Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 4.44
assuming max odds 1.80
assuming max odds 4.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Waterford FC (Local): 22.37%; Bohemians (Visit): 52.82%; Draw: 24.81%. For Waterford FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.47. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.44, with an expected value of -0.699%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.61%EV -0.699%E -0.157%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.22%EV -6.50%E -3.67%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.17%EV -1.50%E -0.379%K -0.506%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-06 19:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -1.59%E -0.362%K -0.469%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.60%EV -8.08%E -4.65%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -1.59%E -0.362%K -0.469%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -10.20%E -6.00%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-06 19:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -2.71%E -0.623%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.97%EV -8.61%E -4.98%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -5.72%E -1.51%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 19:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -3.16%E -0.730%K -0.949%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.61%EV -11.78%E -7.06%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -6.96%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-06 19:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.32I 23.15%NM 21.62%EV -3.38%E -0.783%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.67%EV -8.08%E -4.65%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.71%EV -6.22%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 19:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -3.83%E -0.891%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.20%EV -8.08%E -4.65%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.87%EV -2.00%E -0.506%K -0.678%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-06 19:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.20%EV -4.95%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.22%EV -8.08%E -4.65%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -0.759%E -0.190%K -0.253%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-06 19:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.20%EV -4.95%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.22%EV -8.08%E -4.65%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -0.759%E -0.190%K -0.253%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-06 19:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -6.07%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.74%EV -4.92%E -2.73%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.48%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 19:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -6.07%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -10.20%E -6.00%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.68%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -8.30%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.78%EV -8.08%E -4.65%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-06 19:36 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -8.30%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.78%EV -8.08%E -4.65%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-06 19:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -8.30%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.78%EV -8.08%E -4.65%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-06 19:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -8.30%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -7.56%E -4.32%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-06 19:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -8.30%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -7.56%E -4.32%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-06 19:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -8.30%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -7.56%E -4.32%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-06 19:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -8.30%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -7.56%E -4.32%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-06 19:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -8.30%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -7.56%E -4.32%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-06 19:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -8.30%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -7.56%E -4.32%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-06 19:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -8.30%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -7.56%E -4.32%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-06 19:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -8.30%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -7.56%E -4.32%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-06 19:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -8.30%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -7.56%E -4.32%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-06 19:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -8.30%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -7.56%E -4.32%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-06 19:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -8.30%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -7.56%E -4.32%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-06 19:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -8.30%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.56%EV -8.61%E -4.98%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -10.68%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-06 19:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -8.30%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.18%EV -10.20%E -6.00%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-06 19:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.81%EV -9.42%E -2.33%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.89%EV -5.97%E -3.35%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-06 19:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.81%EV -9.42%E -2.33%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.89%EV -5.97%E -3.35%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-06 19:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -10.54%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.06%EV -6.50%E -3.67%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -10.54%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.56%EV -5.97%E -3.35%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.68%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-06 19:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -10.54%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -7.56%E -4.32%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-06 19:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -10.54%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -6.50%E -3.67%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -10.68%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-06 19:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.54%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.49%EV -8.08%E -4.65%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-06 19:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.54%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.56%E -4.32%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -10.68%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-06 19:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -10.54%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.56%EV -9.67%E -5.65%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.68%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-06 19:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -10.54%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.56%EV -9.67%E -5.65%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.68%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-06 19:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -10.54%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -10.20%E -6.00%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -13.16%E -3.76%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.97%EV -10.54%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 52.93%EV -12.31%E -7.42%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.10%EV -13.16%E -3.76%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.53%EV -10.54%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.56%EV -11.78%E -7.06%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.91%EV -20.61%E -6.44%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -12.78%E -3.28%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.90%EV -7.03%E -3.99%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.69%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-06 19:11 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -12.78%E -3.28%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.97%EV -8.61%E -4.98%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -10.68%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-06 19:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -12.78%E -3.28%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.97%EV -8.61%E -4.98%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -10.68%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-06 19:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -12.78%E -3.28%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.97%EV -8.61%E -4.98%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -10.68%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-06 19:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -12.78%E -3.28%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.97%EV -8.61%E -4.98%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -10.68%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-06 19:11 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.83%EV -13.89%E -3.61%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.70%EV -10.20%E -6.00%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.47%EV -14.40%E -4.18%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-06 19:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.82I 26.18%NM 22.78%EV -14.57%E -3.81%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 51.79%EV -11.25%E -6.70%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 25.44%EV -15.15%E -4.43%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-03-06 19:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.46%EV -16.13%E -4.30%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.75%EV -10.20%E -6.00%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.78%EV -11.92%E -3.36%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-06 19:10 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.79% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66% | 1.4% | 2026-03-06 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.96% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.42% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.62% | 1.5% | 2026-03-06 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.96% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.42% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.62% | 1.5% | 2026-03-06 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.96% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.42% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.62% | 1.5% | 2026-03-06 19:40 |