La escuela de los momios

St Patricks Athletic v Galway United

Inicio: 2026-03-02 19:45 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

St Patricks Athletic (Local)

Predicción 54.93%1.82momio equitativo
EV -2.77%
Ventaja -1.56%
Kelly -3.59%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.77

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.96%54.82%54.99%56.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.601.701.691.7762.50%58.99%59.17%56.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Galway United (Visitante)

Predicción 18.54%5.40momio equitativo
EV +6.39%
Ventaja +1.11%
Kelly +1.35%
Crecimiento +0.086%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.74

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.27%18.69%18.42%20.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.304.784.805.7423.26%20.94%20.83%17.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.53%3.77momio equitativo
EV -1.84%
Ventaja -0.497%
Kelly -0.681%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.45%26.49%26.58%28.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.423.403.7033.33%29.23%29.41%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.26%EV -8.81%E -5.31%K -13.35%G +0.000%5.74I 17.42%NM 16.27%EV +6.39%E +1.11%K +1.35%G +0.086%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-02 19:39
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 55.98%EV -8.26%E -4.95%K -12.33%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV +0.090%E +0.017%K +0.020%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.14%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-02 19:20
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48%NM 56.03%EV -6.06%E -3.54%K -8.54%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -1.76%E -0.333%K -0.410%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.89%EV -1.84%E -0.497%K -0.681%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-02 19:40
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.66%EV -9.36%E -5.67%K -14.40%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -1.76%E -0.333%K -0.410%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-02 19:19
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.25%EV -4.96%E -2.87%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.20%EV -2.69%E -0.513%K -0.633%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.55%EV -4.49%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-02 19:20
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.87%EV -6.61%E -3.89%K -9.44%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.47%EV -6.40%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -7.14%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-02 19:39
BetOnline.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 55.14%EV -4.96%E -2.87%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -7.32%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.78%EV -1.84%E -0.497%K -0.681%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-02 19:19
LowVig.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 55.14%EV -4.96%E -2.87%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -7.32%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.78%EV -1.84%E -0.497%K -0.681%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-02 19:20
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 55.72%EV -7.16%E -4.24%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.32%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -1.84%E -0.497%K -0.681%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-02 19:20
Bovada1.68I 59.52%NM 54.86%EV -7.71%E -4.59%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -7.32%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -8.47%E -2.46%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-02 19:37
BetUS1.68I 59.52%NM 54.86%EV -7.71%E -4.59%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -7.32%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -8.47%E -2.46%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-02 19:39
BetAnything1.68I 59.52%NM 54.86%EV -7.71%E -4.59%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -7.32%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -8.47%E -2.46%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-02 19:39
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 54.49%EV -7.16%E -4.24%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.42%EV -7.32%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-02 19:19
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -9.36%E -5.67%K -14.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -7.32%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -7.14%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-02 19:19
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -8.26%E -4.95%K -12.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -7.32%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-02 19:38
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 55.30%EV -9.36%E -5.67%K -14.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -7.32%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -8.47%E -2.46%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-02 19:39
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -11.01%E -6.79%K -17.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -7.32%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-02 19:20
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 54.46%EV -6.61%E -3.89%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.70%EV -8.25%E -1.67%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.84%EV -8.47%E -2.46%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-02 19:19
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.46%EV -6.61%E -3.89%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.70%EV -8.25%E -1.67%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.84%EV -8.47%E -2.46%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-02 19:19
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 54.44%EV -7.71%E -4.59%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.66%EV -9.18%E -1.87%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-02 19:19
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 54.78%EV -9.36%E -5.67%K -14.40%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.64%EV -10.10%E -2.08%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-02 19:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.67%EV -9.36%E -5.67%K -14.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.79%EV -11.03%E -2.30%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.53%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-02 19:19
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 54.67%EV -9.36%E -5.67%K -14.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.79%EV -11.03%E -2.30%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.53%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-02 19:20
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 54.67%EV -9.36%E -5.67%K -14.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.79%EV -11.03%E -2.30%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.53%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-02 19:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.67%EV -9.36%E -5.67%K -14.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.79%EV -11.03%E -2.30%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.53%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-02 19:20
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 54.69%EV -11.01%E -6.79%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.46%EV -11.03%E -2.30%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.85%EV -12.45%E -3.77%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-02 19:20
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -6.61%E -3.89%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -11.96%E -2.52%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-02 19:29
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 54.89%EV -12.10%E -7.57%K -20.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.49%EV -11.96%E -2.52%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -12.45%E -3.77%K -5.41%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-02 19:20
Unibet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.89%EV -12.10%E -7.57%K -20.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.49%EV -11.96%E -2.52%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -12.45%E -3.77%K -5.41%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-02 19:25
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.42%EV -7.71%E -4.59%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.45%EV -12.89%E -2.74%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.14%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-02 19:20
Parions Sport (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 53.96%EV -11.55%E -7.18%K -18.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.89%EV -14.74%E -3.20%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.15%EV -15.10%E -4.72%K -6.87%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-02 19:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 52.63%EV -11.01%E -6.79%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.95%EV -16.59%E -3.69%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.42%EV -20.41%E -6.80%K -10.20%G +0.000%17.3%2026-03-02 18:04
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -2.77%E -1.56%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -18.45%E -4.19%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-02 19:09
Casumo1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -2.77%E -1.56%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -18.45%E -4.19%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-02 19:09
BetRivers1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -2.77%E -1.56%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -18.45%E -4.19%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-02 19:10
Svenska Spel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -2.77%E -1.56%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -18.45%E -4.19%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-02 19:09
ATG (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -2.77%E -1.56%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -18.45%E -4.19%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-02 19:10
LeoVegas1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -2.77%E -1.56%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -18.45%E -4.19%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-02 19:10
Grosvenor1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -2.77%E -1.56%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -18.45%E -4.19%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-02 19:09
Unibet (NL)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -2.77%E -1.56%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -18.45%E -4.19%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-02 19:10
TABtouch1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -2.77%E -1.56%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -18.45%E -4.19%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-02 19:09
Unibet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -2.77%E -1.56%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -18.45%E -4.19%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-02 19:09
betPARX1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -2.77%E -1.56%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -18.45%E -4.19%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-02 19:09
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 53.70%EV -9.91%E -6.04%K -15.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.01%EV -18.45%E -4.19%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.29%EV -11.12%E -3.32%K -4.73%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-02 19:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.96%EV -3.86%E -2.21%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.90%EV -19.37%E -4.45%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -11.12%E -3.32%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-02 19:10
Virgin Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 52.12%EV -4.96%E -2.87%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -20.30%E -4.72%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -11.12%E -3.32%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-02 19:09
LiveScore Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 52.12%EV -4.96%E -2.87%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -20.30%E -4.72%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -11.12%E -3.32%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-02 19:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.71%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.82%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.8%2026-03-02 19:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.71%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.82%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.8%2026-03-02 19:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.71%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.82%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.8%2026-03-02 19:34
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 56.51%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.76%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-03-02 19:39