La escuela de los momios

St Patricks Athletic v Shamrock Rovers

Inicio: 2026-04-10 19:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

St Patricks Athletic (Local)

Predicción 41.24%2.42momio equitativo
EV -3.91%
Ventaja -1.68%
Kelly -2.94%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.81%41.25%41.21%42.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.062.202.202.3348.54%45.55%45.45%42.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Shamrock Rovers (Visitante)

Predicción 28.35%3.53momio equitativo
EV -1.34%
Ventaja -0.386%
Kelly -0.542%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.48

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.63%28.38%28.43%29.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.953.223.253.4833.90%31.08%30.77%28.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 30.41%3.29momio equitativo
EV -2.68%
Ventaja -0.838%
Kelly -1.22%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.34%30.37%30.36%31.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.023.053.2036.36%33.07%32.79%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.33I 42.92%NM 41.26%EV -3.91%E -1.68%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.63%EV -1.34%E -0.386%K -0.542%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.11%EV -6.03%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-10 18:50
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -5.72%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-10 18:35
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -9.28%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -11.80%E -4.07%K -6.21%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-10 18:35
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -5.98%E -2.62%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -10.70%E -3.40%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -7.24%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-10 12:34
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -5.98%E -2.62%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -10.70%E -3.40%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -7.24%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-10 12:35
LowVig.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 40.40%EV -6.80%E -3.01%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -9.28%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.06%EV -10.59%E -3.60%K -5.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-10 18:30
BetOnline.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 40.40%EV -6.80%E -3.01%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -9.28%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.06%EV -10.59%E -3.60%K -5.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-10 18:35
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -3.61%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -2.68%E -0.838%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 18:24
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-10 18:54
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -10.28%E -3.49%K -5.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-10 18:50
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.28%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-10 18:35
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.59%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.95%EV -13.53%E -4.44%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -5.72%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-10 12:34
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -10.70%E -3.40%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -11.80%E -4.07%K -6.21%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-10 18:30
Marathon Bet2.24I 44.64%NM 41.63%EV -7.63%E -3.40%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.09%EV -5.88%E -1.77%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.28%EV -6.33%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-10 18:55
1xBet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.91%EV -8.04%E -3.60%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.77%EV -4.51%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-10 18:50
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.86%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -5.72%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 18:25
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.86%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -5.72%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 18:25
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -7.86%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.24%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-10 18:50
BetAnything2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -7.86%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.24%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-10 18:50
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.28%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-10 18:20
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -7.86%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -11.80%E -4.07%K -6.21%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-10 18:55
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -7.86%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -11.80%E -4.07%K -6.21%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-10 18:34
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-10 18:20
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-10 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-10 18:25
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-10 18:20
LeoVegas2.16I 46.30%NM 42.53%EV -10.93%E -5.06%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -5.72%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 18:15
Casumo2.16I 46.30%NM 42.53%EV -10.93%E -5.06%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -5.72%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 18:15
Unibet (NL)2.16I 46.30%NM 42.53%EV -10.93%E -5.06%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -5.72%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 18:15
Grosvenor2.16I 46.30%NM 42.53%EV -10.93%E -5.06%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -5.72%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 18:15
Unibet2.16I 46.30%NM 42.53%EV -10.93%E -5.06%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -5.72%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 18:15
BetRivers2.16I 46.30%NM 42.53%EV -10.93%E -5.06%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -5.72%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 18:15
Unibet (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 42.53%EV -10.93%E -5.06%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -5.72%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 18:15
TABtouch2.16I 46.30%NM 42.53%EV -10.93%E -5.06%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -5.72%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 18:10
ATG (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 42.53%EV -10.93%E -5.06%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -5.72%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 18:15
betPARX2.16I 46.30%NM 42.53%EV -10.93%E -5.06%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -5.72%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 18:15
Svenska Spel2.16I 46.30%NM 42.53%EV -10.93%E -5.06%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -5.72%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 18:15
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -11.34%E -5.27%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -11.80%E -4.07%K -6.21%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-10 18:30
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.69%EV -11.34%E -5.27%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.66%EV -16.37%E -5.55%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.66%EV -10.28%E -3.49%K -5.27%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-10 12:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 42.58%EV -11.75%E -5.49%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -7.86%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -5.72%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-10 18:15
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.42%EV -12.57%E -5.93%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.10%EV -9.28%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.48%EV -7.24%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-10 18:15
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.42%EV -12.57%E -5.93%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.10%EV -9.28%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.48%EV -7.24%E -2.37%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-10 18:10
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 41.20%EV -13.40%E -6.38%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -14.85%E -5.30%K -8.25%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-10 18:55
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.84%EV -13.40%E -6.38%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.07%EV -16.37%E -5.55%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.09%EV -13.33%E -4.68%K -7.20%G +0.000%16.6%2026-04-10 18:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.59%EV -13.40%E -6.38%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.41%EV -14.95%E -4.98%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.00%EV -16.37%E -5.95%K -9.35%G +0.000%17.3%2026-04-10 18:30
PMU (FR)2.06I 48.54%NM 42.72%EV -15.05%E -7.31%K -14.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.94%EV -10.70%E -3.40%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.34%EV -8.76%E -2.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-10 18:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48%1.0%2026-04-10 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48%1.0%2026-04-10 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48%1.0%2026-04-10 18:55
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48%1.0%2026-04-10 18:50