Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.33
assuming max odds 3.48
assuming max odds 3.20
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St Patricks Athletic (Local): 41.24%; Shamrock Rovers (Visit): 28.35%; Draw: 30.41%. For Shamrock Rovers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.53. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.48, with an expected value of -1.34%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.26%EV -3.91%E -1.68%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.63%EV -1.34%E -0.386%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.11%EV -6.03%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-10 18:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -5.72%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-10 18:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -9.28%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -11.80%E -4.07%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-10 18:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -5.98%E -2.62%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -10.70%E -3.40%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -7.24%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-10 12:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -5.98%E -2.62%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -10.70%E -3.40%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -7.24%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-10 12:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 40.40%EV -6.80%E -3.01%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -9.28%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.06%EV -10.59%E -3.60%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 40.40%EV -6.80%E -3.01%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -9.28%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.06%EV -10.59%E -3.60%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-10 18:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -3.61%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -2.68%E -0.838%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 18:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-10 18:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -10.28%E -3.49%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-10 18:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.28%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-10 18:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.59%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.95%EV -13.53%E -4.44%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -5.72%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-10 12:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -10.70%E -3.40%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -11.80%E -4.07%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.63%EV -7.63%E -3.40%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.09%EV -5.88%E -1.77%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.28%EV -6.33%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-10 18:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.91%EV -8.04%E -3.60%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.77%EV -4.51%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-10 18:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.86%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -5.72%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 18:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.86%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -5.72%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 18:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -7.86%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.24%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-10 18:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -7.86%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.24%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-10 18:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.28%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-10 18:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -7.86%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -11.80%E -4.07%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-10 18:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -7.86%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -11.80%E -4.07%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-10 18:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-10 18:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-10 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-10 18:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-10 18:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.53%EV -10.93%E -5.06%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -5.72%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-10 18:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.53%EV -10.93%E -5.06%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -5.72%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-10 18:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.53%EV -10.93%E -5.06%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -5.72%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-10 18:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.53%EV -10.93%E -5.06%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -5.72%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-10 18:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.53%EV -10.93%E -5.06%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -5.72%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-10 18:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.53%EV -10.93%E -5.06%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -5.72%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-10 18:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.53%EV -10.93%E -5.06%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -5.72%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-10 18:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.53%EV -10.93%E -5.06%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -5.72%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-10 18:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.53%EV -10.93%E -5.06%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -5.72%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-10 18:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.53%EV -10.93%E -5.06%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -5.72%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-10 18:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.53%EV -10.93%E -5.06%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -5.72%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-10 18:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -11.34%E -5.27%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -11.80%E -4.07%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.69%EV -11.34%E -5.27%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.66%EV -16.37%E -5.55%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.66%EV -10.28%E -3.49%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-10 12:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.58%EV -11.75%E -5.49%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -7.86%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -5.72%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-10 18:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.42%EV -12.57%E -5.93%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.10%EV -9.28%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.48%EV -7.24%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-10 18:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.42%EV -12.57%E -5.93%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.10%EV -9.28%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.48%EV -7.24%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-10 18:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.20%EV -13.40%E -6.38%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -14.85%E -5.30%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-04-10 18:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.84%EV -13.40%E -6.38%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.07%EV -16.37%E -5.55%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.09%EV -13.33%E -4.68%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-04-10 18:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.59%EV -13.40%E -6.38%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.41%EV -14.95%E -4.98%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.00%EV -16.37%E -5.95%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 17.3% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 42.72%EV -15.05%E -7.31%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.94%EV -10.70%E -3.40%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.34%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-10 18:15 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48% | 1.0% | 2026-04-10 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48% | 1.0% | 2026-04-10 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48% | 1.0% | 2026-04-10 18:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48% | 1.0% | 2026-04-10 18:50 |