Language:English
St Patricks Athletic v Drogheda United
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
St Patricks Athletic (Local)
Prediction 68.00%1.47fair odd
EV -4.80%
Edge -3.43%
Kelly -11.99%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.27%67.88%67.97%69.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.361.361.4076.92%73.66%73.53%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Drogheda United (Visit)
Prediction 11.61%8.61fair odd
EV +1.59%
Edge +0.182%
Kelly +0.205%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 8.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.88%11.66%11.66%13.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.757.677.508.7514.81%13.04%13.33%11.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 20.39%4.91fair odd
EV -2.55%
Edge -0.534%
Kelly -0.675%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.75%20.46%20.37%23.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.414.504.7826.67%22.67%22.22%20.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St Patricks Athletic (Local): 68.00%; Drogheda United (Visit): 11.61%; Draw: 20.39%. For Drogheda United (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.61. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.59%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.98%EV -4.80%E -3.43%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.88%EV +1.59%E +0.182%K +0.205%G +0.003% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -8.26%E -1.84%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-12 18:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.77%EV -6.16%E -4.46%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.88%EV -0.149%E -0.017%K -0.020%G +0.000% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 21.35%EV -10.71%E -2.44%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-12 18:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.83%EV -5.48%E -3.94%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 8.58I 11.66%NM 11.15%EV -0.382%E -0.044%K -0.050%G +0.000% | 4.78I 20.92%NM 20.02%EV -2.55%E -0.534%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-12 18:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.68%EV -6.16%E -4.46%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.15%EV -1.31%E -0.154%K -0.175%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.17%EV -4.18%E -0.890%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-12 18:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.00%EV -7.52%E -5.53%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV -1.31%E -0.154%K -0.175%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.96%EV -4.18%E -0.890%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-12 18:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.46%EV -7.52%E -5.53%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.08%EV -2.47%E -0.294%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.46%EV -7.24%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-12 18:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.53%EV -4.80%E -3.43%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.46%EV -4.21%E -0.511%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -8.26%E -1.84%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-12 18:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.07%EV -6.84%E -4.99%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -7.12%E -0.889%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -6.22%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-12 18:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.07%EV -6.84%E -4.99%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -7.12%E -0.889%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -6.22%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-12 18:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.07%EV -6.84%E -4.99%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -7.12%E -0.889%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -6.22%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-12 18:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.95%EV -6.84%E -4.99%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.47%EV -7.12%E -0.889%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -13.36%E -3.14%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-12 18:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.95%EV -6.84%E -4.99%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.47%EV -7.12%E -0.889%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -13.36%E -3.14%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-12 18:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.23%EV -7.52%E -5.53%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.26%EV -7.12%E -0.889%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.52%EV -18.45%E -4.61%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-06-12 18:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.90%EV -11.60%E -8.92%K -38.65%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.20%EV -7.12%E -0.889%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -8.26%E -1.84%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-06-12 18:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.82%EV -6.84%E -4.99%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.76%EV -8.28%E -1.05%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.42%EV -7.24%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-12 18:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.82%EV -6.84%E -4.99%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.76%EV -8.28%E -1.05%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.42%EV -7.24%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-12 18:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.19%EV -8.20%E -6.07%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.80%EV -9.44%E -1.21%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -6.22%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-12 18:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.67%EV -7.52%E -5.53%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.88%EV -10.02%E -1.29%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -8.26%E -1.84%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-12 18:28 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.08%EV -6.16%E -4.46%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV -12.92%E -1.72%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -8.26%E -1.84%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-05 23:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.24%EV -6.84%E -4.99%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -12.92%E -1.72%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -8.26%E -1.84%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-05 23:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -7.52%E -5.53%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -12.92%E -1.72%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -8.26%E -1.84%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-05 20:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -7.52%E -5.53%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -12.92%E -1.72%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -8.26%E -1.84%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-05 20:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -7.52%E -5.53%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -12.92%E -1.72%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -8.26%E -1.84%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-05 22:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -7.52%E -5.53%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -12.92%E -1.72%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -8.26%E -1.84%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-05 22:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -7.52%E -5.53%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -12.92%E -1.72%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -8.26%E -1.84%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-05 22:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -7.52%E -5.53%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -12.92%E -1.72%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -8.26%E -1.84%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-05 22:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -7.52%E -5.53%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -12.92%E -1.72%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -8.26%E -1.84%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-05 23:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -7.52%E -5.53%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -12.92%E -1.72%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -8.26%E -1.84%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-05 22:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -7.52%E -5.53%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -12.92%E -1.72%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -8.26%E -1.84%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-05 23:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -7.52%E -5.53%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -12.92%E -1.72%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -8.26%E -1.84%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-12 18:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.09%EV -7.52%E -5.53%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -12.92%E -1.72%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -10.30%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-12 18:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -7.52%E -5.53%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.13%EV -12.92%E -1.72%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.00%EV -11.73%E -2.71%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-06-12 18:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -7.52%E -5.53%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.13%EV -12.92%E -1.72%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.00%EV -11.73%E -2.71%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-06-12 18:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.26%EV -8.20%E -6.07%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV -12.92%E -1.72%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -10.30%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-05 22:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.40%EV -6.16%E -4.46%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -12.92%E -1.72%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -18.45%E -4.61%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-12 18:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.26%EV -8.88%E -6.62%K -26.11%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -12.92%E -1.72%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.72%EV -11.32%E -2.60%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-06-05 22:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.26%EV -8.88%E -6.62%K -26.11%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -12.92%E -1.72%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.72%EV -11.32%E -2.60%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-06-05 23:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -9.56%E -7.18%K -28.96%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.95%EV -12.92%E -1.72%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.69%EV -11.73%E -2.71%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-06-12 18:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.44%EV -11.60%E -8.92%K -38.65%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.69%EV -12.92%E -1.72%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -14.38%E -3.42%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-06-12 18:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.27%EV -9.56%E -7.18%K -28.96%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.58%EV -12.92%E -1.72%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.15%EV -23.55%E -6.28%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-06-12 18:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 66.88%EV -10.24%E -7.75%K -31.99%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.09%EV -15.24%E -2.09%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -14.38%E -3.42%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-06-12 18:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.28%EV -8.20%E -6.07%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -18.73%E -2.68%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -6.22%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-12 18:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.87%EV -7.52%E -5.53%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -18.73%E -2.68%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -14.38%E -3.42%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-06-12 18:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.87%EV -7.52%E -5.53%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -18.73%E -2.68%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -14.38%E -3.42%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-06-12 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.87%EV -7.52%E -5.53%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -18.73%E -2.68%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -14.38%E -3.42%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-06-12 18:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.87%EV -7.52%E -5.53%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -18.73%E -2.68%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -14.38%E -3.42%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-06-12 18:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.04%EV -11.60%E -8.92%K -38.65%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.45%EV -18.73%E -2.68%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.51%EV -13.36%E -3.14%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-06-05 22:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 66.55%EV -10.24%E -7.75%K -31.99%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.02%EV -21.63%E -3.20%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.43%EV -12.34%E -2.87%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-06-12 18:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 70.13% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.96% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.92% | 0.4% | 2026-06-12 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 70.13% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.96% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.92% | 0.4% | 2026-06-12 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.27% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.82% | 0.9% | 2026-06-12 18:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.27% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.82% | 0.9% | 2026-06-12 18:40 |