Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Waterford FC v Bohemians

Início: 2026-08-09 13:59 UTC

Final: Waterford FC 3–1 Bohemians

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Waterford FC (Local)

Previsão 27.42%3.65odd justa
EV +0.082%
Vantagem +0.022%
Kelly +0.031%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.16%27.26%27.41%28.38%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.153.413.403.6531.75%29.28%29.41%27.40%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Bohemians (Visitante)

Previsão 46.60%2.15odd justa
EV -3.06%
Vantagem -1.47%
Kelly -2.84%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.08

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.76%46.80%46.63%48.96%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.801.941.952.0855.56%51.50%51.28%48.08%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.98%3.85odd justa
EV +0.007%
Vantagem +0.002%
Kelly +0.002%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.65%25.94%25.96%27.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.513.503.8530.30%28.52%28.57%25.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Waterford FC (Local): 27.42%; Bohemians (Visitante): 46.60%; Empate: 25.98%. Para Waterford FC (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.647. 10 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.650, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.082%.

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV +0.082%E +0.022%K +0.031%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.78%EV -11.92%E -6.31%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -7.79%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 14:10
TABtouch🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV +0.082%E +0.022%K +0.031%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -12.38%E -6.59%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -7.79%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 14:10
Unibet (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV +0.082%E +0.022%K +0.031%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -12.38%E -6.59%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -7.79%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 14:09
Casumo🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV +0.082%E +0.022%K +0.031%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -12.38%E -6.59%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -7.79%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 14:09
Grosvenor🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV +0.082%E +0.022%K +0.031%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -12.38%E -6.59%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -7.79%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 14:09
BetRivers🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV +0.082%E +0.022%K +0.031%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -12.38%E -6.59%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -7.79%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 14:09
Unibet (NL)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV +0.082%E +0.022%K +0.031%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -12.38%E -6.59%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -7.79%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 14:09
Svenska Spel🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV +0.082%E +0.022%K +0.031%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -12.38%E -6.59%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -7.79%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 14:09
ATG (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV +0.082%E +0.022%K +0.031%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -12.38%E -6.59%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -7.79%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 14:09
betPARX🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV +0.082%E +0.022%K +0.031%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -12.38%E -6.59%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -7.79%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 14:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -1.29%E -0.358%K -0.496%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -13.78%E -7.45%K -16.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -9.08%E -2.60%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 14:09
BetOnline.ag🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -2.66%E -0.749%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.98%EV -4.93%E -2.42%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -11.68%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 13:55
LiveScore Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -2.66%E -0.749%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 48.74%EV -14.25%E -7.74%K -16.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.00%EV -10.38%E -3.01%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-08 14:09
Virgin Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -2.66%E -0.749%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 48.74%EV -14.25%E -7.74%K -16.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.00%EV -10.38%E -3.01%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-08 14:09
DraftKings🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -4.03%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -9.12%E -4.68%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -1.29%E -0.340%K -0.461%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 13:45
PMU (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -4.03%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.93%EV -16.11%E -8.95%K -20.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.90%EV -11.68%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-08 14:10
1xBet🎯3.48I 28.74%NM 26.88%EV -4.58%E -1.32%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.00%EV -7.26%E -3.65%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.13%EV -7.01%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 13:50
LowVig.ag🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -5.40%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.75%EV -3.99%E -1.94%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.08%E -2.60%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 13:55
BetAnything🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -5.40%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.75%EV -3.99%E -1.94%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.08%E -2.60%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 13:55
Pinnacle🎯3.44I 29.07%NM 27.96%EV -5.68%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.06%E -1.47%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.79%EV -3.11%E -0.834%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-09 13:55
Marathon Bet🎯3.44I 29.07%NM 27.10%EV -5.68%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.85%EV -7.26%E -3.65%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.04%EV -7.01%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 13:55
Coolbet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.44%EV -6.79%E -3.40%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV +0.007%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 13:34
Unibet (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.79%E -3.40%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.08%E -2.60%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 13:40
FanDuel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.79%E -3.40%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.08%E -2.60%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 13:54
Bovada🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.12%E -4.68%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.08%E -2.60%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-09 13:44
William Hill🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.12%E -4.68%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.08%E -2.60%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-09 13:54
BetUS🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.12%E -4.68%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.08%E -2.60%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-09 13:45
BetMGM🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.12%E -4.68%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.68%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-09 13:39
Betsson🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -8.14%E -2.43%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -6.79%E -3.40%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.08%E -2.60%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 13:45
NordicBet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -8.14%E -2.43%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -6.79%E -3.40%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.08%E -2.60%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 13:40
Tipico (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -9.52%E -2.88%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -8.19%E -4.16%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-09 13:25
Bet Right🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -9.52%E -2.88%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.06%EV -9.12%E -4.68%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -5.19%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 13:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.52%E -2.88%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.12%E -4.68%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-09 13:35
Betway🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.52%E -2.88%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.12%E -4.68%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.08%E -2.60%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 13:55
Paddy Power🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -9.52%E -2.88%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -9.12%E -4.68%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -11.68%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-09 13:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -9.52%E -2.88%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -9.12%E -4.68%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -11.68%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-09 13:50
Winamax (DE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.89%E -3.35%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.40%EV -8.66%E -4.42%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -7.79%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-09 13:40
betfred_uk🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -10.89%E -3.35%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -9.12%E -4.68%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.08%E -2.60%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-09 13:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -10.89%E -3.35%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -9.12%E -4.68%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -11.68%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-09 13:39
Neds🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -10.89%E -3.35%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -9.12%E -4.68%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -11.68%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-09 13:40
Coral🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -10.89%E -3.35%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -9.12%E -4.68%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -11.68%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-09 13:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -10.89%E -3.35%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -9.12%E -4.68%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -11.68%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-09 13:40
PlayUp🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -12.26%E -3.83%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.76%EV -5.86%E -2.90%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.99%EV -12.98%E -3.87%K -5.52%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-09 13:55
LeoVegas🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.26%E -3.83%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -9.12%E -4.68%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -9.08%E -2.60%K -3.63%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-09 13:35
Sky Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -12.26%E -3.83%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -9.12%E -4.68%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -14.28%E -4.33%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-09 13:55
Unibet (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.58%EV -12.26%E -3.83%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.46%EV -11.45%E -6.03%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.96%EV -11.68%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-09 13:40
Winamax (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.38%EV -13.63%E -4.33%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.08%EV -9.59%E -4.94%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.54%EV -9.08%E -2.60%K -3.63%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-09 13:40
SportsBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 27.75%EV -13.63%E -4.33%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.76%EV -10.99%E -5.75%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.49%EV -14.28%E -4.33%K -6.21%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-09 13:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎3.65I 27.40%NM 27.28%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.52%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.20%0.4%2026-08-09 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.65I 27.40%NM 27.16%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.76%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.09%0.9%2026-08-09 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.74%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%0.9%2026-08-09 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.74%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%0.9%2026-08-09 13:55