默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Waterford FC v Bohemians

开赛时间: 2026-08-09 13:59 UTC

最终结果: Waterford FC 3–1 Bohemians

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

48 家博彩公司 (14 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Waterford FC (主队)

预测 27.42%3.65公平赔率
EV +0.082%
优势 +0.022%
Kelly +0.031%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.65

博彩公司预测分布
25.16%27.26%27.41%28.38%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.153.413.403.6531.75%29.28%29.41%27.40%最小值均值中位数最大值

Bohemians (客队)

预测 46.60%2.15公平赔率
EV -3.06%
优势 -1.47%
Kelly -2.84%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.08

博彩公司预测分布
44.76%46.80%46.63%48.96%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.801.941.952.0855.56%51.50%51.28%48.08%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 25.98%3.85公平赔率
EV +0.007%
优势 +0.002%
Kelly +0.002%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.85

博彩公司预测分布
24.65%25.94%25.96%27.59%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.303.513.503.8530.30%28.52%28.57%25.97%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Waterford FC (主队):27.42%;Bohemians (客队):46.60%;平局:25.98%。 对于“Waterford FC (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.647。 当时有10家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.650,对应+0.082%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (48 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Unibet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV +0.082%E +0.022%K +0.031%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.78%EV -11.92%E -6.31%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -7.79%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 14:10
TABtouch🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV +0.082%E +0.022%K +0.031%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -12.38%E -6.59%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -7.79%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 14:10
Unibet (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV +0.082%E +0.022%K +0.031%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -12.38%E -6.59%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -7.79%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 14:09
Casumo🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV +0.082%E +0.022%K +0.031%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -12.38%E -6.59%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -7.79%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 14:09
Grosvenor🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV +0.082%E +0.022%K +0.031%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -12.38%E -6.59%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -7.79%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 14:09
BetRivers🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV +0.082%E +0.022%K +0.031%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -12.38%E -6.59%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -7.79%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 14:09
Unibet (NL)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV +0.082%E +0.022%K +0.031%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -12.38%E -6.59%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -7.79%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 14:09
Svenska Spel🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV +0.082%E +0.022%K +0.031%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -12.38%E -6.59%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -7.79%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 14:09
ATG (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV +0.082%E +0.022%K +0.031%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -12.38%E -6.59%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -7.79%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 14:09
betPARX🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV +0.082%E +0.022%K +0.031%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -12.38%E -6.59%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -7.79%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 14:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -1.29%E -0.358%K -0.496%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -13.78%E -7.45%K -16.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -9.08%E -2.60%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 14:09
BetOnline.ag🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -2.66%E -0.749%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.98%EV -4.93%E -2.42%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -11.68%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 13:55
LiveScore Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -2.66%E -0.749%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 48.74%EV -14.25%E -7.74%K -16.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.00%EV -10.38%E -3.01%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-08 14:09
Virgin Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -2.66%E -0.749%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 48.74%EV -14.25%E -7.74%K -16.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.00%EV -10.38%E -3.01%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-08 14:09
DraftKings🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -4.03%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -9.12%E -4.68%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -1.29%E -0.340%K -0.461%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 13:45
PMU (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -4.03%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.93%EV -16.11%E -8.95%K -20.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.90%EV -11.68%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-08 14:10
1xBet🎯3.48I 28.74%NM 26.88%EV -4.58%E -1.32%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.00%EV -7.26%E -3.65%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.13%EV -7.01%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 13:50
LowVig.ag🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -5.40%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.75%EV -3.99%E -1.94%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.08%E -2.60%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 13:55
BetAnything🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -5.40%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.75%EV -3.99%E -1.94%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.08%E -2.60%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 13:55
Pinnacle🎯3.44I 29.07%NM 27.96%EV -5.68%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.06%E -1.47%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.79%EV -3.11%E -0.834%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-09 13:55
Marathon Bet🎯3.44I 29.07%NM 27.10%EV -5.68%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.85%EV -7.26%E -3.65%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.04%EV -7.01%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 13:55
Coolbet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.44%EV -6.79%E -3.40%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV +0.007%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 13:34
Unibet (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.79%E -3.40%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.08%E -2.60%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 13:40
FanDuel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.79%E -3.40%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.08%E -2.60%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 13:54
Bovada🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.12%E -4.68%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.08%E -2.60%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-09 13:44
William Hill🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.12%E -4.68%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.08%E -2.60%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-09 13:54
BetUS🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.12%E -4.68%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.08%E -2.60%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-09 13:45
BetMGM🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.12%E -4.68%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.68%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-09 13:39
Betsson🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -8.14%E -2.43%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -6.79%E -3.40%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.08%E -2.60%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 13:45
NordicBet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -8.14%E -2.43%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -6.79%E -3.40%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.08%E -2.60%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 13:40
Tipico (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -9.52%E -2.88%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -8.19%E -4.16%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-09 13:25
Bet Right🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -9.52%E -2.88%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.06%EV -9.12%E -4.68%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -5.19%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 13:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.52%E -2.88%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.12%E -4.68%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-09 13:35
Betway🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.52%E -2.88%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.12%E -4.68%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.08%E -2.60%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 13:55
Paddy Power🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -9.52%E -2.88%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -9.12%E -4.68%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -11.68%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-09 13:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -9.52%E -2.88%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -9.12%E -4.68%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -11.68%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-09 13:50
Winamax (DE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.89%E -3.35%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.40%EV -8.66%E -4.42%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -7.79%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-09 13:40
betfred_uk🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -10.89%E -3.35%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -9.12%E -4.68%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.08%E -2.60%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-09 13:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -10.89%E -3.35%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -9.12%E -4.68%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -11.68%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-09 13:39
Neds🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -10.89%E -3.35%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -9.12%E -4.68%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -11.68%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-09 13:40
Coral🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -10.89%E -3.35%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -9.12%E -4.68%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -11.68%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-09 13:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -10.89%E -3.35%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -9.12%E -4.68%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -11.68%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-09 13:40
PlayUp🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -12.26%E -3.83%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.76%EV -5.86%E -2.90%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.99%EV -12.98%E -3.87%K -5.52%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-09 13:55
LeoVegas🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.26%E -3.83%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -9.12%E -4.68%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -9.08%E -2.60%K -3.63%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-09 13:35
Sky Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -12.26%E -3.83%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -9.12%E -4.68%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -14.28%E -4.33%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-09 13:55
Unibet (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.58%EV -12.26%E -3.83%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.46%EV -11.45%E -6.03%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.96%EV -11.68%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-09 13:40
Winamax (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.38%EV -13.63%E -4.33%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.08%EV -9.59%E -4.94%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.54%EV -9.08%E -2.60%K -3.63%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-09 13:40
SportsBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 27.75%EV -13.63%E -4.33%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.76%EV -10.99%E -5.75%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.49%EV -14.28%E -4.33%K -6.21%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-09 13:50
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook◎3.65I 27.40%NM 27.28%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.52%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.20%0.4%2026-08-09 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.65I 27.40%NM 27.16%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.76%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.09%0.9%2026-08-09 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.74%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%0.9%2026-08-09 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.74%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%0.9%2026-08-09 13:55