L’École des cotes

St Patricks Athletic v Galway United

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-02 19:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

St Patricks Athletic (Local)

Prévision 54.93%1.82cote équitable
EV -2.77%
Avantage -1.56%
Kelly -3.59%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.96%54.82%54.99%56.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.601.701.691.7762.50%58.99%59.17%56.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Galway United (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.54%5.40cote équitable
EV +6.39%
Avantage +1.11%
Kelly +1.35%
Croissance +0.086%

avec la cote maximale 5.74

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.27%18.69%18.42%20.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.304.784.805.7423.26%20.94%20.83%17.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.53%3.77cote équitable
EV -1.84%
Avantage -0.497%
Kelly -0.681%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.45%26.49%26.58%28.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.423.403.7033.33%29.23%29.41%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.26%EV -8.81%E -5.31%K -13.35%G +0.000%5.74I 17.42%NM 16.27%EV +6.39%E +1.11%K +1.35%G +0.086%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-02 19:39
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 55.98%EV -8.26%E -4.95%K -12.33%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV +0.090%E +0.017%K +0.020%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.14%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-02 19:20
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48%NM 56.03%EV -6.06%E -3.54%K -8.54%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -1.76%E -0.333%K -0.410%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.89%EV -1.84%E -0.497%K -0.681%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-02 19:40
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.66%EV -9.36%E -5.67%K -14.40%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -1.76%E -0.333%K -0.410%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-02 19:19
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.25%EV -4.96%E -2.87%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.20%EV -2.69%E -0.513%K -0.633%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.55%EV -4.49%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-02 19:20
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.87%EV -6.61%E -3.89%K -9.44%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.47%EV -6.40%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -7.14%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-02 19:39
BetOnline.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 55.14%EV -4.96%E -2.87%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -7.32%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.78%EV -1.84%E -0.497%K -0.681%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-02 19:19
LowVig.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 55.14%EV -4.96%E -2.87%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -7.32%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.78%EV -1.84%E -0.497%K -0.681%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-02 19:20
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 55.72%EV -7.16%E -4.24%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.32%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -1.84%E -0.497%K -0.681%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-02 19:20
Bovada1.68I 59.52%NM 54.86%EV -7.71%E -4.59%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -7.32%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -8.47%E -2.46%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-02 19:37
BetUS1.68I 59.52%NM 54.86%EV -7.71%E -4.59%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -7.32%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -8.47%E -2.46%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-02 19:39
BetAnything1.68I 59.52%NM 54.86%EV -7.71%E -4.59%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -7.32%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -8.47%E -2.46%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-02 19:39
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 54.49%EV -7.16%E -4.24%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.42%EV -7.32%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-02 19:19
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -9.36%E -5.67%K -14.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -7.32%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -7.14%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-02 19:19
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -8.26%E -4.95%K -12.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -7.32%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-02 19:38
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 55.30%EV -9.36%E -5.67%K -14.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -7.32%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -8.47%E -2.46%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-02 19:39
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -11.01%E -6.79%K -17.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -7.32%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-02 19:20
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 54.46%EV -6.61%E -3.89%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.70%EV -8.25%E -1.67%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.84%EV -8.47%E -2.46%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-02 19:19
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.46%EV -6.61%E -3.89%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.70%EV -8.25%E -1.67%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.84%EV -8.47%E -2.46%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-02 19:19
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 54.44%EV -7.71%E -4.59%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.66%EV -9.18%E -1.87%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-02 19:19
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 54.78%EV -9.36%E -5.67%K -14.40%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.64%EV -10.10%E -2.08%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-02 19:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.67%EV -9.36%E -5.67%K -14.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.79%EV -11.03%E -2.30%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.53%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-02 19:19
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 54.67%EV -9.36%E -5.67%K -14.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.79%EV -11.03%E -2.30%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.53%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-02 19:20
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 54.67%EV -9.36%E -5.67%K -14.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.79%EV -11.03%E -2.30%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.53%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-02 19:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.67%EV -9.36%E -5.67%K -14.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.79%EV -11.03%E -2.30%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.53%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-02 19:20
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 54.69%EV -11.01%E -6.79%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.46%EV -11.03%E -2.30%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.85%EV -12.45%E -3.77%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-02 19:20
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -6.61%E -3.89%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -11.96%E -2.52%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-02 19:29
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 54.89%EV -12.10%E -7.57%K -20.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.49%EV -11.96%E -2.52%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -12.45%E -3.77%K -5.41%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-02 19:20
Unibet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.89%EV -12.10%E -7.57%K -20.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.49%EV -11.96%E -2.52%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -12.45%E -3.77%K -5.41%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-02 19:25
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.42%EV -7.71%E -4.59%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.45%EV -12.89%E -2.74%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.14%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-02 19:20
Parions Sport (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 53.96%EV -11.55%E -7.18%K -18.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.89%EV -14.74%E -3.20%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.15%EV -15.10%E -4.72%K -6.87%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-02 19:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 52.63%EV -11.01%E -6.79%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.95%EV -16.59%E -3.69%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.42%EV -20.41%E -6.80%K -10.20%G +0.000%17.3%2026-03-02 18:04
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -2.77%E -1.56%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -18.45%E -4.19%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-02 19:09
Casumo1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -2.77%E -1.56%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -18.45%E -4.19%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-02 19:09
BetRivers1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -2.77%E -1.56%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -18.45%E -4.19%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-02 19:10
Svenska Spel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -2.77%E -1.56%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -18.45%E -4.19%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-02 19:09
ATG (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -2.77%E -1.56%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -18.45%E -4.19%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-02 19:10
LeoVegas1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -2.77%E -1.56%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -18.45%E -4.19%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-02 19:10
Grosvenor1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -2.77%E -1.56%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -18.45%E -4.19%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-02 19:09
Unibet (NL)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -2.77%E -1.56%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -18.45%E -4.19%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-02 19:10
TABtouch1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -2.77%E -1.56%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -18.45%E -4.19%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-02 19:09
Unibet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -2.77%E -1.56%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -18.45%E -4.19%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-02 19:09
betPARX1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -2.77%E -1.56%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -18.45%E -4.19%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-02 19:09
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 53.70%EV -9.91%E -6.04%K -15.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.01%EV -18.45%E -4.19%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.29%EV -11.12%E -3.32%K -4.73%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-02 19:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.96%EV -3.86%E -2.21%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.90%EV -19.37%E -4.45%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -11.12%E -3.32%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-02 19:10
Virgin Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 52.12%EV -4.96%E -2.87%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -20.30%E -4.72%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -11.12%E -3.32%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-02 19:09
LiveScore Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 52.12%EV -4.96%E -2.87%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -20.30%E -4.72%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -11.12%E -3.32%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-02 19:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.71%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.82%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.8%2026-03-02 19:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.71%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.82%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.8%2026-03-02 19:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.71%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.82%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.8%2026-03-02 19:34
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 56.51%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.76%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-03-02 19:39