Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Waterford FC v Galway United

Kickoff: 2026-04-24 18:45 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Waterford FC (Local)

Prediction 30.49%3.28fair odd
EV -2.73%
Edge -0.857%
Kelly -1.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.19

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.60%30.54%30.51%31.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.952.903.1937.04%33.87%34.48%31.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Galway United (Visit)

Prediction 41.85%2.39fair odd
EV -4.57%
Edge -2.00%
Kelly -3.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.20%41.78%41.83%42.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.202.202.2848.78%45.37%45.45%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.65%3.62fair odd
EV -3.21%
Edge -0.917%
Kelly -1.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.89%27.69%27.66%29.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.273.253.5034.72%30.59%30.77%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Waterford FC (Local): 30.49%; Galway United (Visit): 41.85%; Draw: 27.65%. For Waterford FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.28. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.19, with an expected value of -2.73%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.19I 31.35%NM 30.00%EV -2.73%E -0.857%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.34%EV -5.41%E -2.39%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.66%EV -4.32%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 18:50
DraftKings🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.06%EV -3.95%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.09%EV -5.83%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -5.98%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 18:50
1xBet🎯3.13I 31.95%NM 29.94%EV -4.56%E -1.46%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.83%EV -6.25%E -2.79%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.23%EV -8.19%E -2.47%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 11:54
Marathon Bet🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV -4.87%E -1.56%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.01%EV -7.08%E -3.19%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.09%EV -8.19%E -2.47%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 11:50
Coolbet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -5.48%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -5.83%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -3.21%E -0.917%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 23:50
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -5.48%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -11.51%E -3.60%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 11:50
LowVig.ag🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -7.00%E -2.30%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -4.57%E -2.00%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -7.36%E -2.20%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 18:50
BetOnline.ag🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -7.00%E -2.30%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -4.57%E -2.00%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -7.36%E -2.20%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 18:50
Bovada🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -7.00%E -2.30%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -8.74%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 19:37
BetUS🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -7.00%E -2.30%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -8.74%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 19:29
BetAnything🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -7.00%E -2.30%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -8.74%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 19:29
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -8.53%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.18%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -4.59%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 23:48
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.53%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -5.98%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 18:48
Betsson🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.53%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.45%EV -7.08%E -3.19%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -8.74%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 17:20
NordicBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.53%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.45%EV -7.08%E -3.19%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -8.74%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 17:20
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.53%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.74%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 11:45
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.53%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -10.01%E -4.66%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.74%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-22 14:59
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.53%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -10.01%E -4.66%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.74%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 19:30
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -8.53%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -14.27%E -4.60%K -6.80%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-22 14:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -10.05%E -3.41%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -5.98%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 23:49
Bet Right🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -10.05%E -3.41%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -7.36%E -2.20%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 23:50
Everygame🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV -10.05%E -3.41%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.65%EV -10.01%E -4.66%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.99%EV -11.51%E -3.60%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-24 03:10
Grosvenor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -11.58%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.20%EV -4.57%E -2.00%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -10.12%E -3.12%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-20 00:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -11.58%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.20%EV -4.57%E -2.00%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -10.12%E -3.12%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-20 00:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -11.58%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.20%EV -4.57%E -2.00%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -10.12%E -3.12%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-20 00:04
Svenska Spel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -11.58%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.20%EV -4.57%E -2.00%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -10.12%E -3.12%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-20 00:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -11.58%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.20%EV -4.57%E -2.00%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -10.12%E -3.12%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-20 00:05
TABtouch🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -11.58%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.20%EV -4.57%E -2.00%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -10.12%E -3.12%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-20 00:10
Unibet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -11.58%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.20%EV -4.57%E -2.00%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -10.12%E -3.12%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-20 00:09
BetRivers🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -11.58%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.20%EV -4.57%E -2.00%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -10.12%E -3.12%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-20 00:09
LeoVegas🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -11.58%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.20%EV -4.57%E -2.00%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -10.12%E -3.12%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-20 00:10
betPARX🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -11.58%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.20%EV -4.57%E -2.00%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -10.12%E -3.12%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-20 00:10
Casumo🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -11.58%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.20%EV -4.57%E -2.00%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -10.12%E -3.12%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-20 00:15
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -11.58%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -10.12%E -3.12%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-22 14:35
Sky Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -11.58%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -10.01%E -4.66%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -10.12%E -3.12%K -4.50%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-22 15:00
Coral🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -11.58%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -12.11%E -5.76%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -10.12%E -3.12%K -4.50%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-23 19:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -11.58%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -12.11%E -5.76%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -10.12%E -3.12%K -4.50%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-23 19:29
Neds🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -11.58%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -12.11%E -5.76%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -10.12%E -3.12%K -4.50%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-23 19:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -11.58%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -12.11%E -5.76%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -10.12%E -3.12%K -4.50%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-23 19:29
Unibet (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.29%EV -11.58%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.83%EV -12.11%E -5.76%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%EV -12.89%E -4.09%K -6.00%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-23 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.58%EV -12.19%E -4.23%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.43%EV -5.83%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -10.12%E -3.12%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-20 00:05
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -12.19%E -4.23%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -10.01%E -4.66%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -8.74%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-22 23:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 29.66%EV -12.19%E -4.23%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.68%EV -12.11%E -5.76%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.66%EV -20.36%E -7.07%K -10.83%G +0.000%17.1%2026-04-23 18:49
SportsBet🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 30.77%EV -12.49%E -4.35%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.05%EV -12.11%E -5.76%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -10.12%E -3.12%K -4.50%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-22 15:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.56%EV -13.10%E -4.60%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.33%EV -6.66%E -2.99%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -11.51%E -3.60%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-20 00:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.56%EV -13.10%E -4.60%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.33%EV -6.66%E -2.99%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -11.51%E -3.60%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-20 00:04
Winamax (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.92%EV -13.10%E -4.60%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.96%EV -12.11%E -5.76%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.12%EV -10.12%E -3.12%K -4.50%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-19 17:20
PMU (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.51%EV -14.62%E -5.22%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.48%EV -8.76%E -4.02%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.01%EV -12.89%E -4.09%K -6.00%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-20 00:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 31.37%EV -17.67%E -6.55%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 41.31%EV -14.20%E -6.93%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.32%EV -14.27%E -4.60%K -6.80%G +0.000%18.1%2026-04-19 17:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.59%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.89%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.53%3.8%2026-04-24 01:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.59%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.89%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.53%3.8%2026-04-24 01:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.59%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.89%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.53%3.8%2026-04-24 01:35
Matchbook2.96I 33.78%NM 29.98%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.85%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%12.7%2026-04-24 01:35