L’École des cotes

Waterford FC v Bohemians

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-06 19:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Waterford FC (Local)

Prévision 22.37%4.47cote équitable
EV -0.699%
Avantage -0.157%
Kelly -0.203%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.44

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.93%22.31%22.51%23.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.084.104.4426.67%24.48%24.39%22.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Bohemians (Visiteur)

Prévision 52.82%1.89cote équitable
EV -4.92%
Avantage -2.73%
Kelly -6.14%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.56%52.93%52.64%54.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.661.741.741.8060.24%57.62%57.47%55.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.81%4.03cote équitable
EV -0.759%
Avantage -0.190%
Kelly -0.253%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.58%24.76%24.85%26.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.663.654.0031.25%27.32%27.40%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle4.44I 22.52%NM 21.61%EV -0.699%E -0.157%K -0.203%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.22%EV -6.50%E -3.67%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.17%EV -1.50%E -0.379%K -0.506%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-06 19:35
FanDuel4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -1.59%E -0.362%K -0.469%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.60%EV -8.08%E -4.65%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 19:15
Tipico (DE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -1.59%E -0.362%K -0.469%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -10.20%E -6.00%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-06 19:10
Marathon Bet4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -2.71%E -0.623%K -0.810%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.97%EV -8.61%E -4.98%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -5.72%E -1.51%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 19:40
Everygame4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -3.16%E -0.730%K -0.949%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.61%EV -11.78%E -7.06%K -17.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -6.96%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-06 19:40
1xBet4.32I 23.15%NM 21.62%EV -3.38%E -0.783%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.67%EV -8.08%E -4.65%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.71%EV -6.22%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 19:35
DraftKings4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -3.83%E -0.891%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.20%EV -8.08%E -4.65%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.87%EV -2.00%E -0.506%K -0.678%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 19:40
LowVig.ag4.25I 23.53%NM 22.20%EV -4.95%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.22%EV -8.08%E -4.65%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -0.759%E -0.190%K -0.253%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 19:40
BetOnline.ag4.25I 23.53%NM 22.20%EV -4.95%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.22%EV -8.08%E -4.65%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -0.759%E -0.190%K -0.253%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 19:40
Coolbet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -6.07%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.74%EV -4.92%E -2.73%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.48%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 19:35
Paddy Power4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -6.07%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -10.20%E -6.00%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.68%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-06 19:15
Bovada4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -8.30%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.78%EV -8.08%E -4.65%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-06 19:36
BetUS4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -8.30%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.78%EV -8.08%E -4.65%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-06 19:35
BetAnything4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -8.30%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.78%EV -8.08%E -4.65%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-06 19:35
Unibet (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -8.30%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -7.56%E -4.32%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-06 19:05
Casumo4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -8.30%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -7.56%E -4.32%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-06 19:05
BetRivers4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -8.30%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -7.56%E -4.32%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-06 19:05
Svenska Spel4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -8.30%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -7.56%E -4.32%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-06 19:05
ATG (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -8.30%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -7.56%E -4.32%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-06 19:05
LeoVegas4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -8.30%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -7.56%E -4.32%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-06 19:05
Grosvenor4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -8.30%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -7.56%E -4.32%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-06 19:05
Unibet (NL)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -8.30%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -7.56%E -4.32%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-06 19:05
TABtouch4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -8.30%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -7.56%E -4.32%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-06 19:05
Unibet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -8.30%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -7.56%E -4.32%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-06 19:05
betPARX4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -8.30%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -7.56%E -4.32%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-06 19:05
LeoVegas (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -8.30%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.56%EV -8.61%E -4.98%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -10.68%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-06 19:05
PlayUp4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -8.30%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.18%EV -10.20%E -6.00%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-06 19:40
Betsson4.05I 24.69%NM 22.81%EV -9.42%E -2.33%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.89%EV -5.97%E -3.35%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-06 19:10
NordicBet4.05I 24.69%NM 22.81%EV -9.42%E -2.33%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.89%EV -5.97%E -3.35%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-06 19:10
PointsBet (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -10.54%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.06%EV -6.50%E -3.67%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-06 19:30
Unibet (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -10.54%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.56%EV -5.97%E -3.35%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.68%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 19:10
Bet Right4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -10.54%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -7.56%E -4.32%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-06 19:35
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -10.54%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -6.50%E -3.67%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -10.68%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-06 19:05
BetMGM4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.54%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.49%EV -8.08%E -4.65%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-06 19:10
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.54%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.56%E -4.32%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -10.68%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-06 19:40
Virgin Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -10.54%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 52.56%EV -9.67%E -5.65%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.68%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-06 19:05
LiveScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -10.54%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 52.56%EV -9.67%E -5.65%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.68%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-06 19:05
Sky Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -10.54%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -10.20%E -6.00%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -13.16%E -3.76%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-06 19:15
SportsBet4.00I 25.00%NM 21.97%EV -10.54%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 52.93%EV -12.31%E -7.42%K -18.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.10%EV -13.16%E -3.76%K -5.27%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-06 19:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 21.53%EV -10.54%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 51.56%EV -11.78%E -7.06%K -17.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.91%EV -20.61%E -6.44%K -9.37%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-06 19:30
Winamax (DE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -12.78%E -3.28%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.90%EV -7.03%E -3.99%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.69%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-06 19:11
Ladbrokes (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -12.78%E -3.28%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.97%EV -8.61%E -4.98%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -10.68%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-06 19:10
Neds3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -12.78%E -3.28%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.97%EV -8.61%E -4.98%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -10.68%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-06 19:10
Ladbrokes (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -12.78%E -3.28%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.97%EV -8.61%E -4.98%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -10.68%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-06 19:10
Coral3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -12.78%E -3.28%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.97%EV -8.61%E -4.98%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -10.68%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-06 19:11
Parions Sport (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 22.83%EV -13.89%E -3.61%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.70%EV -10.20%E -6.00%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.47%EV -14.40%E -4.18%K -5.88%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-06 19:25
Unibet (FR)3.82I 26.18%NM 22.78%EV -14.57%E -3.81%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 51.79%EV -11.25%E -6.70%K -16.55%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 25.44%EV -15.15%E -4.43%K -6.26%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-06 19:40
Winamax (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.46%EV -16.13%E -4.30%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.75%EV -10.20%E -6.00%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.78%EV -11.92%E -3.36%K -4.68%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-06 19:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.79%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66%1.4%2026-03-06 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.96%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.42%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.62%1.5%2026-03-06 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.96%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.42%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.62%1.5%2026-03-06 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.96%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.42%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.62%1.5%2026-03-06 19:40