La escuela de los momios

Waterford FC v Galway United

Inicio: 2026-04-24 18:45 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Waterford FC (Local)

Predicción 30.49%3.28momio equitativo
EV -2.73%
Ventaja -0.857%
Kelly -1.25%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.19

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.60%30.54%30.51%31.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.952.903.1937.04%33.87%34.48%31.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Galway United (Visitante)

Predicción 41.85%2.39momio equitativo
EV -4.57%
Ventaja -2.00%
Kelly -3.57%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.28

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.20%41.78%41.83%42.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.202.202.2848.78%45.37%45.45%43.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.65%3.62momio equitativo
EV -3.21%
Ventaja -0.917%
Kelly -1.28%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.89%27.69%27.66%29.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.273.253.5034.72%30.59%30.77%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle3.19I 31.35%NM 30.00%EV -2.73%E -0.857%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.34%EV -5.41%E -2.39%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.66%EV -4.32%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 18:50
DraftKings3.15I 31.75%NM 30.06%EV -3.95%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.09%EV -5.83%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -5.98%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 18:50
1xBet3.13I 31.95%NM 29.94%EV -4.56%E -1.46%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.83%EV -6.25%E -2.79%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.23%EV -8.19%E -2.47%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 11:54
Marathon Bet3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV -4.87%E -1.56%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.01%EV -7.08%E -3.19%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.09%EV -8.19%E -2.47%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 11:50
Coolbet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -5.48%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -5.83%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -3.21%E -0.917%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 23:50
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -5.48%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -11.51%E -3.60%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 11:50
LowVig.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -7.00%E -2.30%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -4.57%E -2.00%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -7.36%E -2.20%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 18:50
BetOnline.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -7.00%E -2.30%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -4.57%E -2.00%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -7.36%E -2.20%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 18:50
Bovada3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -7.00%E -2.30%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -8.74%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 19:37
BetUS3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -7.00%E -2.30%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -8.74%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 19:29
BetAnything3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -7.00%E -2.30%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -8.74%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 19:29
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -8.53%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.18%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -4.59%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 23:48
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.53%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -5.98%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 18:48
Betsson3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.53%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.45%EV -7.08%E -3.19%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -8.74%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 17:20
NordicBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.53%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.45%EV -7.08%E -3.19%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -8.74%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 17:20
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.53%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.74%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 11:45
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.53%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -10.01%E -4.66%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.74%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-22 14:59
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.53%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -10.01%E -4.66%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.74%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 19:30
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -8.53%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -14.27%E -4.60%K -6.80%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-22 14:35
PointsBet (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -10.05%E -3.41%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -5.98%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 23:49
Bet Right2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -10.05%E -3.41%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -7.36%E -2.20%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 23:50
Everygame2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV -10.05%E -3.41%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.65%EV -10.01%E -4.66%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.99%EV -11.51%E -3.60%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-24 03:10
Grosvenor2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -11.58%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.20%EV -4.57%E -2.00%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -10.12%E -3.12%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-20 00:05
Unibet (NL)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -11.58%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.20%EV -4.57%E -2.00%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -10.12%E -3.12%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-20 00:05
Unibet (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -11.58%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.20%EV -4.57%E -2.00%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -10.12%E -3.12%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-20 00:04
Svenska Spel2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -11.58%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.20%EV -4.57%E -2.00%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -10.12%E -3.12%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-20 00:05
ATG (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -11.58%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.20%EV -4.57%E -2.00%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -10.12%E -3.12%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-20 00:05
TABtouch2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -11.58%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.20%EV -4.57%E -2.00%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -10.12%E -3.12%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-20 00:10
Unibet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -11.58%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.20%EV -4.57%E -2.00%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -10.12%E -3.12%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-20 00:09
BetRivers2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -11.58%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.20%EV -4.57%E -2.00%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -10.12%E -3.12%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-20 00:09
LeoVegas2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -11.58%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.20%EV -4.57%E -2.00%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -10.12%E -3.12%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-20 00:10
betPARX2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -11.58%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.20%EV -4.57%E -2.00%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -10.12%E -3.12%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-20 00:10
Casumo2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -11.58%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.20%EV -4.57%E -2.00%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -10.12%E -3.12%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-20 00:15
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -11.58%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -10.12%E -3.12%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-22 14:35
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -11.58%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -10.01%E -4.66%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -10.12%E -3.12%K -4.50%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-22 15:00
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -11.58%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -12.11%E -5.76%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -10.12%E -3.12%K -4.50%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-23 19:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -11.58%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -12.11%E -5.76%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -10.12%E -3.12%K -4.50%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-23 19:29
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -11.58%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -12.11%E -5.76%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -10.12%E -3.12%K -4.50%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-23 19:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -11.58%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -12.11%E -5.76%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -10.12%E -3.12%K -4.50%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-23 19:29
Unibet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.29%EV -11.58%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.83%EV -12.11%E -5.76%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%EV -12.89%E -4.09%K -6.00%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-23 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.58%EV -12.19%E -4.23%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.43%EV -5.83%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -10.12%E -3.12%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-20 00:05
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -12.19%E -4.23%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -10.01%E -4.66%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -8.74%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-22 23:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.66%EV -12.19%E -4.23%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.68%EV -12.11%E -5.76%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.66%EV -20.36%E -7.07%K -10.83%G +0.000%17.1%2026-04-23 18:49
SportsBet2.87I 34.84%NM 30.77%EV -12.49%E -4.35%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.05%EV -12.11%E -5.76%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -10.12%E -3.12%K -4.50%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-22 15:00
LiveScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 31.56%EV -13.10%E -4.60%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.33%EV -6.66%E -2.99%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -11.51%E -3.60%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-20 00:05
Virgin Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 31.56%EV -13.10%E -4.60%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.33%EV -6.66%E -2.99%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -11.51%E -3.60%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-20 00:04
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.92%EV -13.10%E -4.60%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.96%EV -12.11%E -5.76%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.12%EV -10.12%E -3.12%K -4.50%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-19 17:20
PMU (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.51%EV -14.62%E -5.22%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.48%EV -8.76%E -4.02%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.01%EV -12.89%E -4.09%K -6.00%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-20 00:10
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 31.37%EV -17.67%E -6.55%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 41.31%EV -14.20%E -6.93%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.32%EV -14.27%E -4.60%K -6.80%G +0.000%18.1%2026-04-19 17:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.59%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.89%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.53%3.8%2026-04-24 01:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.59%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.89%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.53%3.8%2026-04-24 01:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.59%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.89%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.53%3.8%2026-04-24 01:35
Matchbook2.96I 33.78%NM 29.98%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.85%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%12.7%2026-04-24 01:35