Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

St Patricks Athletic v Shamrock Rovers

Início: 2026-09-11 19:00 UTC

Final: St Patricks Athletic 2–0 Shamrock Rovers

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

St Patricks Athletic (Local)

Previsão 42.86%2.33odd justa
EV -3.57%
Vantagem -1.59%
Kelly -2.85%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.49%42.97%42.84%44.96%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.942.122.122.2551.55%47.15%47.17%44.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Shamrock Rovers (Visitante)

Previsão 28.58%3.50odd justa
EV -2.53%
Vantagem -0.741%
Kelly -1.05%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.41

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.11%28.53%28.54%30.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.223.203.4133.33%31.05%31.25%29.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 28.56%3.50odd justa
EV -2.91%
Vantagem -0.855%
Kelly -1.21%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.65%28.49%28.62%30.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.203.203.4033.33%31.23%31.25%29.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: St Patricks Athletic (Local): 42.86%; Shamrock Rovers (Visitante): 28.58%; Empate: 28.56%. Para Shamrock Rovers (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.50. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.41, com valor esperado de -2.53%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.48%EV -3.57%E -1.59%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.41%EV -7.10%E -2.18%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV -2.91%E -0.855%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 17:25
Pinnacle🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.10%EV -5.71%E -2.60%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.81%EV -2.53%E -0.741%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.09%EV -6.91%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-09 17:06
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.71%E -2.60%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.53%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.76%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 17:30
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -5.71%E -2.60%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.10%E -2.18%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -8.62%E -2.69%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-09 07:30
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.71%E -2.60%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -11.39%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-09 17:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.71%E -2.60%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -11.39%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-09 17:30
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -5.71%E -2.60%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.67%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -14.33%E -4.78%K -7.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-09 17:00
1xBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.00%EV -6.57%E -3.01%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.15%EV -4.81%E -1.45%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-09 17:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.19%EV -7.42%E -3.44%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.10%EV -5.10%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 17:11
BetOnline.ag🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.93%EV -7.42%E -3.44%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -5.67%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -8.62%E -2.69%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 17:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.93%EV -7.42%E -3.44%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -5.67%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -8.62%E -2.69%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 17:00
BetUS🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.93%EV -7.42%E -3.44%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -5.67%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -8.62%E -2.69%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 17:00
BetAnything🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.93%EV -7.42%E -3.44%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -5.67%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -8.62%E -2.69%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 17:01
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.85%E -3.65%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.53%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.62%E -2.69%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 17:38
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.85%E -3.65%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -11.39%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.76%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-09 17:30
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.85%E -3.65%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -11.39%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.76%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-09 17:30
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.47%EV -7.85%E -3.65%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -8.53%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -10.05%E -3.19%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-08 16:15
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.47%EV -7.85%E -3.65%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -8.53%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -10.05%E -3.19%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-08 16:15
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -7.85%E -3.65%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -11.39%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-08 15:20
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -7.85%E -3.65%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -14.25%E -4.75%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -8.62%E -2.69%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-09 17:25
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -7.85%E -3.65%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -14.25%E -4.75%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.48%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-09 17:25
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -9.14%E -4.31%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -2.81%E -0.827%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -9.14%E -4.31%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -2.81%E -0.827%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -9.14%E -4.31%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -2.81%E -0.827%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -9.14%E -4.31%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -2.81%E -0.827%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -9.14%E -4.31%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -2.81%E -0.827%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-05 23:05
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -9.14%E -4.31%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -2.81%E -0.827%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-05 23:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -9.14%E -4.31%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -2.81%E -0.827%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -9.14%E -4.31%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -2.81%E -0.827%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-05 23:05
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -9.14%E -4.31%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -2.81%E -0.827%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-05 23:04
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.39%EV -9.14%E -4.31%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -14.25%E -4.75%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-09 17:00
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -10.00%E -4.76%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -5.67%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.62%E -2.69%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-09 09:40
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.00%E -4.76%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -11.39%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -8.62%E -2.69%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-08 15:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.00%E -4.76%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -11.39%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -8.62%E -2.69%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-08 15:15
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.00%E -4.76%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -11.39%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -8.62%E -2.69%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-08 15:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.00%E -4.76%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -11.39%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -8.62%E -2.69%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-08 15:15
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.25%EV -10.00%E -4.76%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -14.25%E -4.75%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -10.05%E -3.19%K -4.67%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-09 17:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -12.14%E -5.92%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -2.81%E -0.827%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.76%E -1.75%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-09 11:44
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.24%EV -12.14%E -5.92%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.06%EV -12.82%E -4.20%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -8.62%E -2.69%K -3.92%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-08 16:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.84%EV -12.14%E -5.92%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -14.25%E -4.75%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%EV -10.05%E -3.19%K -4.67%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-08 16:15
BetRivers🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 43.75%EV -12.57%E -6.16%K -12.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.46%EV -7.10%E -2.18%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -11.48%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-05 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.80%EV -13.43%E -6.65%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -8.53%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -11.48%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.85%EV -14.28%E -7.14%K -14.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40%EV -8.53%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.75%EV -12.90%E -4.23%K -6.29%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-05 23:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.85%EV -14.28%E -7.14%K -14.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40%EV -8.53%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.75%EV -12.90%E -4.23%K -6.29%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 43.79%EV -14.71%E -7.39%K -14.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.11%EV -11.39%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.11%EV -11.48%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%14.8%2026-09-08 16:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 44.00%EV -16.85%E -8.69%K -17.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.54%EV -11.39%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.46%EV -14.33%E -4.78%K -7.17%G +0.000%17.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 42.78%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.61%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.61%4.3%2026-09-09 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 42.78%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.61%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.61%4.3%2026-09-09 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 42.78%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.61%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.61%4.3%2026-09-09 17:00