50%E -4.26%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -10.76%E -4.89%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -12.02%E -3.64%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-02 13:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -11.50%E -4.26%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -10.76%E -4.89%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -12.02%E -3.64%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-02 13:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -11.50%E -4.26%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -10.76%E -4.89%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -12.02%E -3.64%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-02 13:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.85%EV -13.14%E -4.96%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 39.94%EV -11.57%E -5.31%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.21%EV -14.68%E -4.59%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-08-02 13:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.28%EV -13.80%E -5.25%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.79%EV -10.76%E -4.89%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -13.35%E -4.11%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-02 11:10 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.12% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.39% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.49% | 0.7% | 2026-08-02 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.12% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.39% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.49% | 0.7% | 2026-08-02 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.12% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.39% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.49% | 0.7% | 2026-08-02 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.58% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.41% | 1.0% | 2026-08-02 13:50 |
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