La escuela de los momios

St Patricks Athletic v Drogheda United

Inicio: 2026-06-12 18:45 UTC

Final: St Patricks Athletic 2–0 Drogheda United

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

St Patricks Athletic (Local)

Predicción 68.00%1.47momio equitativo
EV -4.80%
Ventaja -3.43%
Kelly -11.99%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.27%67.88%67.97%69.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.301.361.361.4076.92%73.66%73.53%71.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Drogheda United (Visitante)

Predicción 11.61%8.61momio equitativo
EV +1.59%
Ventaja +0.182%
Kelly +0.205%
Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
10.88%11.66%11.66%13.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.757.677.508.7514.81%13.04%13.33%11.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 20.39%4.91momio equitativo
EV -2.55%
Ventaja -0.534%
Kelly -0.675%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.78

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.75%20.46%20.37%23.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.414.504.7826.67%22.67%22.22%20.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.98%EV -4.80%E -3.43%K -11.99%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.88%EV +1.59%E +0.182%K +0.205%G +0.003%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -8.26%E -1.84%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 18:20
1xBet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.77%EV -6.16%E -4.46%K -16.20%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.88%EV -0.149%E -0.017%K -0.020%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.35%EV -10.71%E -2.44%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-12 18:40
Pinnacle1.39I 71.94%NM 68.83%EV -5.48%E -3.94%K -14.04%G +0.000%8.58I 11.66%NM 11.15%EV -0.382%E -0.044%K -0.050%G +0.000%4.78I 20.92%NM 20.02%EV -2.55%E -0.534%K -0.675%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-12 18:30
DraftKings1.38I 72.46%NM 68.68%EV -6.16%E -4.46%K -16.20%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.15%EV -1.31%E -0.154%K -0.175%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.17%EV -4.18%E -0.890%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-12 18:20
FanDuel1.36I 73.53%NM 69.00%EV -7.52%E -5.53%K -20.88%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV -1.31%E -0.154%K -0.175%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.96%EV -4.18%E -0.890%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-12 18:30
Marathon Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.46%EV -7.52%E -5.53%K -20.88%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.08%EV -2.47%E -0.294%K -0.334%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.46%EV -7.24%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-12 18:19
BetUS1.40I 71.43%NM 67.53%EV -4.80%E -3.43%K -11.99%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.46%EV -4.21%E -0.511%K -0.581%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -8.26%E -1.84%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-12 18:20
BetOnline.ag1.37I 72.99%NM 68.07%EV -6.84%E -4.99%K -18.48%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -7.12%E -0.889%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -6.22%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-12 18:20
LowVig.ag1.37I 72.99%NM 68.07%EV -6.84%E -4.99%K -18.48%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -7.12%E -0.889%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -6.22%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-12 18:20
BetAnything1.37I 72.99%NM 68.07%EV -6.84%E -4.99%K -18.48%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -7.12%E -0.889%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -6.22%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-12 18:20
Bet Right1.37I 72.99%NM 66.95%EV -6.84%E -4.99%K -18.48%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.47%EV -7.12%E -0.889%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -13.36%E -3.14%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-12 18:20
PointsBet (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 66.95%EV -6.84%E -4.99%K -18.48%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.47%EV -7.12%E -0.889%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -13.36%E -3.14%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-12 18:20
betfred_uk1.36I 73.53%NM 66.23%EV -7.52%E -5.53%K -20.88%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.26%EV -7.12%E -0.889%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.52%EV -18.45%E -4.61%K -6.15%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-12 18:20
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 68.90%EV -11.60%E -8.92%K -38.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.20%EV -7.12%E -0.889%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -8.26%E -1.84%K -2.36%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-12 18:30
NordicBet1.37I 72.99%NM 67.82%EV -6.84%E -4.99%K -18.48%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.76%EV -8.28%E -1.05%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.42%EV -7.24%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-12 18:29
Betsson1.37I 72.99%NM 67.82%EV -6.84%E -4.99%K -18.48%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.76%EV -8.28%E -1.05%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.42%EV -7.24%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-12 18:30
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.19%EV -8.20%E -6.07%K -23.42%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.80%EV -9.44%E -1.21%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -6.22%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-12 18:40
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 67.67%EV -7.52%E -5.53%K -20.88%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.88%EV -10.02%E -1.29%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -8.26%E -1.84%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-12 18:28
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46%NM 67.08%EV -6.16%E -4.46%K -16.20%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV -12.92%E -1.72%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -8.26%E -1.84%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-05 23:00
Unibet1.37I 72.99%NM 67.24%EV -6.84%E -4.99%K -18.48%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -12.92%E -1.72%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -8.26%E -1.84%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-05 23:10
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -7.52%E -5.53%K -20.88%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -12.92%E -1.72%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -8.26%E -1.84%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-05 20:29
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -7.52%E -5.53%K -20.88%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -12.92%E -1.72%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -8.26%E -1.84%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-05 20:29
Casumo1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -7.52%E -5.53%K -20.88%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -12.92%E -1.72%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -8.26%E -1.84%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-05 22:59
