Language:English
St Patricks Athletic v Shamrock Rovers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
St Patricks Athletic (Local)
Prediction 42.86%2.33fair odd
EV -3.57%
Edge -1.59%
Kelly -2.85%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.49%42.97%42.84%44.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.942.122.122.2551.55%47.15%47.17%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Shamrock Rovers (Visit)
Prediction 28.58%3.50fair odd
EV -2.53%
Edge -0.741%
Kelly -1.05%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.41
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.11%28.53%28.54%30.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.223.203.4133.33%31.05%31.25%29.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.56%3.50fair odd
EV -2.91%
Edge -0.855%
Kelly -1.21%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.65%28.49%28.62%30.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.203.203.4033.33%31.23%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St Patricks Athletic (Local): 42.86%; Shamrock Rovers (Visit): 28.58%; Draw: 28.56%. For Shamrock Rovers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.50. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.41, with an expected value of -2.53%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.48%EV -3.57%E -1.59%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.41%EV -7.10%E -2.18%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV -2.91%E -0.855%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.10%EV -5.71%E -2.60%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.81%EV -2.53%E -0.741%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.09%EV -6.91%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-09 17:06 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.71%E -2.60%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.53%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.76%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -5.71%E -2.60%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.10%E -2.18%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -8.62%E -2.69%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-09 07:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.71%E -2.60%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -11.39%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.71%E -2.60%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -11.39%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -5.71%E -2.60%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.67%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -14.33%E -4.78%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 17:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.00%EV -6.57%E -3.01%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.15%EV -4.81%E -1.45%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-09 17:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.19%EV -7.42%E -3.44%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.10%EV -5.10%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 17:11 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.93%EV -7.42%E -3.44%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -5.67%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -8.62%E -2.69%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 17:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.93%EV -7.42%E -3.44%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -5.67%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -8.62%E -2.69%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 17:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.93%EV -7.42%E -3.44%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -5.67%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -8.62%E -2.69%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 17:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.93%EV -7.42%E -3.44%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -5.67%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -8.62%E -2.69%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 17:01 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.85%E -3.65%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.53%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.62%E -2.69%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 17:38 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.85%E -3.65%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -11.39%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.76%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.85%E -3.65%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -11.39%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.76%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.47%EV -7.85%E -3.65%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -8.53%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -10.05%E -3.19%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-08 16:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.47%EV -7.85%E -3.65%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -8.53%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -10.05%E -3.19%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-08 16:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -7.85%E -3.65%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -11.39%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-08 15:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -7.85%E -3.65%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -14.25%E -4.75%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -8.62%E -2.69%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -7.85%E -3.65%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -14.25%E -4.75%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.48%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -9.14%E -4.31%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -2.81%E -0.827%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -9.14%E -4.31%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -2.81%E -0.827%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -9.14%E -4.31%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -2.81%E -0.827%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -9.14%E -4.31%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -2.81%E -0.827%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -9.14%E -4.31%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -2.81%E -0.827%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -9.14%E -4.31%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -2.81%E -0.827%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -9.14%E -4.31%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -2.81%E -0.827%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -9.14%E -4.31%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -2.81%E -0.827%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -9.14%E -4.31%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -2.81%E -0.827%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-05 23:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.39%EV -9.14%E -4.31%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -14.25%E -4.75%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-09 17:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -10.00%E -4.76%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -5.67%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.62%E -2.69%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-09 09:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.00%E -4.76%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -11.39%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -8.62%E -2.69%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-08 15:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.00%E -4.76%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -11.39%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -8.62%E -2.69%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-08 15:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.00%E -4.76%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -11.39%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -8.62%E -2.69%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-08 15:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.00%E -4.76%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -11.39%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -8.62%E -2.69%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-08 15:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.25%EV -10.00%E -4.76%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -14.25%E -4.75%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -10.05%E -3.19%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -12.14%E -5.92%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -2.81%E -0.827%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.76%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 11:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.24%EV -12.14%E -5.92%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.06%EV -12.82%E -4.20%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -8.62%E -2.69%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-08 16:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.84%EV -12.14%E -5.92%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -14.25%E -4.75%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%EV -10.05%E -3.19%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-08 16:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.75%EV -12.57%E -6.16%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.46%EV -7.10%E -2.18%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -11.48%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.80%EV -13.43%E -6.65%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -8.53%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -11.48%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.85%EV -14.28%E -7.14%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40%EV -8.53%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.75%EV -12.90%E -4.23%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.85%EV -14.28%E -7.14%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40%EV -8.53%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.75%EV -12.90%E -4.23%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 43.79%EV -14.71%E -7.39%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.11%EV -11.39%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.11%EV -11.48%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-09-08 16:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 44.00%EV -16.85%E -8.69%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.54%EV -11.39%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.46%EV -14.33%E -4.78%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.78% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.61% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.61% | 4.3% | 2026-09-09 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.78% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.61% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.61% | 4.3% | 2026-09-09 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.78% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.61% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.61% | 4.3% | 2026-09-09 17:00 |