Grosvenor1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -7.52%E -5.53%K -20.88%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -12.92%E -1.72%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -8.26%E -1.84%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-05 22:59
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -7.52%E -5.53%K -20.88%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -12.92%E -1.72%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -8.26%E -1.84%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-05 22:59
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -7.52%E -5.53%K -20.88%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -12.92%E -1.72%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -8.26%E -1.84%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-05 22:59
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -7.52%E -5.53%K -20.88%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -12.92%E -1.72%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -8.26%E -1.84%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-05 23:00
ATG (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -7.52%E -5.53%K -20.88%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -12.92%E -1.72%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -8.26%E -1.84%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-05 22:59
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -7.52%E -5.53%K -20.88%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -12.92%E -1.72%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -8.26%E -1.84%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-05 23:09
Betway1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -7.52%E -5.53%K -20.88%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -12.92%E -1.72%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -8.26%E -1.84%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-12 18:20
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 67.09%EV -7.52%E -5.53%K -20.88%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -12.92%E -1.72%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -10.30%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-12 18:20
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -7.52%E -5.53%K -20.88%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.13%EV -12.92%E -1.72%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.00%EV -11.73%E -2.71%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-12 18:20
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -7.52%E -5.53%K -20.88%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.13%EV -12.92%E -1.72%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.00%EV -11.73%E -2.71%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-12 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 67.26%EV -8.20%E -6.07%K -23.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV -12.92%E -1.72%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -10.30%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-05 22:59
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 65.40%EV -6.16%E -4.46%K -16.20%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -12.92%E -1.72%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -18.45%E -4.61%K -6.15%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-12 18:40
Virgin Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 67.26%EV -8.88%E -6.62%K -26.11%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -12.92%E -1.72%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.72%EV -11.32%E -2.60%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-05 22:59
LiveScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 67.26%EV -8.88%E -6.62%K -26.11%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -12.92%E -1.72%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.72%EV -11.32%E -2.60%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-05 23:00
Sky Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -9.56%E -7.18%K -28.96%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.95%EV -12.92%E -1.72%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.69%EV -11.73%E -2.71%K -3.52%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-12 18:29
SportsBet1.30I 76.92%NM 67.44%EV -11.60%E -8.92%K -38.65%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.69%EV -12.92%E -1.72%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -14.38%E -3.42%K -4.49%G +0.000%14.1%2026-06-12 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 65.27%EV -9.56%E -7.18%K -28.96%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.58%EV -12.92%E -1.72%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.15%EV -23.55%E -6.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%15.2%2026-06-12 18:20
Unibet (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 66.88%EV -10.24%E -7.75%K -31.99%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.09%EV -15.24%E -2.09%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -14.38%E -3.42%K -4.49%G +0.000%13.3%2026-06-12 18:30
Winamax (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 67.28%EV -8.20%E -6.07%K -23.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -18.73%E -2.68%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -6.22%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-12 18:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.87%EV -7.52%E -5.53%K -20.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -18.73%E -2.68%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -14.38%E -3.42%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-12 18:20
Neds1.36I 73.53%NM 65.87%EV -7.52%E -5.53%K -20.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -18.73%E -2.68%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -14.38%E -3.42%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-12 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.87%EV -7.52%E -5.53%K -20.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -18.73%E -2.68%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -14.38%E -3.42%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-12 18:20
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 65.87%EV -7.52%E -5.53%K -20.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -18.73%E -2.68%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -14.38%E -3.42%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-12 18:20
PMU (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 67.04%EV -11.60%E -8.92%K -38.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.45%EV -18.73%E -2.68%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.51%EV -13.36%E -3.14%K -4.11%G +0.000%14.7%2026-06-05 22:59
Winamax (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 66.55%EV -10.24%E -7.75%K -31.99%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.02%EV -21.63%E -3.20%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.43%EV -12.34%E -2.87%K -3.74%G +0.000%13.8%2026-06-12 18:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 70.13%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.96%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.92%0.4%2026-06-12 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.42I 70.42%NM 70.13%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.96%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.92%0.4%2026-06-12 18:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.27%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.82%0.9%2026-06-12 18:40
Matchbook1.41I 70.92%NM 70.27%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.82%0.9%2026-06-12 18:40